PDD’s 4Q25 results are largely in line. Revenue increased 12% yoy to Rmb124b, in line with consensus estimate. Non- GAAP net profit decreased 12% yoy to Rmb27.4b, due to a decline in forex losses and higher-than-expected income tax, thus missing consensus forecast. Non-GAAP net margin expanded 6ppt yoy to 21%. Looking ahead, PDD expects its topline growth and profitability to continue fluctuating due to its merchant support strategy. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of US$134.00.
What’s new: PDD’s reported 4Q25 revs that are largely in-line with consensus and above our expectations. Visibility on profitability would remain limited as the company is willing to let go of short term profit in exchange for long-term development of the platform ecosystem. We lower our PT from US$120 to US$110 on lowered margin expectations. Our updated PT of US$110 implies 9.8x FY26E P/E. We maintain our NEUTRAL rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon
Top Stories Company Results | Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK/BUY/HK$21.74/Target: HK$26.10) Conch reported 2025 net profit of Rmb8,464.5m (+5.1% yoy), below expectations due to weaker cement prices, with revenue down 9.3% yoy. Cement sales volumes remained resilient at 265m tonnes (-1.1% yoy), outperforming industry declines of 6.9% yoy. Cement unit production cost fell 11.1% yoy to Rmb166.42/tonne, vs a 6.4% yoy drop in blended cement ASP, lifting group gross margin to 23.0% (+2.3ppt yoy). Oversea...
Greater China Company Results | Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK/BUY/HK$21.74/Target: HK$26.10) Conch reported 2025 net profit of Rmb8,464.5m (+5.1% yoy), below expectations due to weaker cement prices, with revenue down 9.3% yoy. Cement sales volumes remained resilient at 265m tonnes (-1.1% yoy), outperforming industry declines of 6.9% yoy. Cement unit production cost fell 11.1% yoy to Rmb166.42/tonne, vs a 6.4% yoy drop in blended cement ASP, lifting group gross margin to 23.0% (+2.3ppt yoy). Overse...
PDD Holdings Announces Fourth Quarter 2025 and Fiscal Year 2025 Unaudited Financial Results DUBLIN and SHANGHAI, March 25, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- PDD Holdings Inc. (“PDD Holdings” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: PDD), today announced its unaudited financial results for the fourth quarter ended and the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025. Fourth Quarter 2025 Highlights Total revenues in the quarter were RMB123,912.2 million (US$117,719.2 million), an increase of 12% from RMB110,610.1 million in the same quarter of 2024.Operating profit in the quarter was RMB27,719.7 million (US$3,963.9 mill...
PDD Holdings to Report Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2025 Unaudited Financial Results on March 25, 2026 DUBLIN and SHANGHAI, March 18, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- PDD Holdings Inc. (“PDD Holdings” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: PDD) today announced that it will report its unaudited financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, before U.S. markets open on Wednesday, March 25, 2026. The Company’s management will hold an earnings conference call at 7:30 AM ET on March 25, 2026 (11:30 AM GMT and 7:30 PM HKT on the same day). The conference call will be webcast ...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: March Conviction Calls Chinese equities consolidated further in February, with the HSI and MSCI China Index declining 2.8% mom and 5.6% mom, respectively. March is expected to be volatile, as there are signs that the Middle East conflict could last for a while. We focus on names which have greater domestic exposure, adding Anta, China Duty Free, FII, Futu, Kuaishou and Tencent to our BUY list. Indonesia Strategy | Alpha Picks: Rotating To Commodities Amid M...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls Chinese equities recovered in January, with the HSI and MSCI China rising 6.9% and 5.0% mom respectively. Given the supportive macro policy environment, we maintain a constructive view on the markets despite the risk of further volatility in February. Accordingly, we are adding Alibaba, Ganfeng Lithium, and Minth to our BUY list, and Meituan to our SELL list. Indonesia Strategy | Alpha Picks: From MSCI Shock To Policy-Driven Rebala...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls Chinese equities remained in consolidation through December, with the HSI and MSCI China down 0.9% mom and 1.5% mom, respectively, despite last week’s window dressing narrowing losses. Policy signals from the Economic Work Conference broadly met expectations. Looking ahead, we are constructive on 1Q26, supported by a favourable global liquidity cycle and potential macro supportive measures in China. We retain most of our December pic...
Chinese equities remained in consolidation through December, with the HSI and MSCI China down 0.9% mom and 1.5% mom, respectively, despite last week’s window dressing narrowing losses. Policy signals from the Economic Work Conference broadly met expectations. Looking ahead, we are constructive on 1Q26, supported by a favourable global liquidity cycle and potential macro supportive measures in China. We retain most of our December picks, add Baidu and Midea to BUY, and take profit on Li Auto and ...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls Chinese equities remained in consolidation through December, with the HSI and MSCI China down 0.9% mom and 1.5% mom, respectively, despite last week’s window dressing narrowing losses. Policy signals from the Economic Work Conference broadly met expectations. Looking ahead, we are constructive on 1Q26, supported by a favourable global liquidity cycle and potential macro supportive measures in China. We retain most of our December...
Market consolidation slowed in November as expectations of a 25bp Fed cut buoyed sentiment. The HSI and MSCI China fell 0.2% and 2.4% mom respectively amid weak data and limited catalysts. While the upcoming Economic Work Conference may offer a catalyst to end this phase, we remain cautious, preferring defensives and oversold names. We add BeOne Medicines, HKEX, NetEase and Plover Bay to BUY, take profit on AIA, and cut losses on Jacobson, JBM Healthcare and PICC P&C.
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls Market consolidation slowed in November as expectations of a 25bp Fed cut improved sentiment. The HSI and MSCI China fell 0.2% and 2.4% mom amid weak data and limited catalysts. While the upcoming Economic Work Conference may offer a catalyst to end this phase, we remain cautious, preferring defensives and oversold names. We add BeOne Medicines, HKEX, NetEase and Plover Bay to BUY, take profit on AIA, and cut losses on Jacobson,...
China’s internet companies reported resilient 3Q25 top-line growth and continuous margin improvement in the online gaming and OTA sectors, empowered by improved AI efficiency and benign competition. Margin pressure in e-commerce due to the intense on-demand delivery competition is likely to ease in 4Q25, but could persist into 2026 given the continuous investment and tough comparison base boosted by the trade-in programme in 2025. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Alibaba, Tencent, TCOM, TME, Ne...
Greater China Sector Update | Consumer We met investors in Thailand and Malaysia during our marketing trip from 24-28 Nov 25. Overall investor interest in the China consumer sector is improving. The most frequently discussed segments and names include Miniso, Shenzhou, Anta, consumer staples (including dairy, beer and baijiu), as well as some new consumption names such as Pop Mart (non-rated) and Laopu Gold (non-rated). Our preferred stocks include: Galaxy, Midea, Miniso, Shenzhou and Sands ...
Highlights We expect global liquidity cycle to remain strong for at least 1H26, following the Fed’s return to policy easing in Sep 25, benefitting emerging market assets and commodities. Chinese equities are likely to rally further, and our index target for MSCI China index target is at 104 pts based on 16.3x 12-month forward PE and 6% EPS growth assumption. We prefer exposure to growth industries like AI/semiconductors, automation/robotics, ADAS and innovative drugs and liquidity proxies ...
What’s new: PDD’s reported 3Q25 revs that were above consensus and our expectations. While margins came in better than expected, PDD cautioned that profitability could continue to fluctuate as the company plans to roll out more initiatives to support both demand and supply side. We maintain our PT at USD120. Analysts: Jin Yoon
PDD’s 3Q25 earnings exceeded expectations. Revenue increased 9% yoy to Rmb108b, in line with consensus estimate. Non-GAAP net profit grew 14% yoy to Rmb31.4b, beating consensus forecast. Non-GAAP net margin expanded 1ppt to 29%. Looking ahead, PDD expects its top-line growth and profitability to continue fluctuating due to its merchant support strategy. Maintain BUY with a target price of US$156.00.
Top Stories Initiate Coverage | Pony AI Inc (PONY US/BUY/US$12.18/Target: US$26.10) Pony AI is a global leader in autonomous mobility, leveraging its virtual driver technology to enable the mass production and deployment of autonomous vehicles across diverse regions. We expect revenue to grow at a three-year CAGR of 65% from 2024-27, net loss to narrow, and bottom line to turn around in 2028, driven by large-scale commercialisation. Initiate coverage with BUY and a target price of US$26.10 for ...
Greater China Initiate Coverage | Pony AI Inc (PONY US/BUY/US$12.18/Target: US$26.10) Pony AI is a global leader in autonomous mobility, leveraging its virtual driver technology to enable the mass production and deployment of autonomous vehicles across diverse regions. We expect revenue to grow at a three-year CAGR of 65% from 2024-27, net loss to narrow, and bottom line to turn around in 2028, driven by large-scale commercialisation. Initiate coverage with BUY and a target price of US$26.10...
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