Vodafone (Buy, 140p, +100%) Post call thoughts: What is needed to hit...

Vodafone’s H1 earnings call recently wrapped up with the stock having sold off during and after the call. We review our thoughts on this and in this note show some further analysis on what would be required to meet the FY EBITDA guidance based on the new comments given in the call.

Vodafone (Buy, 140p, +100%) H1 25 - Questions still lingering in Germ...

Vodafone has reported their H1 results, and although headline numbers were in line with expectations and all guidance has been reiterated.

Vodafone : Better FCF in H1 2025 but record low in Germany

>H1 2025 EBITDA in line with expectations - Q2 2025 group sales were up 4.6% y-o-y to € 9,240m, above expectations (consensus € 9,071m, ODDO BHF € 9,226m), and still helped by hyperinflation in Turkey (sales +89% y-o-y). H1 2025 EBITDAaL was up 2.5% y-o-y to € 2,730m. The targets for 2025 were confirmed (as expected): Vodafone is targeting adjusted pro forma EBITDAaL of € 11bn and adjusted FCF of at least € 2.4bn (consensus: € 2.47bn). These pro forma targets are...

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 12/11/2024

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Vodafone : Better FCF in H1 2025 but record low in Germany

>H1 2025 EBITDA in line with expectations - Q2 2025 group sales were up 4.6% y-o-y to € 9,240m, above expectations (consensus € 9,071m, ODDO BHF € 9,226m), and still helped by hyperinflation in Turkey (sales +89% y-o-y). H1 2025 EBITDAaL was up 2.5% y-o-y to € 2,730m. The targets for 2025 were confirmed (as expected): Vodafone is targeting adjusted pro forma EBITDAaL of € 11bn and adjusted FCF of at least € 2.4bn (consensus: € 2.47bn). These pro forma targets are...

Credit Morning 11/12/2024

SoftBank Group: significant pre-tax profit in H1 2024-25.>...

Morning Crédit 12/11/2024

SoftBank Group : résultat avant impôts significatif au S1 2024/25>...

Altice International (Over weight) Digi (Equal weight) NOS (Neutral, T...

Digi launched in Portugal, one week ago – read our take HERE. In this report we look at how the launch has been received in Portugal (including a run-through of tariff changes by the incumbents).

Vodacom (Buy, TP: ZAR150, +50%) Q2 25: Soft vs. expectations

Vodacom has reported a soft set of Q2 results relative to expectations. However, trends remained solid, especially top line which continued to grow close to double digit growth. This is encouraging and we continue to think that the tide is turning in SA (please see HERE for more details), but it seems the turn will take longer than we hoped.

Credit Morning 11/06/2024

Digi launches very aggressive offers in Portugal ELO/Auchan: Announcement of the plan to return to growth in France and of the redundancy plan>...

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/06/2024

Our baseline scenario materialised last night: Donald Trump seems to be on course to win the US presidential election, and the choice of the electorate is unlikely to be challenged. He could end up with a majority in both houses of Congress. US equities will be the first to benefit from this development. In European equities, the biggest winners will be Energy, Media, Metals, Construction & Materials, Financial Services and Insurance. More at risk, however, are the Utilities, Spirits,...

Morning Crédit 06/11/2024

ELO/Auchan : annonce du plan de relance en France et du plan social Digi lance des offres très agressives au Portugal>...

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 06/11/2024

Notre scénario central s’est concrétisé dans la nuit : Donald Trump remporte la présidentielle américaine, et le choix des électeurs ne devrait pas être contesté. Il pourrait disposer d’une majorité dans les deux assemblées. Les actions américaines en seront les premières bénéficiaires. Sur les actions européennes, les secteurs les plus gagnants seront l’Energie, les Médias, les Métaux, Construction & Materials, Financial Services, Insurance. Sont en revanche plus à risque Utilities, ...

Vodafone UK-3 merger: Detailed review of CMA remedy paper

Vodafone : Digi strongly breaks onto the Portuguese market

>Prices ~60% lower than those of NOS, MEO and Vodafone - As expected after the aggressive offerings launched by the Romanian group Digi in Spain and Italy (fibre at € 10/month and mobile at € 5), Digi launched onto the Portuguese market with commercial aggression yesterday. For instance, the grouped offerings (fibre + mobile + TV) look very generous and attractive at € 26-28 per month and on promotion until € 22 by year-end vs € 56-64 at major brands MEO, NOS and Vod...

Vodafone : Digi casse le marché portugais durablement

>Des prix ~60% plus bas que ceux de NOS, MEO et Vodafone - Comme prévu après les offres agressives lancées par le groupe roumain Digi en Espagne et en Italie (fibre à 10 € et mobile à 5 €), Digi s’est lancé avec agressivité commerciale sur le marché portugais hier. A titre d’exemple, les offres groupées (fibre+mobile+TV) ressortent très généreuses et attractives à 26-28 €/mois et en promotion à 22 € jusqu’à la fin de l’année versus 56-64 € chez les marques majeures ME...

DIGI launches in Portugal - impact to Altice, NOS, DIGI and Vodafone a...

DIGI has finally launched some tariffs in Portugal. We look at these in this report, and assess whether or not DIGI is viable as a new entrant.

Credit Morning 11/05/2024

Carrefour said to be mulling several options to increase valuation (Bloomberg) Schaeffler Q3 24 results: Steep earnings decline and new cost optimisation program Auchan Retail reportedly plans to cut between 2,100 and 2,300 jobs>...

Morning Crédit 05/11/2024

Auchan Retail prévoirait la suppression de 2 100 à 2 300 postes Carrefour étudierait plusieurs options pour augmenter sa valorisation (Bloomberg) Schaeffler Q3 24 results: Steep earnings decline and new cost optimisation program>...

GERMAN ALTNET UPDATE: What will be the key to success?

Last week, we reviewed the UK altnet market. So this week, we turn our attention to Germany and how the fibre challengers are developing in that market. We have done a lot of work over the past few months on the MDU market in Germany for TeleColumbus and OXG. So now, we specifically focus on Deutsche Glasfaser and the recent UGG/ Infrafibre deal, as these players mount their challenge against DT in the SDU market.