reports
- Francesca Ferragina
Benelux Real Estate sector update/Wind of change
With an improving macroeconomic outlook and companies trading at appealing multiples, we are positive on the Benelux real estate sector (current discount to 2024F NAV of 25.6% vs average 2019-23 premium of 4% for our coverage universe). We believe the transaction market is set to reopen as companies step out of defensive mode with valuations stabilising and balance sheets in order. Following some first meaningful deals seen in 4Q24, we expect more to come. During 2025, we expect the attention to...
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Aedifica: Development pipeline update. NN Group: Weaker Sol 2, Cap Gen on solid track though. Staffing: Hays' 2Q24/25 trading - slight beat, underlying weaker, 1H25 outlook below. Vonovia: Deutsche Wohnen disposal of nursing company Pflegen & Wohnen. WDP: New office in Paris. Zabka: Biedronka FY24 sales
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Lewi
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Ackermans & van Haaren: Nextensa might aim for ‘Proximus Towers' landmark project. D'Ieteren: Auto CEO sees Belgian new car market at 420k in 2025, down 6% YoY. Fastned: Preview of 4Q24 trading update. Proximus: HQ sale likely at price materially lower than expected. Randstad: 4Q24F results due 12 Feb, consensus released, negative earnings momentum. WDP: Sizeable acquisition in Belgium
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Wim Lewi
Warehouses De Pauw Acquires historic Renault site for re-development
WDP pays EUR 100m for the 190k sqm “Renault” site that has been owned by Family Moorkens since the closure in 1997. WDP will gradually redevelop the site that has now an approx. 7% yield. It is currently leased to different formats for car storage/leasing, distribution for Ici Paris XL and some city services. The re-development could span the next 10 yrs as the site is already yielding. That is a big difference with a greenfield landbank. The rent reversal potential is huge as the rent/sqm is n...
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Guy Sips
What's Cooking? Intention to purchase Sveltic in France
What's Cooking? announces the intent to purchase Sveltic in France. Sveltic has a broad range of frozen and chilled ready meals, complementary to the existing Ready Meals business strategy of What's Cooking? We see this as a first step in What's Cooking?'s intention to further invest in Ready Meals through organic growth and acquisitions. We increase our TP to €135 but lower our rating to Accumulate after the recent very strong share price performance.
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Roy Külter
ODDO : La baisse des taux d’intérêt favorise l’immobilier : nos top pi...
Le maintien d’un environnement baissier des taux d’intérêt devrait être porteur pour le secteur immobilier en 2025 et lui permettre de continuer à surperformer. Dans ce contexte, nous privilégions le commerce et le résidentiel allemand , qualifiés de «safe haven» et plus spécifiquement Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia et Xior Student Housing pour un potentiel moyen de +30%. Elles sont les plus à même pour nous d’exécuter leur stratégie de croissance / repositionnement. Nous abaisson...
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Roy Külter
ODDO : Interest rate winds favor real estate: Our top picks for 2025
An environment of further interest rate decline is set to underpin the real estate sector in 2025 and see it continue to outperform. On this basis, we prefer retail and the German residential market, which are seen as safe havens, more specifically Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia and Xior Student Housing for an average upside of +30%. They are the best positioned, as we see it, to execute their growth/repositioning strategies. We have downgraded Branicks, Cofinimmo, Icade and Patr...
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
Dynamic Top Pick List How to start 2025?
On this Friday the 13th we select for you 13 stocks to start 2025 with a bang : ABN Amro, Ackermans & van Haaren, Bekaert, D'Ieteren, EVS, Fagron, Fugro, Gimv, Melexis, Shurgard, Sofina, WDP and Xior However, we maintain a defensive stance in our Benelux selection at the start of 2025.. The long anticipated interest rate cuts by central banks are expected to continue their decline into 2025 (see graph above). However, the Trump election victory in the US hits European stocks even before he tak...
- Lynn Hautekeete
Basic-Fit Increased competition in Belgium
One month after VivaGym (Number 3) acquired Altafit (Number 4) in Spain for EUR 155.0m, there is now additional competition coming in the Belgian market. Jims (number 3) acquires NRG (number 2). Jims had 40 clubs (BE+Lux) and NRG 42. Jims is part of the Colruyt group (COLR BB) The name NRG will cease to exist and a rebranding of the clubs is in order. The acquisition price is unknown. With 228 clubs (YE 2024E KBCS) and 660k members (KBCS Estimate) in total, Basic-Fit remains the market leader i...
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Wim Lewi
Real Estate Report December 2024
BE-REITS suffer from macro-worries (logistics) and post-Trump knee-jerk reaction. We believe that especially money flows are pushing stocks down as interest rate fears resurfaced in the US. Our top-picks are Shurgard, WDP and Xior. SHUR and WDP have ample headroom on their balance sheet to continue their growth track record. WDP is also very cheap on cash earnings metrics vs. peers. Xior can grow and fix its balance sheet at the same time through contributions in kind.
LEAS LEASINVEST REAL ESTATE SCA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
IMMO COMPAGNIE IMMOBILIERE DE BELGIQUE SA
RET RETAIL ESTATES NV
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
QRF QRF COMM
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ATEB ATENOR S.A.
ASC ASCENCIO SCA
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
CTPNV CTP NV
HOMI HOME INVEST BELGIUM
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Guy Sips
- Kristof Samoy
- Michiel Declercq
- Wim Hoste
Local Champions Midcap Conference Book 12.12.2024
This conference book is your guide to our annual Local Champions Mid Cap Conference set to take place on Thursday, 12 December 2024 at our historic building at Grand Place in Brussels. This event offers the possibility to have one-on-one meetings and/or attend small group sessions with the top management and/or IR of the following companies: BARCO | BEKAERT | DECEUNINCK | EKOPAK | EVS | GREENYARD | IBA | JENSEN | ONTEX | RECTICEL | VAN DE VELDE | WHAT'S COOKING? | XFAB
Basic-Fit N.V.: 1 director
A director at Basic-Fit N.V. bought 10,000 shares at 21.100EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 50/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearl...
- ING Helpdesk
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Wim Lewi
- Wim Lewi
Warehouses De Pauw WDP buys 2 logistics parks in France, EUR 315m inve...
WDP acquires 2 new logistics platforms (Bollène and Puceul) from the listed real estate group Altarea. The investment amounts to EUR 315m for a total GLA of 305k sqm, of which 76k sqm under development for completion in 2026. The initial net yield is expected 5.2% with an upside rental potential of 15%. We believe that recent press speculation that Hines is not selling the Auchan portfolio anymore. WDP was rumoured to be in final negotiations for a part of 200m at a 5.0% yield. This deal is sim...
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Steven Boumans
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/13/2024
We maintain our Outperform rating on CaixaBank, one of our Top Picks in the sector, with a higher target of € 7.2 vs € 6.7 and ahead of the CMD on 19 November. We are lifting our net income estimates by 7% for 2025-2026, to 7% above the consensus. The strategic update is set to highlight the wisdom of the business model diversification (long-term savings) to address the current transition phase on rates. Despite a solid market performance, the profile does not look to be fully reflec...
LHN HOLCIM AG
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
HO THALES SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
HNR1 HANNOVER RUECK SE
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
RWE RWE AG
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ACS ACTIVIDADES DE CONSTRUCCION Y SERVICIOS SA
YPSN YPSOMED HOLDING AG
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Steven Boumans
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 13/11/2024
Nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance sur CaixaBank, l’un de nos top picks du secteur, avec un OC porté à 7.2 € vs 6.7 € et en amont du CMD du 19/11. Nous relevons nos anticipations de RN de 7% sur 2025/2026 qui ressortent 7% supérieures au consensus. L’update stratégique devrait mettre en avant la pertinence de la diversification du business model (épargne LT) face à la transition actuelle sur les taux. Malgré un solide parcours boursier, cela n’est pas pleinement reflété dans ...
LHN HOLCIM AG
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
HO THALES SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
HNR1 HANNOVER RUECK SE
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
RWE RWE AG
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ACS ACTIVIDADES DE CONSTRUCCION Y SERVICIOS SA
YPSN YPSOMED HOLDING AG
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
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