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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN AMRO: 1Q24 Preview. ABN AMRO: Press reports on sale of French Life Neuflize JV with AXA. Agfa-Geveart: A miss on every line. ASR: Dutch residential rental income risk insignificant. B&S Group: Solid start to the year, costs under control. DEME Group: 1Q solidifies FY24 revenue outlook. GBL: Accelerating its share buybacks. Just Eat Takeaway.com: M&A appetite. OCI: Improving 1Q24 performance at RemainCo assets, strategic update due on 2Q24

Clement Genelot
  • Clement Genelot

Delivery Hero: selling Taiwan plus surprise capital raise reserved to ...

Delivery Hero has surprisingly agreed to sell Taiwan to Uber for USD1,250m / EUR1,160m (o/w EUR885m for Taiwan at 0.6x EV/GMV and EUR279m via a reserved capital increase at a 30% premium). With both parties in tough negotiations for months, we see this as a compromise to let Delivery Hero cash-in t

Michael Roeg
  • Michael Roeg

Just Eat Takeaway - Preview….FY25!

JET will release FY25 results towards the end of February 2026FY24 guidance suggests our FY25 adjusted EBITDA is virtually in the bagEstimates fine-tuned, we firmly reiterate our Buy rating (Preference List)

Cedric Rossi ... (+5)
  • Cedric Rossi
  • Clement Genelot
  • Loic Morvan
  • Paul Rouviere
  • Philippine Adam

On the shelves now: Consumer weekly #28

In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we comment about the positive stock market trend in spite of constant delays in Fed

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

US eyewear: Distinct Q1 trajectories between NV and Warby Parker

Except for National Vision which faced company-specific issues, Q1 proved to be a reassuring vintage for most optical players, despite several headwinds such as the "Artic Blast" in January and the earlier Easter that mainly impacted prescription sales. Relative optimism continues to prevail for 20

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

Mister Spex: Q1 numbers less negative than feared; trends improved in ...

Yesterday, Mister Spex posted reassuring Q1 numbers considering the negative calendar effect for prescription (i.e. Earlier Easter) and demanding comparison base in Germany. Against signs of an acceleration in April, management reiterated the FY24 sales and margin outlook, as well as a sequential i

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

Safilo: Q1 less negative than feared and reassuring month of April

The Q1 sales decline of 1.8% FX-n was less damaging than our -4.6% FX-n figure (see our preview here) thanks to a stronger-than-expected performance in Europe. Q1 aEBITDA margin also surprised positively with a 20bp-improvement to 11.5% (CSSe: 11.2% / BGe: 11.3%). Management confirmed a return to p

Michael Roeg
  • Michael Roeg

Just Eat Takeaway - Rectification: reaffirm coverage

This morning we accidentally sent out a one-pager in which it was incorrectly stated that we dropped coverage on Just Eat Takeaway.com.We reaffirm our coverage on Just Eat Takeaway.com, with a target price of EUR 30 and a Buy rating (Preference List).

Cedric Rossi ... (+5)
  • Cedric Rossi
  • Clement Genelot
  • Loic Morvan
  • Paul Rouviere
  • Philippine Adam

On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #26

In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we take a closer look at TikTok's weight in the US advertising market ahead of its l

Clement Genelot
  • Clement Genelot

Delivery Hero: still delivering despite competition-driven reinvestmen...

In Q1, Delivery Hero demonstrated its ability to outperform peers and generate an appealing growth/profitability/FCF profile, which should continue to fuel the ongoing rerating (i.e. 0.9x EV/Sales 2025e vs. 0.7-0.8x as of Feb.) even though Meituan's in-road into Saudi Arabia has to be closely monit

Clement Genelot
  • Clement Genelot

Delivery Hero: Q1 sales beat, FY sales guidance upgrade.

Q1 proved to be strong, beating consensus figures, with re-accelerating GMV and sales growth. The upgrade to FY 2024 sales guidance (with rising debate over the prospect of an EBITDA upgrade as well this year) strengthens our view that Delivery Hero deserves to rerate further beyond 0.9x EV/Sales g

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

BIC: Soft Q1 followed by a gradual acceleration from Q2 onwards

Yesterday, BIC unveiled Q1 numbers that reflected management's message highlighting a soft start to the year, but showed a modest miss vs CSS expectations (sales: -1% / aEBIT: -1.5%) given the negative phasing impact in Lighters (38% of sales and 69% of aEBIT before unallocated costs). With trends

Marc Hesselink ... (+3)
  • Marc Hesselink
  • CFA
  • Thymen Rundberg

Just Eat Takeaway.com/Building trust/BUY

JET reported a mixed 1Q24 trading update. There was, again, good performance in its core European stronghold, Northern Europe & UK. There was continued weak performance in North America and Southern Europe & Australia. We have small upward revisions to our estimates. We remain positive on the overall investment case as we believe the business is at the inflection point to both grow and improve profitability. In our view, the positives strongly outweigh the negatives, and we reiterate our BUY rat...

Clement Genelot
  • Clement Genelot

Food Delivery: diverging growth/FCF profiles

Post TKWY and ROO's Q1 figures and ahead of DHER's publication, we note an improving growth trend in Q1. This growth will nevertheless have to rebalance towards orders as out-of-home food is also set to face disinflation this year. The ability to recreate HSD% growth will be the name of the 2024-25

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Azelis: Bloomberg report citing M&A interest. BE Semiconductor Industries: 1Q24 preview, focus on order intake. Greenyard: Crème de la Crème acquisition. Just Eat Takeaway.com: Deliveroo reports 1Q24 trading. Melexis: 1Q24 Preview, focus on pricing. NSI: Guidance confirmed, LTV improves, small but interesting investments might come. Sligro: 1Q24 results in line with expectations Vastned: Key €100m single asset disposal achieved

Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq

Just Eat Takeaway 1Q24 Conference call feedback

1Q24 GTV decreased by 2% at constant fx to € 6547m (kbcse: € 6519m, css: € 6559m), but was up 3% at constant fx when excluding for N-A, or in line with the +2% to +6% FY24 guidance. Although order volumes of 214.2m came in slightly below expectations (kbcse: 215.1m, css: 216.7m), this was offset by a strong ATV growth 4.5% to € 30.6 per order (kbcse: € 30.3, css: € 30.2m), especially in N-E, the UK & IRE. We are pleased that performance in JET's core geographies continued to improve in 1Q24, eve...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 04/17/2024

ZF issues USD 1.5bn green bonds to address refinancing wall Derichebourg: profit warning following November's cyber attack and, more importantly, a slump in metals recycling sector>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 17/04/2024

ZF issues USD 1.5bn green bonds to address refinancing wall Derichebourg : profit warning suite à la cyber attack de novembre mais surtout à une détérioration de la conjoncture dans le recyclage des métaux>...

Oliver Metzger
  • Oliver Metzger

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 04/17/2024 Date Performance sin...

NEXT can claim the leading position in the UK fashion category. Moreover, the company managed the transition from offline to online comparatively well. However, top-line growth should remain at 4% a year until 2026 as the business outside the UK is too small. The operating margin should decrease 40bp to 17.6% on higher wages and general Opex inflation. We initiate coverage with a Neutral rating and a TP of 8,900p (based on a peer group and DCF). - ...

Oliver Metzger
  • Oliver Metzger

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 17/04/2024 Date Performance dep...

NEXT can claim the leading position in the UK fashion category. Moreover, the company managed the transition from offline to online comparatively well. However, top-line growth should remain at 4% a year until 2026 as the business outside the UK is too small. The operating margin should decrease 40bp to 17.6% on higher wages and general Opex inflation. We initiate coverage with a Neutral rating and a TP of 8,900p (based on a peer group and DCF). - ...

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