>The advertising trend is solid in Italy and tough in Spain in Q3 - MFE reported yesterday its Q3 earnings, in with our forecasts for EBIT. Group EBIT for 9M stood at € 127m, i.e. -€ 9.8m in Q3, an improvement vs -€ 22.8m for Q3 2023 (the consensus was forecasting -€ 7m in Q3 2024). Advertising growth came to +11.8% in Q3 in Italy and -6.8% in Spain. MFE’s situation is quite different to that of the other broadcasters; the group benefits from synergies with Mediaset E...
>Une tendance publicitaire solide en Italie et difficile en Espagne sur le T3 - MFE a publié hier ses résultats du T3 ressortis en ligne avec nos attentes au niveau de l’EBIT. L’EBIT groupe sur les 9M ressort à 127 M€ soit -9,8 M€ sur le T3 en amélioration vs -22,8 M€ sur le T3 2023 (le consensus tablait sur -7 M€ au T3 2024). La croissance publicitaire est ressortie à +11,8% sur le T3 en Italie et -6,8 % en Espagne. La situation de MFE est assez différente des autres...
>Sub-par EBIT almost offset by interest expenses and taxation in H1 2024/25 - Like-for-like sales increased 6.1% in H1 2024/25 (Fresh: 6.5%, Long Fresh: 4.5%), which was ahead of our estimate (3.5% group). Adjusted EBITDA was € 94.4m, in line with our estimate. EBIT was € 31m, which is materially below our forecast. Greenyard mentions reorganisation costs (€ 4.5m), and higher depreciation. Although a notch below our estimate, finance costs are high at € 26m in H1 2024...
After successfully navigating its business during two challenging years in 2022 and 2023, which were marked by unseen inflation, Greenyard reached in 1H24/25 operational results in line with our model with increased net sales and a further improvement of its Adj. EBITDA driven by sustained volume growth particularly in the Fresh segment and by managing optimal price levels across as well its Fresh as in its Long Fresh division. We welcome the reduction of both debt and leverage ratio (from 2.39x...
Comme prévu, les actions américaines ont salué la victoire de Donald Trump tandis que les bourses européennes accusaient le coup, également lestées deux jours plus tard par une nouvelle déception sur le plan de relance chinois. Nos stratégies sectorielles et paniers de valeurs Trump (long ou short) ont fonctionné, avec quelques exceptions qui peuvent être des opportunités d’investissement, à l’instar de Total Energies ou Repsol. En Europe, nous conservons notre opinion Sous-pondérer s...
As expected, US equities welcomed Donald Trump's victory, while European stock markets reacted negatively, also weighed down two days later by a further disappointment on China's stimulus plan. Our sector strategies and baskets of Trump stocks (long or short) have paid off, with a few exceptions that may provide investment opportunities, like Total Energies or Repsol. In Europe, we are maintaining our Underweight recommendation on the Basic Resources, Chemicals, Luxury Goods and Autom...
>Progress on the operating front: significant levers will again be activated in FY 2024-25 - In FY 2024-25, Pluxee expects low double-digit growth in total revenues, including low double-digit growth in operating revenues and weak organic growth in float revenue. Growth should be driven by Latam, despite a still challenging base of comparison in Q1/start of Q2 due to the loss of a public contract in Chile (until December), and by the Rest of the World, and to a lesser...
>Progression de l’opérationnel : des leviers importants seront à nouveau activés en 2024/25 - En 2024/25, Pluxee anticipe une croissance organique low double-digit de son revenu total, intégrant une croissance du CA opérationnel low double-digit et une faible croissance organique du revenu du float. La croissance devrait être portée par le Latam, malgré une base de comparaison encore difficile au T1/début T2 en raison de la perte d’un contrat public au Chili (jusqu’en...
Greenyard will publish its 1H24/25 results (1 April to 30 September) on Tuesday, 19 November, at 7am CET. During the last AGM in September, Greenyard did not provide any guidance for the current year or half year. We expect 1H24/25F sales to be up by 4.8% YoY to €2.64bn, driven by 1.7% inflation and FX effects, with 3.3% volume growth in Greenyard's Fresh segment and 2.3% volume growth in the Long Fresh segment. Greenyard is currently trading at a discount to our peer group median EV/EBITDA valu...
We maintain our Outperform rating on CaixaBank, one of our Top Picks in the sector, with a higher target of € 7.2 vs € 6.7 and ahead of the CMD on 19 November. We are lifting our net income estimates by 7% for 2025-2026, to 7% above the consensus. The strategic update is set to highlight the wisdom of the business model diversification (long-term savings) to address the current transition phase on rates. Despite a solid market performance, the profile does not look to be fully reflec...
Nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance sur CaixaBank, l’un de nos top picks du secteur, avec un OC porté à 7.2 € vs 6.7 € et en amont du CMD du 19/11. Nous relevons nos anticipations de RN de 7% sur 2025/2026 qui ressortent 7% supérieures au consensus. L’update stratégique devrait mettre en avant la pertinence de la diversification du business model (épargne LT) face à la transition actuelle sur les taux. Malgré un solide parcours boursier, cela n’est pas pleinement reflété dans ...
>PSOE and Sumar spring a surprise in seeking to suddenly abolish the SOCIMI regime - On Monday 11 November, the PSOE reached a tax agreement with its Spanish government ally, “Sumar”, whereby the two parties want to abolish the SOCIMI REIT regime or at least part of its tax advantages. This sudden stance, which surprised Spanish property professionals, is thus different from the position that was presented just last week, namely to “encourage the construction of affor...
>PSOE et Sumar créent la surprise en voulant supprimer soudainement le régime SOCIMI - Ce lundi 11 novembre, le PSOE sont parvenus à un accord fiscal avec son allié au gouvernement espagnol, « Sumar », par lequel les deux partis veulent supprimer le régime SOCIMI ou au moins une partie de ses avantages fiscaux. Cette prise de position soudaine qui a crée la surprise auprès des professionnels de l’immobilier espagnol, diffère ainsi de la position qui était encore mise ...
FORVIA: Total number of voting rights and shares forming the share capital Nanterre, 6 November 2024 Total number of voting rights and shares forming the share capital (Article L. 233-8 II of the French Commercial Code andArticle 223-16 of the General Regulation of the French Financial Markets Authority)__________________ Trading place: Euronext Paris Compartment: A ISIN code: FR0000121147 LEI code: 969500F0VMZLK2IULV85 DateNumber of sharesTotal number of theoretical voting rights (1)Total number of exercisable voting rights (2)31 October 2024197,089,340231,212,275219,296,035 (1) In ac...
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