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Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 11/21/2024

Fnac Darty: Vesa Equity Investment's stake rises to 30.8% without triggering the takeover threshold>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 21/11/2024

Fnac Darty : Vesa Equity Investment monte à 30,8% du capital sans déclencher le seuil d’OPA>...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 21 NOVEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: SANTANDER. Caution continues due to the geopolitical situation European stock markets ended with slight corrections despite the initial gains, with all eyes on the tension in Ukraine and Nvidia’s results (that released good earnings after the closing bell). Thus, in the STOXX 600, Basic Resources and Pharma (for the second consecutive session) led gains vs. Automobiles (once more the worst performer) and Real Estate that ended with the biggest drops. From the ECB, L. de Guindos c...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 21 NOVIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: SANTANDER. Continúa la cautela por la geopolítica Pese al buen arranque de las bolsas europeas, las ganancias se fueron diluyendo hasta terminar con tímidas caídas, pendientes de la tensión en Ucrania y los resultados de Nvidia (que publicó buenos resultados con el mercado ya cerrado aunque recortó por dudas con respecto al 4T). Así, dentro del STOXX 600, R.Básicos y Farma (por segundo día consecutivo) lideraron las ganancias, frente a Autos (que ...

Emmanuel Matot
  • Emmanuel Matot

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 11/20/2024

Efforts to revitalise the five brands that make up the Lanvin Group are under way and should pay off in the medium term. However, at this stage of development (critical mass not yet achieved for some brands, negative profitability and cash burn) and in a consumer environment that does not yet point to a rebound, we prefer to remain cautious on the share. We are initiating coverage with a Neutral rating, with a target price of $ 1.80, based on a DCF valuation. - ...

Emmanuel Matot
  • Emmanuel Matot

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 20/11/2024

Les efforts de redynamisation sont en cours pour les 5 marques qui constituent Lanvin Group et devraient porter leurs fruits à moyen terme. Toutefois, à ce stade de développement (taille critique encore non atteinte sur certaines marques, rentabilité négative et consommation de cash) et dans un environnement de consommation n’indiquant pas encore de rebond, nous préférons rester encore prudents sur le titre. Nous initions à Neutre, avec un OC à 1.8 $ résultant d’une valorisation par D...

Benoit Valleaux ... (+2)
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Steven Gould

ODDO : ABI data (November 2024): trends confirmed

>Update on the macroeconomic and banking situation in Italy - The latest data from the Italian Banking Association (ABI), covering October 2024 confirms the recent trend, with an overall situation confirming its relative resilience in view of the recent indications (GDP, industrial production, confidence climate, etc.) and given uncertainties on the short to medium term. Lending activity confirmed signs of an improvement YTD (notably with regard to households) – ...

Benoit Valleaux ... (+2)
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Steven Gould

ODDO : Statistiques ABI (Nov 2024) : tendances confirmées

>Point sur la situation macroéconomique & bancaire en Italie - Les dernières données de l’Association Bancaire Italienne (ABI), couvrant octobre 2024, confirment la tendance récente, avec une situation globale confirmant sa relative résilience au regard des indicateurs récents (PIB, production industrielle, climat de confiance…) et compte tenu des incertitudes à CMT. L’activité de crédit confirme les signes d’amélioration YTD (notamment auprès des ménages) – elle...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

Siemens AG : Un T4 légèrement meilleur qu’attendu, la guidance 2025, e...

>T4 2023/24 : commandes +10%, industrial profit 4% au-dessus des attentes - Les commandes T4 2023/24 progressent de 10% en comparable (consensus à 1.2%), à 22.9 Md€. Le book-to-bill atteint 1.1. Le chiffre d'affaires progresse de 2% en comparable à 20.8 Md€ (consensus à 1.4%) et l’EBITA industrial ajusté atteint 3 120 M€, soit une marge de 15.5% (vs 14.9% attendus par le consensus). L’industrial profit s’établit ainsi 4% au-dessus des attentes du consensus. Le BPA pre...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

Siemens AG : Q4 slightly better than expected, 2025 guidance in line a...

>Q4 2023-24: orders +10%, industrial profit 4% above forecasts - Q4 2023-24 orders are up 10% l-f-l (consensus at 1.2%) at € 22.9bn. The book-to-bill was 1.1. Sales were up 2% l-f-l to € 20.8bn (consensus at 1.4%) and industrial EBITA was € 3,120m, i.e. a margin of 15.5% (vs 14.9% anticipated by the consensus). Industrial profit was thus 4% above consensus expectations. Pre-PPA EPS was € 2.57 (consensus at € 2.49).By division, DI (digital industries) saw its orde...

Emmanuel Matot ... (+2)
  • Emmanuel Matot
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 18/11/2024

Comme prévu, les actions américaines ont salué la victoire de Donald Trump tandis que les bourses européennes accusaient le coup, également lestées deux jours plus tard par une nouvelle déception sur le plan de relance chinois. Nos stratégies sectorielles et paniers de valeurs Trump (long ou short) ont fonctionné, avec quelques exceptions qui peuvent être des opportunités d’investissement, à l’instar de Total Energies ou Repsol. En Europe, nous conservons notre opinion Sous-pondérer s...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+5)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/18/2024

As expected, US equities welcomed Donald Trump's victory, while European stock markets reacted negatively, also weighed down two days later by a further disappointment on China's stimulus plan. Our sector strategies and baskets of Trump stocks (long or short) have paid off, with a few exceptions that may provide investment opportunities, like Total Energies or Repsol. In Europe, we are maintaining our Underweight recommendation on the Basic Resources, Chemicals, Luxury Goods and Autom...

Emmanuel Matot ... (+2)
  • Emmanuel Matot
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 11/18/2024

As expected, US equities welcomed Donald Trump's victory, while European stock markets reacted negatively, also weighed down two days later by a further disappointment on China's stimulus plan. Our sector strategies and baskets of Trump stocks (long or short) have paid off, with a few exceptions that may provide investment opportunities, like Total Energies or Repsol. In Europe, we are maintaining our Underweight recommendation on the Basic Resources, Chemicals, Luxury Goods and Autom...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+5)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 18/11/2024

Comme prévu, les actions américaines ont salué la victoire de Donald Trump tandis que les bourses européennes accusaient le coup, également lestées deux jours plus tard par une nouvelle déception sur le plan de relance chinois. Nos stratégies sectorielles et paniers de valeurs Trump (long ou short) ont fonctionné, avec quelques exceptions qui peuvent être des opportunités d’investissement, à l’instar de Total Energies ou Repsol. En Europe, nous conservons notre opinion Sous-pondérer s...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

ODDO : A win/win deal between Acciona Energia and Endesa

>A deal on hydroelectric assets in Spain - Acciona Energia has announced the signature of an agreement with Endesa for the divestment of 100% of the capital of its subsidiary Corporación Acciona Hidráulica (CAH) for an enterprise value of € 1bn. This transaction is debt exempt and will generate a capital gain estimated at € 620m for Acciona Energia. The deal is expected to close in the first half of 2025, following approval from the anti-trust authorities and the nec...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

ODDO : Une opération gagnant / gagnant entre Acciona Energia et Endesa

>Une transaction sur des actifs hydroélectriques en Espagne - Acciona Energia a annoncé la conclusion d’un accord avec Endesa pour la cession de 100% du capital de sa filiale Corporación Acciona Hidráulica (CAH) pour une valeur d’entreprise de 1 Md€. Cette transaction est exempte de dettes et générera pour Acciona Energia la comptabilisation d’une plus-value de cession estimée de 620 M€. La clôture est prévue dans la première moitié de 2025, suite aux autorisations a...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 18 NOVEMBER + 3Q’24 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SA...

NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, ENDESA, GRIFOLS, MERLIN PROPERTIES, ROVI. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Post-electoral phase in the US After the confirmation that the Republican Party obtained majority in the two parliamentary chambers and following some announcements or possible appointments...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 18 NOVIEMBRE + RDOS. ESPAÑA 3T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS B...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, ENDESA, GRIFOLS, MERLIN PROPERTIES, ROVI. EUROPA: PROSUS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Mercados en fase post-electoral Durante la semana pasada los índices mundiales entraron en la fase post elect...

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