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Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Orange (Buy, TP: €15.4, +24%) Q1 25: Solid numbers, guidance reiterat...

Orange has reported a solid set of results, with Telco revenue and EBITDA in-line with consensus expectations; the important French SR trends are slightly weaker (but ahead of consensus expectations), but all guidance for Group and divisions (including France) has been reiterated.

Konrad Zomer
  • Konrad Zomer
Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/AT&T, Telia, KPN, IBM, Klepierre, real est...

Telecom - AT&T reports strong adj. EBITDA growth in 1Q25. Telia reports strong 1Q25 results. KPN reports good 1Q25 results.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Allfunds Group plc: 1Q25 Preview. Azelis: 1Q25 EBITA miss on tariff uncertainty, €20m self-help to support margins. Exor: Announces oversubscribed €1bn SBB tender offer, strike at VWAP +2%. Flow Traders: Mike drop. Fugro: 1Q25 as expected but outlook a question mark. IMCD: Breaking with tradition: CEO gone within 15 months. Kinepolis: Weak 1Q25, offset by a strong 2Q25 start. KPN: Small 1Q25 EBITDAal beat, guidance reiterated. Randstad: Capital Markets Event. RELX: 1Q25 trading...

Guy Sips ... (+10)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : FLOW NA, FUR NA, GLPG NA, KIN BB, KPN NA, XFAB FP, AZE...

: FLOW NA, FUR NA, GLPG NA, KIN BB, KPN NA, XFAB FP, AZE BB, IMCD NA, ONWD BB, AUTL US, EXO NA, ZEAL DC, PHVS US

Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq

KPN 1Q25: Profitability exceeds expectations, reiterates outlook

KPN reported a solid set of 1Q25 results, with adj. service revenues up 3.1% organically to € 1319m, hereby slightly exceeding expectations (kbcse: € 1310m, css: € 1311m). Adj. EBITDAal increased 3.1% organically to € 634m, or comfortably above expectations (kbcse & € 624m). The group also reiterated its upward revised guidance from mid-February. Following the recent share price rally due to KPN's limited direct impact to tariffs, we lower our rating from Buy to Hold and reiterate our € 4.2 TP.

 PRESS RELEASE

KPN delivers solid start to the year

KPN delivers solid start to the year Continued Group service revenue growth (+3.8% y-on-y, of which +0.7% Youfone), all segments delivering organic growthConsumer service revenue grew 4.6% y-on-y, of which +3.4% YoufoneBusiness service revenue grew 5.1% y-on-y, driven by SME and Tailored SolutionsAdj. EBITDA AL +4.7% y-on-y, of which +0.9% Youfone and +0.7% AlthioAs anticipated, FCF impacted by higher interest and tax payments and phasing of working capitalKPN leading the Dutch fiber market, adding 100k HP (incl. Glaspoort) and 94k HC to fiber footprintKPN’s mobile network awarded with the ...

Stefan Gauffin
  • Stefan Gauffin

Tele2 (Hold, TP: SEK140.00) - Drivers of cash flow to be reversed

Tele2 reported a solid Q1 with a beat on EBITDA, and especially strong cash flow, which was related to one-off items that are mostly expected to be reversed in coming quarters. We reiterate our HOLD and SEK140 target price.

ABGSC Telecom Operators Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Telecom Operators Research
  • Oscar Rönnkvist
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard
  • Simon Granath
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AkzoNobel: 3% beat on 1Q25 Adj. EBITDA, FY25 guidance maintained at +€1.55bn. BE Semiconductor Industries: 1Q25 results - extending the downcycle. Corbion: Apogee. Just Eat Takeaway.com: 1Q25 Trading Update - no impact on the bid. Kinepolis: 1Q25 preview. KPN: 1Q25 preview. Randstad: Strong 9% high quality beat on 1Q25, 2Q25 outlook looks a touch below. Vår Energi: Fine start of the year, more to come. Vopak: Reasonable start, cashflow developing nicely.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Tele2 (Neutral, TP: SEK 130, -1%) Q1 25: A strong start to the year

Tele2 has reported a good set of results, with a strong inflection in EBITDAaL trends, and EBITDAaL is +2.6% ahead of consensus (albeit c50% of the EBITDAaL beat is due to a Lithuania cost deferral). The key question is whether or not this is a pull forward of the already announced cost savings, or a new higher level?

ABGSC Telecom Operators Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Telecom Operators Research
  • Oscar Rönnkvist
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard
  • Simon Granath
 PRESS RELEASE

KPN reports on progress of € 250m share buyback

KPN reports on progress of € 250m share buyback KPN has repurchased 1,400,000 KPN ordinary shares in the period from 14 April to 18 April 2025. The shares were repurchased at an average price of € 4.02 per share for a total consideration of € 5.6m. These repurchases are part of the € 250m share buyback started on 25 February 2025 and reflect KPN's commitment to structurally return additional capital to its shareholders. The total number of ordinary shares repurchased to date is 14,334,964 for a total consideration of € 54.6m. Transaction details of the share buyback are available on our ....

ABGSC Telecom Operators Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Telecom Operators Research
  • Oscar Rönnkvist
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard
  • Simon Granath
Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Elisa (Neutral, TP: €46, +5%) Q1 25: Weaker SR y/y, but better EBITDA...

Elisa has reported a slightly mixed set of results – SR has missed by -1.6%, but EBITDA is +0.9% ahead. LFL y/y EBITDA trends are better, but LFL y/y SR trends are slower, and that’s the rub: Elisa can’t seemingly grow EBITDA and SR at the same time, or more importantly EBITDA at faster rate than SR, but with good SR growth. Until that changes, or it beats expectations, it is unlikely to materially re-rate in our view, hence the Neutral rating.

 PRESS RELEASE

KPN AGM approves all agenda items

KPN AGM approves all agenda items Today, Royal KPN N.V.'s ("KPN") Annual General Meeting of Shareholders ("AGM") granted the requested approvals on all items on the agenda. The agenda included a resolution to declare a total dividend over the fiscal year 2024 of € 17.0 cents per ordinary share. As a result, a final dividend of € 10.2 cents per ordinary share will be paid in cash, net of 15% dividend withholding tax, on 28 April 2025. As of 22 April 2025, the shares will trade ex-dividend. Furthermore, the AGM approved the reappointments of KPN's chair, Mr Gerard van de Aast for a second ...

Chaima Ferrandon ... (+3)
  • Chaima Ferrandon
  • Christian Arnold
  • Sven Edelfelt
AKRBF AKER BP ASA
LHN HOLCIM AG
FP TOTAL SE
HEIA HEINEKEN NV
PUB PUBLICIS GROUPE SA
GET GETLINK SE
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
O2D TELEFONICA DEUTSCHLAND HOLDING AG
EDEN EDENRED SA
IPN IPSEN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
BT.A BT GROUP PLC
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
DG VINCI SA
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
NK IMERYS SA
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
VCT VICAT-CIMENTS VICAT SA
TKA TELEKOM AUSTRIA AG
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
FGR EIFFAGE SA
ERIC B TELEFONAKTIEBOLAGET LM ERICSSON CLASS B
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
EN BOUYGUES SA
GBF BILFINGER SE
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
AGS AGEAS SA/NV
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
OMV OMV AG
AMUN AMUNDI SA
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
RAND RANDSTAD NV
ENI ENI S.P.A.
GEBN GEBERIT AG
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
P2F PETROFAC LIMITED
IMPN IMPLENIA AG
REP REPSOL SA
CRG CRH PLC
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
WBD WEBUILD S.P.A.
INX IMCD N.V.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
SIK SIKA AG
FDJ LA FRANCAISE DES JEUX SA
VK VALLOUREC SA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
FUR FUGRO NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
TEN TENARIS S.A.
VIRI VIRIDIEN
Chaima Ferrandon ... (+3)
  • Chaima Ferrandon
  • Christian Arnold
  • Sven Edelfelt
AKRBF AKER BP ASA
LHN HOLCIM AG
FP TOTAL SE
HEIA HEINEKEN NV
PUB PUBLICIS GROUPE SA
GET GETLINK SE
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
O2D TELEFONICA DEUTSCHLAND HOLDING AG
EDEN EDENRED SA
IPN IPSEN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
BT.A BT GROUP PLC
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
DG VINCI SA
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
NK IMERYS SA
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
VCT VICAT-CIMENTS VICAT SA
TKA TELEKOM AUSTRIA AG
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
FGR EIFFAGE SA
ERIC B TELEFONAKTIEBOLAGET LM ERICSSON CLASS B
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
EN BOUYGUES SA
GBF BILFINGER SE
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
AGS AGEAS SA/NV
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
OMV OMV AG
AMUN AMUNDI SA
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
RAND RANDSTAD NV
ENI ENI S.P.A.
GEBN GEBERIT AG
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
P2F PETROFAC LIMITED
IMPN IMPLENIA AG
REP REPSOL SA
CRG CRH PLC
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
WBD WEBUILD S.P.A.
INX IMCD N.V.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
SIK SIKA AG
FDJ LA FRANCAISE DES JEUX SA
VK VALLOUREC SA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
FUR FUGRO NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
TEN TENARIS S.A.
VIRI VIRIDIEN
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