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Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

PDD 3Q24 Results: Investments to Drag Near Term Margins

What’s new: PDD’s reported 3Q24 results that were below consensus and our expectations. PDD will continue to invest substantial resources to support high-quality merchants on the platform which may drag margins in the near term. We maintain our PT at USD150. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

PDD Holdings (PDD US): 3Q24: Earnings and revenue miss; competitive an...

PDD’s 3Q24 results missed street estimates. Revenue rose 44% yoy to Rmb99.4b, below consensus estimates by 3%, dampened by soft commission revenue growth. Non-GAAP net profit came in at Rmb27.5b, 6% below consensus estimate. Non-GAAP net margin expanded 3ppt to 27.6%. Looking ahead, PDD expects its top-line growth to continue being impacted by its merchant support strategy, and profitability should remain under pressure. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of US$160.00.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+11)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Colin Lee
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Daily: Friday, November 22, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile China’s PV insurance registrations grew 29% yoy, 15% mom and 14% wow during 11-17 Nov 24. PEV market share dipped 2.6ppt wow to 51.5%. BYD's price cuts aim to boost sales but risk pressuring 4Q24 margins. The NDRC indicated support for ICE-cars, the first time in recent years. The Guangzhou Auto Show highlighted record-breaking figures and new trends in technology, models and pricing. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, and Desay SV. IT Hardware Co...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+20)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Colin Lee
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Nurul Nazira Binti Abdullah
  • Paula Ruth
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, November 22, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales up wow; NDRC indicates support for ICE-cars. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao Glass and Desay SV. IT Hardware Blackwell production ramp accelerating; brace for another year of robust growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Results Baidu Inc (9888 HK/HOLD/HK$83.85/Target: HK$90.00) ...

 PRESS RELEASE

PDD Holdings Announces Third Quarter 2024 Unaudited Financial Results

PDD Holdings Announces Third Quarter 2024 Unaudited Financial Results DUBLIN and SHANGHAI, Nov. 21, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- PDD Holdings Inc. (“PDD Holdings” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: PDD), today announced its unaudited financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024. Third Quarter 2024 Highlights Total revenues in the quarter were RMB99,354.4 million (US$1 14,157.9 million), an increase of 44% from RMB68,840.4 million in the same quarter of 2023. Operating profit in the quarter was RMB24,292.5 million (US$3,461.6 million), an increase of 46% from RMB16,6...

 PRESS RELEASE

PDD Holdings to Report Third Quarter 2024 Unaudited Financial Results ...

PDD Holdings to Report Third Quarter 2024 Unaudited Financial Results on November 21, 2024 DUBLIN and SHANGHAI, Nov. 14, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- PDD Holdings Inc. (“PDD Holdings” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: PDD) today announced that it will report its unaudited financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024, before U.S. markets open on Thursday, November 21, 2024. The Company’s management will hold an earnings conference call at 7:30 AM ET on November 21, 2024 (12:30 PM IST and 8:30 PM HKT on the same day). The conference call will be webcast live at . The webcast will...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Revitalising momentum evident in initial phase of 11.1...

Data from the initial phase of the 11.11 campaign set a compelling prelude to a high single-digit GMV growth in 2024. We expect the combination of government trade-in subsidies and 11.11 discounts to stimulate consumer demand, particularly with home appliances and 3C digital products taking the spotlight. We anticipate stabilised competition between traditional and livestreaming e-commerce with a strong emphasis on shelf-based e-commerce. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+17)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Philip Wong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, November 07, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Internet - China Revitalising momentum evident in initial phase of 11.11 campaign. Results LINK REIT (823 HK/BUY/HK$38.05/Target: HK$45.08) 1HFY25: DPU rises 3.7% yoy, meeting expectations; enhancing resilience amid macro headwinds. Update Prudential (2378 HK/BUY/HK$65.50/Target: HK$126.00) Solid NBP growth on improved sales and margins across few mar...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Key takeaways from marketing trip.

The key concerns of investors include the sustainability of the recent rally and potential fundamental changes upon policy rollout. We think a valuation repair is underway with the upcoming 11.11 campaign and 3Q/4Q24 results release as a critical juncture. Investors are also becoming increasingly optimistic on mega-cap names such as Tencent, Meituan, Alibaba and JD in view of a favourable regulatory backdrop and stabilised competitive environment. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Government policy rollout to boost consumption and dri...

In view of a stronger-than-expected government policy rollout, we reckon that the improved consumption sentiment will benefit e-commerce, local life services and OTA companies. In 2H24, we expect the undemanding valuations of internet companies to be repaired by shareholder returns, cross-border expansion and easing competition. Meanwhile, we believe monetisation momentum will be fuelled by AIGC development and adtech upgrades. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Jonathan Koh ... (+9)
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, October 09, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Consumer Golden Week: Tourism and home appliances the bright spots; refocus on China theme. Internet Government policy rollout to boost consumption and drive valuation repair. Update Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/HOLD/HK$340.80/Target: HK$355.00) Further valuation re-rating requires more sustainable AD...

02313 SHENZHOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
600132 CHONGQING BREWERY CO.LTD CLASS A
000858 WULIANGYE YIBIN CO. LTD. CLASS A
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
02331 LI NING COMPANY LIMITED
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
002230 IFLYTEK CO. LTD. CLASS A
600519 KWEICHOW MOUTAI CO. LTD. CLASS A
600887 INNER MONGOLIA YILI INDUSTRIAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
600872 JONJEE HI-TECH INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HOLDING CO. LTD. CLASS A
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
603288 FOSHAN HAITIAN FLAVOURING & FOOD CO. LTD. CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
0168 TSINGTAO BREWERY CO. LTD. CLASS H
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
06862 HAIDILAO INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.
MUST MANULIFE US REAL ESTATE INV
00780 TONGCHENG-ELONG HOLDINGS LIMITED
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
2013 WEIMOB INC
1368 XTEP INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS
01876 BUDWEISER BREWING CO. APAC LTD.
6186 CHINA FEIHE LTD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
OXMU PRIME US REIT
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
KORE KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
MNSO MINISO GROUP HOLDING ADS (N SHARES)
BUKA BUKALAPAK.COM PT TBK
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
06690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS H
09922 JIUMAOJIU INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LTD.
09888 BAIDU INC
TSVT 2SEVENTY BIO INC
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
Z29 029 GROUP SE
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
ITMAX ITMAX SYSTEMS BHD
Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: 2Q24 results wrap-up: Overall earnings beat; 2H24 outl...

2Q24 revenue growth was lukewarm, hampered by a subdued macro backdrop, but most earnings beats were delivered by internet companies. We expect consumers to continue switching to service- and experience-oriented, which will benefit OTA, local life services and online games amid the summer holiday period. Key catalysts in 2H24 that will drive internet companies’ valuation repair include shareholder returns, cross-border expansion, easing competition and more, in our view. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+12)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Damon Shen
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Paula Ruth
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Tham Mun Hon

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, September 10, 2024

GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation Deflationary pressures rising. Sector Construction Building on the positive development of macroeconomic policies in 2H24-2025. Internet 2Q24 results wrap-up: Overall earnings beat; 2H24 outlook remains promising. INDONESIA Small...

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

PDD 2Q24 Results: Further Investment to Drive High Quality Growth

What’s new: PDD’s reported 2Q24 revs that were below consensus and our expectations. PDD will invest substantial resources to support high-quality merchants on the platform which includes a transaction fee reduction – totaling to RMB10bn in the first year. We lower our PT from USD170 to USD150 due to lowered outlook. Our updated PT of USD150 implies a 9.8x FY25E P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

PDD Holdings (PDD US): 2Q24: Earnings beat; expecting revenue and earn...

PDD delivered an earnings beat in 2Q24. Revenue surged 86% yoy to Rmb97.1b, below our and consensus estimates by 2-3%, and dampened by soft ad revenue growth. Non- GAAP net profit came in at Rmb34.4b, 14% above consensus estimate which translated to a non-GAAP net margin of 35.5%. Looking ahead, PDD believes revenue growth will be hampered by intense competition and macro challenges while profitability will be pressured by higher investment. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of US$185.00.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+10)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Kate Luang
  • Ringo Tang Chi Yu
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Tuesday, August 27, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Cross Currents In our base case, we expect the MSCI China index to range trade for the rest of 2024 due to uncertainties over the duration of economic adjustment. Upside risk comes from the start of the Fed’s easing cycle as it opens the way for further monetary easing in China. However, this should be complemented by demand-side policies for greater impact. In the meantime, we utilise a barbell strategy, preferring TMT, tech hardware and defensives like financials, c...

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+17)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Ming San Soong
  • Ringo Tang Chi Yu
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, August 27, 2024

GREATER CHINA Strategy Cross Currents We expect the MSCI China index to range trade for the rest of 2024; we prefer TMT, tech hardware and defensives like banks, communication services and utilities. Results Goldwind Science & Technology (2208 HK/BUY/HK$4.46/Target: HK$5.30) 1H24: In line; shifting focus to offshore WTG and overseas markets. Jiumaojiu International Holdings (9922 HK/BUY/HK$2.49/Target: HK$3.50) 1H24: Result...

Ringo Tang Chi Yu ... (+2)
  • Ringo Tang Chi Yu
  • Tham Mun Hon

China Strategy: Cross currents.

In our base case, we expect the MSCI China index to range trade for the rest of 2024 due to uncertainties over the duration of economic adjustment. Upside risk comes from the start of the Fed’s easing cycle as it opens the way for further monetary easing in China. But this should be complemented by demand-side policies for greater impact. In the meantime, we have a barbell strategy, preferring TMT, tech hardware and defensives like banks, communication services and utilities.  Pricing in slowe...

 PRESS RELEASE

PDD Holdings Announces Second Quarter 2024 Unaudited Financial Results

PDD Holdings Announces Second Quarter 2024 Unaudited Financial Results DUBLIN and SHANGHAI, Aug. 26, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- PDD Holdings Inc. (“PDD Holdings” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: PDD), today announced its unaudited financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2024. Second Quarter 2024 Highlights Total revenues in the quarter were RMB97,059.5 million (US$113,355.8 million), an increase of 86% from RMB52,280.7 million in the same quarter of 2023.Operating profit in the quarter was RMB32,564.5 million (US$4,481.0 million), an increase of 156% from RMB...

 PRESS RELEASE

PDD Holdings to Report Second Quarter 2024 Unaudited Financial Results...

PDD Holdings to Report Second Quarter 2024 Unaudited Financial Results on August 26, 2024 DUBLIN and SHANGHAI, Aug. 19, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- PDD Holdings Inc. (“PDD Holdings” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: PDD) today announced that it will report its unaudited financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2024, before U.S. markets open on Monday, August 26, 2024. The Company’s management will hold an earnings conference call at 7:30 AM ET on August 26, 2024 (12:30 PM IST and 7:30 PM HKT on the same day). The conference call will be webcast live at . The webcast will be availab...

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