reports
- James Ratzer
Vodafone to Virgin spectrum sale: More details revealed
As part of the Vodafone-Three merger (VOD3UK), the merging companies committed to sell a portfolio of spectrum to VMO2. The details of that spectrum portfolio have now been formally disclosed by Ofcom, which has published a notification listing the frequencies that are due to be transferred (LINK). In this note, we run through the final decisions and implications for potential UK revenue share.
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos M&A Cycle in-bound; buy the targets
With sentiment, leverage and cash flow all improving for EM Telcos we think we are approaching the point of the cycle where M&A is going to become more prevalent, and shift from bearish (in-market consolidation), to bullish (out of footprint). Investors should consider building portfolios based on likely targets. Who are they?
- Carole Braudeau
- Carole Braudeau
- James Ratzer
The company started seeing signs of recovery as subscriber losses begu...
As we expected, the UK merger completed this morning, so we wanted to take this opportunity to highlight the note we put out on Saturday, in which we published our new model (including the UK merger, and assuming Vodafone buys out the Hutchinson minority in 3 years’ time). The terms of the deal are as initially announced. We believe the value creation is +9p per share, included within our 120p price target. We still see >50% upside from current levels.
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Towers Bull market continues – NSR GEM Top-10 June...
It was another very strong month for our picks as the EM Telco bull market continues. As we have been arguing for some time EM Telco is a much better space than it used to be, and the market has now started to understand this. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.
- James Ratzer
Vodafone (Buy, 120p, +56%) Was 135p Target price/ model update: T...
We don't usually aim to publish price target updates over the weekend, so please do forgive us, but with today being May 31st and Vodafone's desire to close the UK merger during H1 and at a month-end, we would like to think that the UK deal closing could be very imminent - and maybe even today.
Vodafone Group: 1 director
A director at Vodafone Group bought 356,000 shares at 72p and the significance rating of the trade was 55/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly sho...
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- James Ratzer
Vodafone (Buy, 135p, +82%) FY 2025: Trying to move the debate on from ...
The broad theme of Vodafone’s results remains the same as in past periods: Germany has been disappointing and has been the main focus of the market, but other parts of the business have been able to offset it, with increasing weight now on Vodacom for FY26.
- Stephane Beyazian
- Stephane Beyazian
- James Ratzer
Vodafone (Buy, 135p, +87%) Vodafone CFO departing: Quick thoughts
Vodafone has announced that Luka Mucic will be stepping down as Vodafone CFO by year-end, after only taking on the role in September 2023. We run through some quick thoughts on this move here and set out our estimates ahead of results in 2 weeks time
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos Capex in steep decline; underpins EFCF growth
We analyze the capex history & outlook for Global EM Telcos. For this group capex is falling rapidly (-12% in 2024 in US$) as competitive intensity improves and markets consolidate. Excluding China and India, EM Telco capex is already down 23% from peak.
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Towers Still rising – NSR GEM Top-10 May ‘25 Updat...
Despite global volatility our EM Top Picks posted positive returns again in April and now up 34% YTD on average. As we have been arguing for some time EM Telco is a much better space than it used to be and this is now being reflected by the market it seems.
- James Ratzer
Vodafone (Buy, 135p, +93%) Vodacom upside undervalued
When talking about Vodafone with market participants, almost all of the discussion tends to be on Germany. However, this morning my colleague Chris has upgraded his estimates for Vodacom and we have increased our target from ZAR150 to ZAR180 – with the full details published here. We believe the positive benefits from Vodacom are being overlooked in the Vodafone share price and we re-visit that thesis in this note with an updated view on Vodafone.
- Chris Hoare
- Chaima Ferrandon
- Christian Arnold
- Sven Edelfelt
LHN HOLCIM AG
FP TOTAL SE
HEIA HEINEKEN NV
PUB PUBLICIS GROUPE SA
GET GETLINK SE
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
O2D TELEFONICA DEUTSCHLAND HOLDING AG
EDEN EDENRED SA
IPN IPSEN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
BT.A BT GROUP PLC
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
DG VINCI SA
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
NK IMERYS SA
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
VCT VICAT-CIMENTS VICAT SA
TKA TELEKOM AUSTRIA AG
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
FGR EIFFAGE SA
ERIC B TELEFONAKTIEBOLAGET LM ERICSSON CLASS B
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
EN BOUYGUES SA
GBF BILFINGER SE
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
AGS AGEAS SA/NV
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
OMV OMV AG
AMUN AMUNDI SA
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
RAND RANDSTAD NV
ENI ENI S.P.A.
GEBN GEBERIT AG
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
P2F PETROFAC LIMITED
IMPN IMPLENIA AG
REP REPSOL SA
CRG CRH PLC
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
WBD WEBUILD S.P.A.
INX IMCD N.V.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
SIK SIKA AG
FDJ LA FRANCAISE DES JEUX SA
VK VALLOUREC SA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
FUR FUGRO NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
TEN TENARIS S.A.
VIRI VIRIDIEN
- Chaima Ferrandon
- Christian Arnold
- Sven Edelfelt
LHN HOLCIM AG
FP TOTAL SE
HEIA HEINEKEN NV
PUB PUBLICIS GROUPE SA
GET GETLINK SE
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
O2D TELEFONICA DEUTSCHLAND HOLDING AG
EDEN EDENRED SA
IPN IPSEN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
BT.A BT GROUP PLC
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
DG VINCI SA
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
NK IMERYS SA
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
VCT VICAT-CIMENTS VICAT SA
TKA TELEKOM AUSTRIA AG
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
FGR EIFFAGE SA
ERIC B TELEFONAKTIEBOLAGET LM ERICSSON CLASS B
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
EN BOUYGUES SA
GBF BILFINGER SE
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
AGS AGEAS SA/NV
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
OMV OMV AG
AMUN AMUNDI SA
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
RAND RANDSTAD NV
ENI ENI S.P.A.
GEBN GEBERIT AG
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
P2F PETROFAC LIMITED
IMPN IMPLENIA AG
REP REPSOL SA
CRG CRH PLC
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
WBD WEBUILD S.P.A.
INX IMCD N.V.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
SIK SIKA AG
FDJ LA FRANCAISE DES JEUX SA
VK VALLOUREC SA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
FUR FUGRO NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
TEN TENARIS S.A.
VIRI VIRIDIEN
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