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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels 2024, Ackermans & Van Haaren: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels,Ackermans & Van Haaren: Strong operational performance of underlying companies and guidance fine-tuned upwards, AMG: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Aperam: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Arcadis: Highlights ING Benelux conference, Azelis: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Bekaert: Guidance cut and €200m buyback as sweetener, CFE: No new...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+7)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Agfa-Geveart: Material miss on Healthcare activities. ASML: Long-term guidance confirmed. CVC Capital Partners: Comfortably on track. DEME Group: Raises outlook, lowers capex guidance. Proximus: Pressure on CEO from another possible coalition party. SBM Offshore: Again delivering

Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman

A-rated TMT credit investments/Better credits at similar spreads

In this report we evaluate the single-A TMT space. We argue that the notes of Wolters Kluwer, Relx, Swisscom and ASML look attractive. The notes of SAP and Telenor look to trade at fair value. As spread curves trade rather flat, we prefer notes in the belly of the curves. In this note we provide a summary of our general findings, followed by company descriptions.

Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman

TMT hybrid yields trended lower/Move up in quality

In this report we evaluate spreads in the TMT hybrids space. Over the year, TMT hybrid notes have performed well. However, we now think the tightening potential over senior notes is more limited. One can move up in quality (or lower duration) without giving up much additional spread.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: A strong 3Q24, driven by Europe. CFE: 3Q24 preview - able to keep net profit outlook? CTP: Good results, guidance reiterated. DEME Group: 3Q24 preview - keeping the FY outlook. Exor: Ferrari hitting Chinese wall. IBA: Contract win for E-beam sterilisation solution in the Dominican Republic. Kendrion: 3Q24 preview - harsh end markets but easy comps. Proximus: 2025 price increases on the high side, more asset sales in the pipeline. Solvay: 3Q24 results beat by 4% bu...

Konrad Zomer ... (+2)
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO : Two more constellations! IRIS² and Apple-GlobalStar

>IRIS²: a high cost, new investments for SES and Eutelsat - The European Commission has awarded a 12-year concession contract for the design, delivery and operation of the IRIS² constellation to SpaceRISE, a consortium composed of Eutelsat, SES and Hispasat. IRIS2 will have 260 low earth orbit satellites (LEO, orbit used by OneWeb/Eutelsat) and 18 medium earth orbit satellites (MEO, the orbit for which SES is the only player). Orange and Deutsche Telekom are partners,...

Konrad Zomer ... (+2)
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO : Et deux constellations de plus ! IRIS² et Apple-Globalstar

>IRIS² : un coût élevé, de nouveaux investissements pour SES et Eutelsat - La Commission européenne a attribué un contrat de concession de 12 ans pour la conception, la livraison et l'exploitation de la constellation IRIS² à SpaceRISE, un consortium composé d'Eutelsat, SES et Hispasat. IRIS2 comptera 260 satellites de basse orbite (LEO, orbite utilisée par OneWeb/Eutelsat) et 18 de moyenne orbite (MEO, l’orbite dont SES est le seul acteur). Orange et Deutsche Telekom ...

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Swisscom (Neutral, TP: CHF600, +8%) Q3 24: Swiss EBITDA supported by g...

Swisscom has reported a solid set of numbers. Swiss SR trends ex wholesale are unchanged (which is in stark contrast to Sunrise), but better cost cutting has led to a 2% EBITDA beat vs consensus for Switzerland and a 1% beat at the Group level.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: 3Q24 preview - no signs of recovery expected. AB InBev: All to play for in the final quarter. Arcadis: A mixed bag. Ayvens: Struggling to get out of neutral. dsm-firmenich: Taking your vitamins is healthy. D'Ieteren: Belron equity at €23.5bn, EV €32.2bn in minority shareholder transaction. Euronext: 3Q24 and CMD Preview. Flow Traders: Bumper harvest. Heijmans: 3Q24 as expected, keeps FY outlook in place. Proximus: Key politician pushing for major governance shake up. ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica: Good top line, portfolio stabilising, guidance marginally revised upward. Ageas: China Taiping Life 3Q Solvency remains strong. ASM: 3Q24 results – That's a relief - FY25 guide narrowed upwards. Belgian Telecoms: Peer Telenet 3Q24 results, still losing shares. Fugro: Focus on EBITDA and orderbook. GBL: Kicking off its trainers and cashing in €0.6bn. Colruyt: To operate 100 OKay City stores by 2032F. Heijmans: Preview - Progressing well. KPN: VodafoneZiggo 3Q24 show still weak pe...

Oliver Metzger ... (+3)
  • Oliver Metzger
  • Thomas Zlowodzki
  • Wim Gille

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 28/10/2024

Les députés ont supprimé vendredi dernier la surtaxe d’Impôt sur les Sociétés proposée par le gouvernement français dans son PLF 2025. Il serait, selon nous, hasardeux de crier victoire trop tôt, et cette disposition pourrait faire son retour durant la suite du débat budgétaire, sous la forme initialement proposée par le gouvernement ou sous une autre. Nous restons prudents sur les actions françaises, le débat budgétaire restant chaotique et pas à la hauteur des enjeux, comme le souli...

Oliver Metzger ... (+3)
  • Oliver Metzger
  • Thomas Zlowodzki
  • Wim Gille

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 10/28/2024

Last Friday, MEPs scrapped the exceptional additional corporate tax proposed by the French government in its PLF 2025. In our view, it would be risky to claim victory prematurely, and this provision could make a comeback during the remainder of the budget debate, in the form initially proposed by the government or in another form. We remain cautious on French equities, as the budget debate remains chaotic and fails to live up to the stakes, as underlined by Moody's downgrade of the so...

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

KPN (Neutral, TP: €3.8, +1%) Q3 24: Solid quarter, but slowing B2C fi...

KPN has reported a solid set of numbers with EBITDAaL c+1% ahead of consensus expectations and although FCF has missed, we expect the miss to be made up in Q4 as the timing of an interest payment has changed quarter.

Konrad Zomer
  • Konrad Zomer

KPN : Ongoing solid execution of a sound strategy

>3Q results a touch ahead of consensus with FY guidance maintained - KPN reported a strong set of results. Adjusted revenue growth was 4.2% at € 1,420m (consensus € 1,405m) and adjusted EBITDAaL came in at € 643m, +2.3% (+1.9% adjusted for Youfone). This was a touch ahead of consensus and our forecast (€ 639m). Capex was € 281m (consensus € 301m), down 8% yoy as a result of the timing of investments. FCF was disappointing at €178m (-10% YoY) and 20% below consensus at...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

bpost: Stamp/Parcel prices for 2025 announced KPN: Solid 3Q24 on better business and wholesale, managing down expectations on 2025/2026 FCF growth Philips: 3Q24 results, Prolonged China pain Vopak: A bit cautious on 3Q24 Events Calendar

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