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Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

US Tariffs Navigating the impact on Benelux equities

Trumps reciprocal tariffs caused a massive blow to equity markets, following a pressured period of escalating trade wars. Retaliatory measures can further heavily damage market confidence, as seen Friday when China announced their 34% tarrif of US goods. International trade policies have never moved this erratic and untransparant, with uncertainty and volatility being the baseline for now. In this report we highlight the key stocks in our coverage relevant to this discussion.

Guy Sips ... (+12)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update April 2025: Removing Gimv – Adding Adyen

In this April 2025 update of the KBC Securities' Dynamic Top Pick List, we are removing Gimv and adding Adyen. Since adding Gimv to the Dynamic Top Pick List in mid-December 2024, Gimv's performance has remained flat. However, month-to-date, it has increased by nearly 7%, while the indices have all declined. Given the backdrop of a tariff war brewing, we think it's time to remove Gimv from the Dynamic Top Pick List as medium-sized businesses are more likely to feel the pinch of lower demand and...

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Couvreur

Adyen Digital volumes worry & investment pains largely behind us

The 2H24 results provided additional comfort on the North American digital volumes, underlining the total cost of ownership benefit of the Adyen platform and demonstrating the more limited bottom line impact of large volatile merchants like Cash App and eBay. We believe the positive sentiment is warranted, despite being eroded now by the recent Trump Tariffs sell-off. Finetuning our model, including an increase of the financial income on the large cash position, leads to a new TP of €1.750; reit...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks

Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+9)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ACKB BB, ADYEN NA, ARCAD NA, DSFIR NA, EXM BB, FLOW NA...

: ACKB BB, ADYEN NA, ARCAD NA, DSFIR NA, EXM BB, FLOW NA, GLPG NA, SIP BB, ALFEN NA

Soomit Datta
  • Soomit Datta

In-Payments: X Money and Musk: risks to PayPal (Venmo), Cash App and p...

X announced last week it was partnering with Visa to develop a real-time payment system in the US. Through Visa Direct, X Money Account will support an in-platform digital wallet and peer-to-peer payments connected to users’ debit cards, with an option to transfer funds to a bank account.

Soomit Datta
  • Soomit Datta

PayPal (BUY, TP: $100, +25%) - Solid beat at Q4; branded concerns appe...

PayPal reported another solid quarter, coming in ahead of expectations: 4% at transaction margin $ and 6% at non-GAAP EPS. Guidance for FY 25 suggests a small uplift to TM$ and EPS for the street though the bears seem (still) very focused on branded TPV growth.

Soomit Datta
  • Soomit Datta

In-Payments - Trump (and Musk..) bring regulatory spotlight in 2025

Starting at the end of last year and continuing into the weeks leading up to the new U.S. presidential administration, there has been what seems like a flurry of settlements and other regulatory actions targeting payments and fintech companies.

Soomit Datta
  • Soomit Datta

In-Payments: a new bi-weekly blog! Paze to be Fastlane? Click to Pay ...

To kick off 2025 we’re launching “In-Payments”, a bi-weekly blog which will leverage off recent news flow for a quick dive into what we see as key themes to be tracking across the Payments and broader Fintech space.

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