reports
- Cédric Rossi
BIC: slow improvement amid US macro volatility
Ahead of H1 2025 results due on 30th July, we expect a slow sequential improvement at the top-line level with a flattish LFL sales performance in Q2 (-0.4%e vs. -7% in Q1) thanks to a gradual resumption in wholesale orders in North America. Obviously H1 margins are set to be pressurised by negative
- Cédric Rossi
Emerging consolidator in Germany’s optical retail sector
After announcing its ambition to enter the optical sector earlier this month, the German software company The Platform Group (TPG) has already acquired four optical players in Germany. In addition to joining TPG’s MyGlasses.de online platform to implement an omnichannel approach, these acquisitions
- Cédric Rossi
Mister Spex: necessary but painful "discount detox" strategy
The ongoing “detox” strategy, marked by a sharp reduction in discounting, is materially impacting the online channel (65% of total revenues), where price sensitivity and promotional dependency remain elevated. Consequently, Mister Spex has downgraded its FY sales guidance to between -10% and -20% (
- Cédric Rossi
BIC: new CEO found
Yesterday evening, BIC announced the appointment of Rob Versloot as CEO, effective 15th September. Rob Versloot has 30+ years of experience in the FMCG sector, including Danone and Hero Group where he was appointed as CEO in 2012. The choice of an "external" profile, rare at BIC, does not surprise
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Ageas: Reinsurance partnership with TRIGLAV, taking QS on Italian motor direct insurance Belgian Telecoms: Digi introduces a new mobile subscription at €3. Kinepolis: Box office in US/Canada up 76% YoY while France visitors were down 25%. NN Group & ASR: Dutch coalition collapse not affecting Dutch Pension Reform. SBM Offshore: Farewell Aseng after 13.5 years of service. Events Calendar
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
AGS AGEAS SA/NV
PHIA KONINKLIJKE PHILIPS N.V.
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
ASRNL ASR NEDERLAND NV
LIGHT SIGNIFY NV
MELE MELEXIS NV
KIN KINEPOLIS GROUP NV
NN NN GROUP N.V.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
TKWY JUST EAT TAKEAWAY.COM N.V.
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
TOM2 TOMTOM NV
PRX PROSUS N.V. CLASS N
DSC1 DUTCH STAR C SHAR
BAR BARCO NV
FAST FASTNED
- Marc Hesselink
- CFA
- Thymen Rundberg
Benelux Tech update/Our favourites: ASM, Barco, BESI, RELX
We refresh our Benelux Tech coverage following the 1Q25 reporting season. In this note we downgrade Just Eat Takeaway from Buy to HOLD as we believe the takeover offer is fair. Most companies reported largely in line results and, across the board we make relatively modest changes to our estimates. Our highest conviction longs in the Benelux Tech universe are ASM International, Barco, BE Semiconductor Industries and RELX. Our biggest increase in target price is for Prosus which saw strong perfor...
PHIA KONINKLIJKE PHILIPS N.V.
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
LIGHT SIGNIFY NV
MELE MELEXIS NV
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
TKWY JUST EAT TAKEAWAY.COM N.V.
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
TOM2 TOMTOM NV
PRX PROSUS N.V. CLASS N
DSC1 DUTCH STAR C SHAR
BAR BARCO NV
FAST FASTNED
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
Suspension of Coverage
From 2nd of June we are suspending coverage of companies below due to a reallocation of resources. Our prior estimates should no longer be used as an indicator for the company moving forward.ADIDASBEIERSDORFCARREFOURDELIVERY HEROESSILORLUXOTTICAHELLOFRESHHermès InternationalHUGO BOSSINTERPARFUMSJUS
ADS ADIDAS AG
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
ITP INTERPARFUMS
OR L'OREAL SA
KER KERING SA
ZAL ZALANDO SE
SFL SAFILO GROUP S.P.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
SFER SALVATORE FERRAGAMO S.P.A.
TKWY JUST EAT TAKEAWAY.COM N.V.
CFR RICHEMONT
BEI BEIERSDORF
BOSS HUGO BOSS
DHER DELIVERY HERO
HFG HELLOFRESH SE
RBO ROCHE BOBOIS INTERNATIONAL SAS
EF ESSILORLUXOTTICA
UHR THE SWATCH GROUP
MC LVMH
- Cedric Rossi
Eyewear: what caught our eyes in Q1 publications
Against macro uncertainty and a fluid tariff backdrop, the O&E industry has played its defensive role with an average performance of +15% YTD (vs. soft luxury sample at -5% and sportswear at -11%), supported by reassuring Q1 publications, proactive tariff mitigation initiatives and reiterated F
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #71
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at how tariffs have dominated recent earnings calls over other topics such a
- Clement Genelot
Just Eat Takeaway: tender to the offer
Following the publication of the offer memorandum yesterday by Prosus and the launch of the tender offer today until 29th July, we have withdrawn our Neutral rating and advise shareholders to tender their shares to the offer.1/ We consider the offer as generous with implied c.11.5x EV/EBITDA 2025e
- Michiel Declercq
Just Eat Takeaway Prosus launches offer
Following the agreement on February 24th between Prosus and JET to acquire 100% of JET shares at € 20.30ps, Prosus officially launched the all cash offer today, with the offer period starting on May 20th 2025. The offer will be declared unconditional if the acceptance reaches 95%. The 95% threshold will be reduced to 80% if the Post-offer restructuring resolutions are adopted by the AGM on July 8th 2025. These restructuring resolutions imply and asset sale and liquidation event which would resul...
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #70
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the initial impact of tariffs on the US consumer and economy. Happy readi
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
EVS: Weak start to the year, sales guidance maintained excluding FX, EBIT guidance low Just Eat Takeaway.com: Prosus offer launched KBC: CFO meeting – navigating above targets, strong loan growth & NII path NEPI Rockcastle: Robust Q1 results, strong top line Xior Student Housing: Dutch rent freeze not applicable to Xior
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Wim Lewi
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #69
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at how increased consumer anxiety about tariffs leads to diverging trends be
- Clement Genelot
Deliveroo: PT aligned with DoorDash offer
Following the confirmation of a 180p/share cash bid by DoorDash (first analysed here), we have downgraded our rating from Buy to Neutral and aligned our PT with the offer at 180p.We will recommend that shareholders vote in favour of the upcoming court-sanctioned scheme of arrangement under the UK C
- Cedric Rossi
Mister Spex: headed in the right direction
The call yesterday provided an opportunity for newly-appointed CEO Tobias Krauss to reiterate the main strategic measures of SpexFocus, which aims to stabilise and strengthen the group's operational performance this year and eventually lead to scalable and profitable growth from 2026 onwards. Reass
- Cedric Rossi
Mister Spex: reassuring Q1 numbers
Mister Spex has posted reassuring Q1 numbers this morning, with sales performance in line and stronger-than-expected margin delivery, including a 440bp-expansion in the GM. Albeit negative, FCF was close to B/E point, -EUR1.5m, thanks to positive operating CF and lower capex, leading to a NCP pre-I
- Cedric Rossi
Safilo: rays of light in Q1 despite dark tariff clouds
Yesterday evening, Safilo delivered strong Q1 results despite tariff uncertainty, while the quarter was the final one marked by the phase-out of Jimmy Choo (-3pp sales headwind). With +1% FX-n, North America posted its first positive performance since Q4 2023. GM and aEBITDA margin both expanded by
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #67
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the largest beauty groups in the world. Happy reading!
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