HEADLINES: • Enea: full 4Q24 results in line with preliminaries; PLN 7.9bn capex planned in 2025E NEGATIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: 4Q24 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 15% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Kruk: issues 1Q25 trading statement NEUTRAL • Aegean Airlines: 1Q25 traffic – a strong start to the year POSITIVE • Turkish Airlines: 1Q25 traffic – 4% ASK growth yoy NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: March sales growth recovers to 13% yoy, but still well below our FY expectations NEUTRAL • Bank M...
HEADLINES: • OTP Bank: agrees to limit retail fees NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: EGM approves capital increase, via issuance of up to 280k new shares NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska: may face change of strategic investor NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: March sales growth accelerates to 13% yoy NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: preliminary 1Q25 bookings at USD 62m, almost flat qoq NEUTRAL
EME Equity Market – March 2025 Türkiye hammered, once again. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 0.5% in EUR terms and 4.5% mom in USD terms in March. The Czech PX Index was the best performer (+7.0% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Greek ASE (+4.8% mom), Polish WIG (+3.7% mom) and Hungarian BUX(+1.3% mom) indices (all in EUR terms). There was a muted performance from the Romanian BET Index (-0.1% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 finished in the red again, declining 9.5% mom in EUR terms.
A director at Kruk S.A. sold 9,000 shares at 393.880PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 69/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showi...
HEADLINES: • CEZ: 4Q24 results a strong beat, FY25E guidance also positive POSITIVE • PKO BP: posts solid 4Q24, and sets solid base for 2025E delivery NEUTRAL • Sarantis: FY24 slightly above guidance; minor guidance upgrade for 2025E POSITIVE • Allegro: 4Q24 EBITDA beat, solid FY25E guidance, PLN 1.4bn buyback POSITIVE • Inter Cars: preliminary 4Q24 net profit rises 41% yoy, but a slight miss vs. expectations NEUTRAL • Shoper: 4Q24 preliminary adjusted EBITDA up 32% yoy, sound 12% beat vs. our f...
HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: conditional USD 420m agreement to buy leading MAC Group fitness chain in Türkiye POSITIVE • Inter Cars: February sales growth decelerates to 3% yoy NEGATIVE • CTP: issues EUR 1bn of green bonds in two tranches, 6Y and 10Y POSITIVE • Ford Otosan: signs agreement with Iveco to develop heavy truck cabin models NEUTRAL • Polish utilities: comments on electricity price freeze for 4Q25 NEUTRAL • Baltic Classifieds Group: acquires Lithuanian real estate valuation platform ...
EME Equity Market – February 2025 Poland outperforms, again; Türkiye declines. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 3.1% in EUR terms and 2.9% mom in USD terms in February. The Polish WIG20 was, once again, the best performer, adding 7.3% mom in February; followed by the Czech PX Index (+6.1% mom); while Greece (+3.8% mom), Hungary (+3.5% mom) and Romania (+3.0% mom) all reported rather similar performances. The Turkish ISE30 was the worst performer, declining 4.5% mom.
HEADLINES: • Kruk: detailed 4Q24 results, revealing headwinds in Spain NEGATIVE • Erste Bank: small miss on 4Q24 results, but promises strong ROTE outlook for 2025E and adds another round of share buyback potential NEUTRAL • Richter: soft 4Q24 operating results NEGATIVE • Sphera Group: 4Q24 soft, as expected NEGATIVE • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: earnings a small beat, bottom line boosted by negative goodwill and low tax rate POSITIVE • Romgaz: 4Q24 results NEUTRAL • DIGI Communications: 4Q24 pre...
HEADLINES: • Piraeus Financial Holdings: 4Q24 results and medium-term guidance highlights • Kaspi.kz: 4Q24 results highlights and 2025E guidance NEUTRAL • Georgia Capital: 4Q24 NAV and earnings call takeaways NEUTRAL • Solutions by STC: 4Q24 conference call takeaways POSITIVE • Hungary macro: election campaign is heating up • Romania macro: January budget deficit brings more headaches • HELLENiQ Energy: 4Q24E preview (due on 27 February) NEUTRAL • Orlen: 4Q24E results preview (due on 27 February...
HEADLINES: • Air Astana Group: market cap largely covered by net cash (upgraded to BUY) • Gentoo Media: 4Q24 financial results review, and key conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Bank of Cyprus: 4Q24 results and 2025E guidance highlights • Akcansa: key takeaways from the 4Q24 conference call • Kruk: 4Q24E cash EBITDA and net profit guidance NEUTRAL • Arabian Drilling: announces strategic alliance with Shelf Drilling POSITIVE • Allegro: 4Q24E results preview – flat yoy EBITDA expected (due on 14 ...
HEADLINES: • CCC: preliminary 4Q24 EBITDA beats our and the market's expectations by c.20% POSITIVE • ADNOC Distribution: 4Q24 results and dividend proposal NEUTRAL • Romania macro: update on the political and fiscal situation • Poland macro: PM Tusk signals shift of policy focus • Metlen Energy & Metals: Canadian Fairfax officially raises stake to 6.4%, as expected NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: January sales growth at 9% yoy NEUTRAL • Budimex: 4Q24E preview – strong gross margin, but headlines down, as...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (3-9 February) • Eurocash: preliminary 4Q24 EBITDA flat yoy, but 10% above the consensus POSITIVE • PGE: PLN 2.4bn write-down in conventional generation to be recognised in the FY24 results NEUTRAL • Eurobank Ergasias Services: Fairfax shareholding drops to 32.9% NEUTRAL • Magyar Telekom: 4Q24E preview – 16% yoy growth in EBITDA expected (due on 25 February) • Auto Partner: 4Q24E preview – EBITDA almost flat yoy (due on 15 April) • Inter Cars: 4Q...
EME Equity Market – January 2025 The markets entered 2025 on the right foot. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 7.7% in EUR terms and 8.4% in USD terms in January. The Polish WIG20 was the best performer (+12.7% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX and Czech PX indices (+8.9% mom and +6.2% mom, in EUR terms, respectively). There was also a very solid performance from the Greek ASE Index (+5.4% mom in EUR terms), but more muted performances from the Romanian BET and Turkish ISE 30 indices (+1.6%...
HEADLINES: • RBI: to book provisions due to the Russian court decision NEGATIVE • CEZ: buyout of the CEZ minorities to be plank in ANO's election platform NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: Macro all-in-one (13-19 January) • Bank Millennium: 4Q24E preview (due on 31 January) • mBank: 4Q24E preview (due on 6 February) • Kruk: 4Q24E preview (due on 27 February) • Bank Handlowy: 4Q24E preview (due on 12 March)
HEADLINES: • Kruk: 2025-29E strategy – ambitious, and sees further growth of earnings, assisted by high ROEs POSITIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: EUR 0.3bn capex plan to boost alumina capacity by 50% and produce gallium as well POSITIVE • Poland macro: NBP keeps rates unchanged, as expected • Bank Pekao: to add PLN 370m of FX mortgage provision charges, shielded by PLN 103m of deferred tax asset recognition; positive change in NPL stock NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: USD 3.5m impairment of investment in ...
EME Equity Market – December 2024 A green December. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 2.9% in EUR terms and 0.8% in USD terms in December. The Greek ASE Index (+5.5% mom in EUR terms) was the best performer, followed closely by the Czech PX Index (+5.0% mom in EUR terms). Solid performances were also reported by the BET (+2.4% mom), BUX (+2.2% mom) and ISE 30 (+1.5% mom) indices (all in EUR terms). The Polish WIG 20 Index (+0.4% mom in EUR terms) reported a muted performance.
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has today affirmed KRUK S.A.'s (KRUK) Ba1 corporate family rating (CFR) and its Ba2 senior unsecured debt rating. The issuer outlook remains stable. RATINGS RATIONALE The affirmation of the Ba1 CFR reflects several factors, notably a re-assessment of the applicable oper...
HEADLINES: • Pepco Group: 2H24 beat on gross margin; lfl recovery at Pepco since September, EUR 775m impairment at Poundland; first DPS of EUR 0.062 POSITIVE • PCF Group: closing strategic options review, with no new financing obtained NEGATIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (2-8 December) • Duna House: a good set of 3Q24 numbers; postcard from WOOD's Winter Wonderland conference POSITIVE • NEPI Rockcastle: buys Silesia City Centre in Katowice for EUR 405m (7.1% yield) POSITIVE • Inter C...
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