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Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman

Proximus meets headwinds/Daughter Proximus Global reduces FY25 outlook

Proximus has lowered its FY25 outlook because Proximus Global encountered unexpected headwinds. Although Proximus performed relatively well in Belgium, domestic competition is another source of uncertainty. Notably, Proximus is making slow progress to roll out fibre in Belgium together with competitors. The Proximus notes offer limited value, in our view.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Proximus (Neutral, TP: €12.5, +52%) Q2 25: Mixed results, guidance lif...

Proximus has reported a mixed set of results and has updated guidance accordingly: domestic guidance has been lifted, but Global guidance has been cut heavily, with the net effect being a small downgrade to Group EBITDA guidance.

Guy Sips
  • Guy Sips

Materialise Macro-economic uncertainty impacting business climate for ...

Although its Medical segment was demonstrating its resilience (nearly +17% y/y in 2Q25), Materialise's overall 2Q25 revenue decreased -5.8% y/y to € 64.8m impacted by increasing geo-political uncertainty and sustained macro-economic headwinds negatively impacted revenues in its Manufacturing and Software segments. Despite revenue pressure, Materialise was able to materially improve its operational profitability in 2Q25 q/q/ through structural and targeted cost control. Unfavourable FX-effects ...

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Proximus

Proximus FY25 outlook lowered on weak performance Proximus Global

Roy Külter ... (+2)
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Belgian Telecoms: Orange Belgium and Proximus MoU on Fiber deployment and increased access to gigabit networks in Wallonia. Cofinimmo: Bottom line outperforming outlook. Elia: Solid start to the year, but with some help from accounting. Heijmans: Another leg up! Proximus: Better Domestic cannot hide Proximus Global double accident, MoU an incremental negative. Signify: 2Q25 Results, better growth, lower margins. WDP: No surprises, 2025 and 2027 targets reiterated. Events Calendar

Guy Sips ... (+7)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi
Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+8)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste

Morning Notes : AVS NA, CSUA NA, GIMBb BB, KPNa NA, RANDa NA, SOFb BB,...

: AVS NA, CSUA NA, GIMBb BB, KPNa NA, RANDa NA, SOFb BB, N4SA NA, PHVS US

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Akzo Nobel: FX drives 2Q25 miss and FY guidance cut. dsm-firmenich: Givaudan 1H25 results. Exor: In talks over Iveco sale. Lotus Bakeries: Peer Lindt & Sprüngli 1H25 results. Proximus: CpaaS peer Sinch 2Q25 results hurt by FX. Signify: 2Q25 Preview, challenges ahead. Var Energi: Promising continuation of dividend. Vopak: Continued story. Wereldhave: Strong operational results, positive market tone, guidance raised. Events Calendar

Marc Zwartsenburg ... (+2)
  • Marc Zwartsenburg
  • CEFA

ING Benelux Favourites/Weekly performance and valuation update

We update the performance of our ING Benelux Favourites list as well as all valuation and ranking tables for our coverage universe. Performance on the front page is dated from the 27 January 2025, while historical performance is included on the second page. The methodology for our favourites selection is based on a bottom-up approach with a focus on absolute performance with clear near-term triggers. It is a rolling list, ie, stocks can enter/exit whenever we think opportune. The ING Benelux Fav...

Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

GBL: 1H25 preview; Greenyard: Results of initial acceptance period of voluntary and conditional takeover bid; Proximus: Weak Route Mobile results 1Q26, change in CEO; Staffing sector: Manpower 2Q25 beats; 3Q25 outlook only slightly better Coverage change Events Calendar

David Vagman ... (+2)
  • David Vagman
  • CFA

Proximus/Focus on FCF evolution beyond 2025/HOLD

We think the focus of the 2Q25 results and call will be a clarification of the vague organic FCF guidance beyond 2025. Proximus came up at 2Q24 with a double ‘tri yearly average FCF' guidance for 2025-2027 and 2028-2030, both surprisingly low. This led to significant pressure on the shares in 2H24. The 2025-2027 guidance is for “at least €200m per year”, then including €470m of disposals, so c.€100m of organic FCF per year. The 2028-2030 is for at least €300m. Based on Proximus' latest pre 2Q25 ...

Marc Zwartsenburg ... (+4)
  • Marc Zwartsenburg
  • CEFA
  • Reg Watson
  • CFA

Basic-Fit/Preview 1H25 – positive lead indicators for 2Q25/BUY

We reiterate our BUY rating but raise our target price from €30.0 to €31.5 while we also underline that BFIT remains on the ING Benelux Favourites list. We expect a strong set of 1H25 results driven by ongoing positive membership ingrowth supported by strong Google search trend data for Spain and France after an already strong 1Q25. We expect further support for the investments in the French 24/7 gym roll-out while we see potential upside to our FY26F estimates based on a change in the staffing ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: Peer Albertsons 1Q25/26 results ASML: 2Q25 results; good update, focus on FY26 Barco: 1H25 results; margin uplift despite headwinds Belgian Telecoms: DIGI fixed internet launch in Wallonia Flow Traders: June global volume rises but volatility declines MoM NSI: Good operational results, cautious outlook Ontex: Sizeable profit warning calls for material consensus downgrade

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