reports
- Charlotte Vaisse
- Jerôme Bodin
- Marc Lavaud
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 10/18/2024
The recovery in growth in the IT & engineering services sector is undermined by the still mixed macroeconomic climate and the setbacks in the automotive and aerospace sectors. The improvement in sector momentum will therefore be minimal in H2 2024 with a growing decorrelation between the US which should be robust and a stagnating Europe. This leads us to adopt a more cautious approach on companies in our sector (revision to our 2025 growth estimates for 12 companies) and to prefer Acc...
- Charlotte Vaisse
- Jerôme Bodin
- Marc Lavaud
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 18/10/2024
La reprise de la croissance du secteur IT & Engineering Services est mise à mal par un contexte macro toujours mitigé et par les déboires des secteurs Auto et Aéro. Ainsi, l’amélioration de la dynamique du secteur sera minimale au S2 2024 et probablement aussi au S1 2025, avec une décorrélation grandissante entre les US qui devraient être solides et une Europe stagnante. Ceci nous amène à adopter une approche plus prudente pour les sociétés de notre secteur (révision de croissance 202...
- Carole Braudeau
- Carole Braudeau
- Robert Jan Vos
Basic-Fit N.V. : Q3 2024 in line with forecasts; membership price incr...
>Report on key items in line with our forecasts for Q3 2024 - Basic-Fit had 1,570 clubs open at the end of Q3 2024, which is four more clubs than our forecast. Memberships amounted to 4.20m, pretty much in line with our forecast of 4.22m memberships. Basic-Fit reported net revenue of € 307m in Q3 2024, a notch below our forecast of € 310m. The yield (average monthly revenue per member) came in at € 23.86, in line with our forecast of € 23.85. Basic-Fit said that membe...
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Basic-Fit: 3Q24 results strong, membership ingrowth ahead, on track to FY24 outlook. BE Semiconductor Industries: 3Q24 preview - a mixed picture. CM.com: 3Q24 trading update – in the right direction. Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC: No more pussyFTSEing around. Exor: Once-in-a-decade launch of Ferrari's next flagship supercar. Signify: 3Q24 Preview, prolonged market weakness. Staffing sector: Manpower 3Q24 results a slight miss, 4Q24 outlook weak and well below. WDP: Results in ...
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Wim Lewi
- Lynn Hautekeete
Basic-Fit 3Q24 trading update: sacrificing pricing for growth
This morning Basic-Fit reported its 3Q24 trading update. The quarterly updates provide less information than last year. It has repeated the FY24 guidance given on all its KPI's apart from the average yield per member. Initially it was guided at EUR 24.50 vs EUR 24.25 now. The reason is the lower priced membership and discounts given to attract members. Hence the YTD membership growth is slightly above our expectations. As of FY25 there will again be a new membership structure in line with commun...
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 10/17/2024
We measured the impact of the contribution from Michel Barnier’s exceptional tax on 88 stocks exposed to France. Some 17 of them would experience a (negative) impact on their EPS of more than 4% on average over 2024 and 2025: LDC (-8.3%), Synergie (-8%), Eiffage (-7.9%), ADP (-7.9%), Dassault Aviation (-7%), Crit (-6.9%), Derichebourg (-6.3%), Hermès (-5.6%), Safran (-5.6%), Bouygues (-5.6%), M6 (-5.2%), Thales (-5%), TF1 (-4.9%), Nexans (-4.9%), Vinci (-4.7%), Compagnie des Alpes (...
FP TOTAL SE
IPN IPSEN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
ALFOC FOCUS HOME INTERACTIVE SA
AUTN AUTONEUM HOLDING AG
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
BFIT BASIC-FIT NV
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
KORI KORIAN SA
HCO HIGHCO SA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
VIRP VIRBAC SA
VETO VETOQUINOL SA
VLS VALNEVA SE
LNA LNA SANTE SA
GBT GUERBET SA
GLO GL EVENTS SA
KER KERING SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
PNL POSTNL NV
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
TIETO TIETOEVRY OYJ
TECN TECAN GROUP AG
SLIGR SLIGRO FOOD GROUP N.V.
AALB AALBERTS N.V.
MONC MONCLER SPA
BEZ BERENTZEN GRUPPE
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
BP. BP P.L.C.
BIM BIOMERIEUX SA
S92 SMA SOLAR TECHNOLOGY AG
BAR BARCO NV
NA9 NAGARRO
SHEL SHELL PLC
EAPI EUROAPI
ORP ORPEA
- Carole Braudeau
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 17/10/2024
Nous avons mesuré l’impact de la contribution exceptionnelle Barnier sur 88 valeurs exposées à la France. 17 d’entre elles auraient un impact (négatif) sur leurs BPA de plus de 4% en moyenne sur 2024 et 2025 : LDC (-8,3%), Synergie (-8%), Eiffage (-7,9%) ADP (-7,9%), Dassault Aviation (-7%), Crit (-6,9%), Derichebourg (-6,3%), Hermès (-5,6%), Safran (-5,6%), Bouygues (-5,6%), M6 (-5,2%), Thalès (-5%), TF1 (-4,9%), Nexans (-4,9%), Vinci (-4,7%), Compagnie des Alpes (-4,4%), FDJ (-4%). - ...
FP TOTAL SE
IPN IPSEN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
ALFOC FOCUS HOME INTERACTIVE SA
AUTN AUTONEUM HOLDING AG
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
BFIT BASIC-FIT NV
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
KORI KORIAN SA
HCO HIGHCO SA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
VIRP VIRBAC SA
VETO VETOQUINOL SA
VLS VALNEVA SE
LNA LNA SANTE SA
GBT GUERBET SA
GLO GL EVENTS SA
KER KERING SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
PNL POSTNL NV
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
TIETO TIETOEVRY OYJ
TECN TECAN GROUP AG
SLIGR SLIGRO FOOD GROUP N.V.
AALB AALBERTS N.V.
MONC MONCLER SPA
BEZ BERENTZEN GRUPPE
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
BP. BP P.L.C.
BIM BIOMERIEUX SA
S92 SMA SOLAR TECHNOLOGY AG
BAR BARCO NV
NA9 NAGARRO
SHEL SHELL PLC
EAPI EUROAPI
ORP ORPEA
- Carole Braudeau
- Robert Jan Vos
Basic-Fit N.V. : 14% growth in clubs/memberships, and 9% revenue growt...
>1,566 clubs, 4.219m memberships and revenue of € 310m forecast for Q3 - Basic-Fit is set to report its Q3 2024 trading update on 18 October at 07:30. We note that the updates for Q1 and Q3 address number of clubs, memberships, revenue and yield only. Furthermore, Basic-Fit does not host a conference call following its Q1 and Q3 updates. We forecast 1,566 clubs (+29 sequentially), memberships of 4.219m (+128,365), and revenue of € 310m. We expect Basic-Fit to reiterat...
- Carole Braudeau
Credit Morning 10/16/2024
Ipsos: new warning on 2024 revenues with no impact on margins Moody’s upgrades Crelan’s issuer rating from A3 / positive to A2 / stable Rexel cuts full-year guidance after lower-than-forecast Q3 Fnac Darty revises up its full-year guidance for current operating profit after Q3 LVMH: Q3 sales below expectations with a 5% drop in fashion & leather goods. 2024 production targets revised downwards for manganese in Gabon and nickel in Weda Bay>...
- Carole Braudeau
Morning Crédit 16/10/2024
Fnac Darty relève sa guidance annuelle de ROC après le T3Rexel abaisse ses guidances annuelles après un T3 inférieur aux attentesLVMH : un CA T3 inférieur aux attentes avec une baisse de 5% de Mode et MaroquinerieEramet : Révision en baisse des objectifs de production 2024 pour le manganèse au Gabon et le nickel à Weda BayMoody’s upgrade Crelan de A3 / positif à A2 / stableIpsos : nouveau warning sur le CA 2024 sans impact sur la marge>...
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
- Paul Rouviere
- Philippine Adam
On the shelves now: Consumer weekly #43
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. As we are now entering the crucial holiday shopping season, this week we look at external facto
- Joan Sehim
Forvia : Bad news piles up
Faced with an increasingly difficult and uncertain environment, Forvia has revised its 2024 guidance downwards and will communicate new 2025 objectives next February. In this study, we detail the latest major trends in the sector (production, EV market, the China/Europe dynamic, etc.) and their implications for Forvia's credit profile. - - - - - - - > - - - ...
- Joan Sehim
Forvia : Les mauvaises nouvelles s’accumulent
Face à un environnement de plus en plus difficile et incertain, Forvia a révisé à la baisse sa guidance 2024 et communiquera sur de nouveaux objectifs 2025 en février prochain. Dans cette étude, nous détaillons les dernières grandes tendances du secteur (production, marché de l’électrique, dynamique Chine/Europe…) et leurs implications sur le profil crédit de Forvia. - - - - - - - - > - - - ...
- Olfa Taamallah
- Yan Derocles
ODDO : Majors begin a phase of upward revisions
Thanks to unit revenue that has proven more resilient than anticipated, real discipline on capacity and a decline in the fuel bill, we expect margins to recover, especially for the legacies. IAG remains our top pick. We are upgrading Air France-KLM and Lufthansa to Neutral and downgrading Ryanair to Underperform as well as WizzAir on Neutral. - >Sights on the legacies: IAG remains our top pick, Air France and Lufthansa upgraded to Neutral - We have the legacies in our ...
- Olfa Taamallah
- Yan Derocles
ODDO : Les majors amorcent leur phase de montée
Grâce à une recette unitaire qui se tient mieux que prévu, une discipline capacitaire notable et une baisse de la facture carburant, nous anticipons un rebond des marges tout particulièrement pour les majors. IAG reste notre valeur préférée. Nous relevons Air France-KLM et Lufthansa à Neutre et abaissons Ryanair à Sous-performance ainsi que Wizz Air à Neutre. - >Cap sur les majors: IAG en top pick, Air France et Lufthansa relevées à Neutre - Nous mettons le cap sur le...
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