reports
- Wim Lewi
AEX from 25 to 30, place your bets Our candidates for the AEX expansio...
The AEX is set to expand from 25 to 30 constituents starting on 23rd September, announcement on 9th September after close. This marks a significant change since its last expansion in 1994. The new rule book was published on 22/08/25 and leaves some room for interpretation for companies that have another primary listing (WDP). We believe that WDP meets the requirement for “reference market”. The expansion will be based on Free Float Market Capitalization, with a buffer zone to manage transitions....
- ING Helpdesk
- Marc Hesselink
- CFA
- Thymen Rundberg
Just Eat Takeaway.com/Takeover on track/HOLD
We believe the Prosus bid on Just Eat Takeaway.com will succeed. The offer appears fair when balancing out the attractive long-term opportunity with short-term headwinds and investment needs. We reiterate our HOLD. Our target price is unchanged and equal to the offer price of €20.30.
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Clément Genelot
Deliveroo: strengthening growth/margin profile ahead of DoorDash deal
Post-another strong print and FY guidance upgrade, fuelled by a recovery in order growth and market share gains, we see more credibility in Deliveroo's MT targets and have increased our EBITDA and FCF estimates by 8% and 11%. PT unchanged at 180p to stick to the DoorDash offer, which we view as fai
- Cédric Rossi
BIC: gradual recovery to continue in H2
The H1 2025 beat was driven by a reassuring sequential improvement in Q2, which bodes well for more favourable sales and profit trajectories in H2 2025. While H1 was clearly marked by disruption in sell-in trends, a stabilising tariff landscape may support the gradual resumption of wholesale orders
- Cédric Rossi
BIC: 1H 2025 results exceed expectations, FY25 outlook confirmed
Yesterday evening, BIC reported stronger-than-expected 1H 2025 results. 2Q sales exceeded expectations by 2%, while 1H aEBIT came in 6% above a cautious consensus estimate (EUR147m vs. CSSe EUR139m). The sequential improvement from a very challenging 1Q was broad-based across all divisions and geog
- Michiel Declercq
Just Eat Takeaway Soft 1H25, outlook now expected at the lower end of ...
1H25 results were softer than expected with group GTV remaining flat at € 9.4bn (css: € 9.5bn) driven by a 7% decline in orders to € 308m (css: € 314m). Excluding the RoW, GTV growth at CCY of 2% was broadly in line. Revenues decreased 1% at ccy to € 1747m (kbcse: € 1771m), with lower order volumes partially offset by improved monetization and higher advertising revenues. Adj. EBITDA growth of 4% to € 147m came in below expectations (css: € 167m), driven by logistics investments and marketing in...
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Aedifica: Strong results, guidance reiterated; dsm-firmenich: Symrise 1H25 results; IMCD: Stagnating gross profit leads to disappointing 2Q25 EBITA; JDE Peet's: Full of beans; Just Eat Takeaway: 1H25 results, weak update no impact on takeover; Lotus Bakeries: Peer Mondelez 1Q25 results; Melexis: 2Q25 results, gross margin under pressure; Solvay: 2Q25 in line, subdued outlook no surprise after pre-release; TKH Group: Preview: Under a magnifying glass; Universal Music Group: Spotify 2Q25 ...
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Wim Lewi
- Cédric Rossi
BIC: slow improvement amid US macro volatility
Ahead of H1 2025 results due on 30th July, we expect a slow sequential improvement at the top-line level with a flattish LFL sales performance in Q2 (-0.4%e vs. -7% in Q1) thanks to a gradual resumption in wholesale orders in North America. Obviously H1 margins are set to be pressurised by negative
- Cédric Rossi
Emerging consolidator in Germany’s optical retail sector
After announcing its ambition to enter the optical sector earlier this month, the German software company The Platform Group (TPG) has already acquired four optical players in Germany. In addition to joining TPG’s MyGlasses.de online platform to implement an omnichannel approach, these acquisitions
- Cédric Rossi
Mister Spex: necessary but painful "discount detox" strategy
The ongoing “detox” strategy, marked by a sharp reduction in discounting, is materially impacting the online channel (65% of total revenues), where price sensitivity and promotional dependency remain elevated. Consequently, Mister Spex has downgraded its FY sales guidance to between -10% and -20% (
- Cédric Rossi
BIC: new CEO found
Yesterday evening, BIC announced the appointment of Rob Versloot as CEO, effective 15th September. Rob Versloot has 30+ years of experience in the FMCG sector, including Danone and Hero Group where he was appointed as CEO in 2012. The choice of an "external" profile, rare at BIC, does not surprise
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Ageas: Reinsurance partnership with TRIGLAV, taking QS on Italian motor direct insurance Belgian Telecoms: Digi introduces a new mobile subscription at €3. Kinepolis: Box office in US/Canada up 76% YoY while France visitors were down 25%. NN Group & ASR: Dutch coalition collapse not affecting Dutch Pension Reform. SBM Offshore: Farewell Aseng after 13.5 years of service. Events Calendar
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
AGS AGEAS SA/NV
PHIA KONINKLIJKE PHILIPS N.V.
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
ASRNL ASR NEDERLAND NV
LIGHT SIGNIFY NV
MELE MELEXIS NV
KIN KINEPOLIS GROUP NV
NN NN GROUP N.V.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
TKWY JUST EAT TAKEAWAY.COM N.V.
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
TOM2 TOMTOM NV
PRX PROSUS N.V. CLASS N
DSC1 DUTCH STAR C SHAR
BAR BARCO NV
FAST FASTNED
- Marc Hesselink
- CFA
- Thymen Rundberg
Benelux Tech update/Our favourites: ASM, Barco, BESI, RELX
We refresh our Benelux Tech coverage following the 1Q25 reporting season. In this note we downgrade Just Eat Takeaway from Buy to HOLD as we believe the takeover offer is fair. Most companies reported largely in line results and, across the board we make relatively modest changes to our estimates. Our highest conviction longs in the Benelux Tech universe are ASM International, Barco, BE Semiconductor Industries and RELX. Our biggest increase in target price is for Prosus which saw strong perfor...
PHIA KONINKLIJKE PHILIPS N.V.
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
LIGHT SIGNIFY NV
MELE MELEXIS NV
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
TKWY JUST EAT TAKEAWAY.COM N.V.
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
TOM2 TOMTOM NV
PRX PROSUS N.V. CLASS N
DSC1 DUTCH STAR C SHAR
BAR BARCO NV
FAST FASTNED
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
Suspension of Coverage
From 2nd of June we are suspending coverage of companies below due to a reallocation of resources. Our prior estimates should no longer be used as an indicator for the company moving forward.ADIDASBEIERSDORFCARREFOURDELIVERY HEROESSILORLUXOTTICAHELLOFRESHHermès InternationalHUGO BOSSINTERPARFUMSJUS
ADS ADIDAS AG
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
ITP INTERPARFUMS
OR L'OREAL SA
KER KERING SA
ZAL ZALANDO SE
SFL SAFILO GROUP S.P.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
SFER SALVATORE FERRAGAMO S.P.A.
TKWY JUST EAT TAKEAWAY.COM N.V.
CFR RICHEMONT
BEI BEIERSDORF
BOSS HUGO BOSS
DHER DELIVERY HERO
HFG HELLOFRESH SE
RBO ROCHE BOBOIS INTERNATIONAL SAS
EF ESSILORLUXOTTICA
UHR THE SWATCH GROUP
MC LVMH
- Cedric Rossi
Eyewear: what caught our eyes in Q1 publications
Against macro uncertainty and a fluid tariff backdrop, the O&E industry has played its defensive role with an average performance of +15% YTD (vs. soft luxury sample at -5% and sportswear at -11%), supported by reassuring Q1 publications, proactive tariff mitigation initiatives and reiterated F
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #71
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at how tariffs have dominated recent earnings calls over other topics such a
- Clement Genelot
Just Eat Takeaway: tender to the offer
Following the publication of the offer memorandum yesterday by Prosus and the launch of the tender offer today until 29th July, we have withdrawn our Neutral rating and advise shareholders to tender their shares to the offer.1/ We consider the offer as generous with implied c.11.5x EV/EBITDA 2025e
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