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Greater China Research Team
  • Greater China Research Team

Greater China Strategy Alpha Picks :November Conviction Calls.

HSI and MSCI China fell 3.5%/4.0% mom in October, dragged by renewed US-China trade tensions and lack of fresh policy signals from the 4th Plenum. We remain constructive in the medium term but expect further consolidation as uncertainties persist. The best performer among our picks was SELL-rated Li Auto (+21.4% mom). For November, we rotate into oversold names with near-term upside: add AIA, LINK REIT, NAURA, Pinduoduo, PICC P&C and Sunny Optical to BUY; take profits on Meituan, OOIL and Ping A...

Alden Gabriel Lam ... (+20)
  • Alden Gabriel Lam
  • Andrew Agita Buntoro
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Lester Siew
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Sunny Chen
  • Suryaputra Wijaksana
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, November 04, 2025

Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls HSI and MSCI China fell 3.5%/4.0% mom in October, dragged by renewed US-China trade tensions and lack of fresh policy signals from the 4th Plenum. We remain constructive in the medium term but expect further consolidation as uncertainties persist. The best performer among our picks was SELL-rated Li Auto (+21.4% mom). For November, we rotate into oversold names with near-term upside: add AIA, LINK REIT, NAURA, Pinduoduo, PICC P&...

KTC KRUNGTHAI CARD PCL
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
C09 CITY DEVELOPMENTS LIMITED
02328 PICC PROPERTY & CASUALTY CO. LTD. CLASS H
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
IVL INDORAMA VENTURES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
558 UMS HOLDINGS LIMITED
GFPT GFPT
C6L SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD.
5347 TENAGA NASIONAL BHD
MINT MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
YNS YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
RHBBANK RHB BANK BHD
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
BURSA MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
PEP BURSA MALAYSIA BHD
RATCH PPB GROUP BERHAD
2633 RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
HCM JACOBSON PHARMA CORP LTD
AIS HUTCHISON CHINA MEDITECH LIMITED
RSTON ADVANCED INFO SYSTEMS
FEH RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS LTD
UHU FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
FRKN UNITED HAMPSHIRE US REIT
MPM FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
CSSC MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
CRPU CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
CICT SASSEUR REIT (S CHIP)
SCGP CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP SCG PACKAGING PCL
2269 LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
OXMU WUXI BIOLOGICS (CAYMAN) INC.
HMN PRIME US REIT
CLCT ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
KORE CAPITALAND CHINA TRUST
OR KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
MXNU PTT OIL AND RETAIL BUSINESS PUBLIC CO LIMITED
CLAR ELITE COMMERCIAL REIT MGNT PTE LTD
DCRU CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
MTEL IJ DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
02161 PT DAYAMITRA TELEKOMUNIKASI
02015 JBM (HEALTHCARE) LTD
0303 LI AUTO INC
LAGENDA ALPHA IVF GROUP
SDG LAGENDA PROPERTIES BHD
BRMS IJ SD GUTHRIE BHD
AADI IJ BUMI RESOURCES MINERALS
002371 CH ADARO ANDALAN INDONESIA
ASL SP NAURA TECHNOLOGY GROUP CO LTD
ASL MARINE (ASL SP)
Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Key Battlefield For Instant Retail; Embedding AI Into ...

Data from the initial phase of the 11.11 campaign set a compelling prelude for a mid-single-digit GMV growth in 4Q25. The new phase of 11.11 is characterised by a longer cycle, simplified promotion mechanics, and deeper technological integration. Platform competition has shifted from “traffic wars” to “efficiency wars”, as AI enhances demand-supply matching and instant retail breaks offline barriers, reducing consumer decision costs. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Our top picks are Alibaba and Kuaishou.

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Re-valuation On Shifting Dynamics Of AI Infrastructure...

Following the release of 2Q25 results, the market has started to re-value AI-related and ad-tech upgrade themes. Garnering the most interest was the AI theme driven by: a) re-accelerated cloud revenue growth, b) the emergence of AI agents, c) broader AI application, and d) self-sufficiency in chip development. Potential beneficiaries of the AI theme poised for continuous re-rating include Alibaba, Tencent and Baidu. Tongcheng could see robust travel demand during Golden Week. Maintain OVERWEIGHT...

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+7)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Singapore Research Team

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, September 22, 2025

Greater China Sector Update | Internet Following the release of 2Q25 results, the market has started to re-value AI-related and ad-tech upgrade themes. The AI theme garnered the most interest, attributable to: a) re-accelerated cloud revenue growth, b) the emergence of AI agents, c) broader AI application, and d) development of self-sufficient chips. Potential beneficiaries of the AI theme poised for continuous re-rating include Alibaba, Tencent, and Baidu. Tongcheng could see robust travel ...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Key Takeaways From Marketing Trip

Key investor focus areas discussed during the marketing trip include: a) key drivers for AI cloud and applications outperformance, b) sustainability of monetisation of AI applications, c) ROI of accelerating capex, d) self-sufficiency in chips development, and e) where the competition in food delivery and quick commerce is ultimately headed. We foresee that AI/AI Cloud, online gaming and OTAs are poised to benefit from further re-rating, supported by their outperformance in growth. Maintain OVER...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Strong top-line growth and margins further hurt in 2H2...

China’s internet companies reported intact 2Q25 top-line with mixed earnings results. The key focuses are on the latest quick commerce war and AI cloud and agent development. In 2Q25, we saw meaningful AI monetisation visibility contributing to incremental top-line growth, and expect this momentum to continue into 2H25. On the profitability front, margins will remain under pressure from heightened investments to fend off the intensifying competition in on-demand delivery. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

PDD Holdings (PDD US): 2Q25: Earnings above expectations; revenue in l...

PDD’s 2Q25 earnings exceeded expectations. Revenue increased 7% yoy to Rmb104b, in line with consensus estimates, dampened by sluggish commission revenue growth. Non-GAAP net profit dropped 5% yoy to Rmb32.7b, 46% above consensus estimate. Non-GAAP net margin shrank 4ppt to 31.5%. Looking ahead, PDD expects its top-line growth and profitability to continue fluctuating due to its merchant support strategy. Upgrade to HOLD with a lower target price of US$117.00.

Alden Gabriel Lam ... (+19)
  • Alden Gabriel Lam
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Colin Lee
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Ming San Soong
  • Sunny Chen
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, August 26, 2025

GREATER CHINA Results China Overseas Property Holdings (2669 HK/BUY/HK$5.85 /Target: HK$7.00) 1H25: Results a mixed bag; quality growth with slower expansion pace; special dividend for 10th listing anniversary. Goldwind Science & Technology (2208 HK/BUY/HK$9.52/Target: HK$10.80) 1H25: In line; solid backlog, stabilised pricing, and margin recovery ahead. Han’s Laser (002008 CH/BUY/Rmb35.70/Target: Rmb39.50) 2Q25: Solid growth in operating income. PCB/IT equip...

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

PDD 2Q25 Results: Profitability to Fluctuate in the Coming Quarters

What’s new: PDD’s reported 2Q25 revs that were largely in-line with consensus but below our expectations. While margins came in better than expected, PDD cautioned that profitability could continue to fluctuate in the coming quarters. The company is also willing to accept lower profits to consistently reinvest in the platform ecosystem in the long run. Despite attractive valuation (11.2x FY26E P/E), top-line face limited upside to current estimates amid intense competition in the domestic market...

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+15)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Colin Lee
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Tuesday, August 26, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results China Overseas Property Holdings (2669 HK/BUY/HK$5.85 /Target: HK$7.00) COPH’s 1H25 results showed a 4.3% yoy earnings growth supported by improved efficiency, better receivables collection and stable cash, but revenue growth was weighed down by weaker VAS segments and slowing external expansion, leading to softer earnings forecasts despite stable core PM services. The company announced HK$0.09 interim DPS and HK$0.01 special DPS, implying a 39% payout ratio. Maintain BU...

 PRESS RELEASE

PDD Holdings Announces Second Quarter 2025 Unaudited Financial Results

PDD Holdings Announces Second Quarter 2025 Unaudited Financial Results DUBLIN and SHANGHAI, Aug. 25, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- PDD Holdings Inc. (“PDD Holdings” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: PDD), today announced its unaudited financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2025. Second Quarter 2025 Highlights Total revenues in the quarter were RMB103,984.8 million (US$114,515.7 million), an increase of 7% from RMB97,059.5 million in the same quarter of 2024.Operating profit in the quarter was RMB25,792.9 million (US$3,600.6 million), a decrease of 21% from RMB32,564.5 million in th...

 PRESS RELEASE

PDD Holdings to Report Second Quarter 2025 Unaudited Financial Results...

PDD Holdings to Report Second Quarter 2025 Unaudited Financial Results on August 25, 2025 DUBLIN and SHANGHAI, Aug. 18, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- PDD Holdings Inc. (“PDD Holdings” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: PDD) today announced that it will report its unaudited financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2025, before U.S. markets open on Monday, August 25, 2025. The Company’s management will hold an earnings conference call at 7:30 AM ET on August 25, 2025 (12:30 PM IST and 7:30 PM HKT on the same day). The conference call will be webcast live at . The webcast will be availab...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: 618 Festival – Evolving consumer trends and continued ...

The national subsidies programme continued to reinforce the consumption trend of “value-based substitution” during the 618 festival. While the share of online vs offline spending remained stable, emerging channels are creating new growth opportunities. We believe the consumption momentum will be shaped by: a) impact from the temporary suspension of the national subsidies programme in five provinces, and b) changes in the food delivery competitive landscape. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+12)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Lester Siew
  • Ming San Soong
  • Sunny Chen
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, June 19, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Healthcare Entering a new phase of accelerated growth. Upgrade to OVERWEIGHT. Internet 618 Festival – Evolving consumer trends and continued focus on value for money. Small/Mid Cap Highlights JBM Healthcare (2161 HK/BUY/HK$2.85/Target: HK$3.31) Takeaways from luncheon. INDONESIA Update Kalbe Farma (KL...

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

PDD 1Q25 Results: Revs and Profitability to Face Pressure in the Near ...

What’s new: PDD’s reported 1Q25 results that were below consensus and our expectations. PDD noted that profitability is likely to face challenges in the near-term and potentially over a longer period partly due to continued merchant support amid a challenging environment in both domestic and overseas markets. We lower our PT from US$150 to USD$120 on lowered outlook. Our updated PT of US$120 implies a 16.0x FY25E P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+14)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Colin Lee
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jieqi Liu
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Lester Siew
  • Ming San Soong

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, May 28, 2025

GREATER CHINA Results Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK/BUY/HK$48.75/Target: HK$70.00): 1Q25: Results in line; poised for encouraging contribution from Kling AI in 2025. Link REIT (823 HK/BUY/HK$40.90/Target: HK$44.90): FY25: Earnings beat expectations; cautious outlook for FY26. PDD Holdings (PDD US/SELL/US$119.24/Target: US$90.00): 1Q25: Earnings miss expectations; increased platform investment to weigh on profitability. Downgrade to SELL. Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$51.55/Target: HK$69.90): 1Q25: ...

Colin Lee ... (+8)
  • Colin Lee
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Greater China Daily: Wednesday, May 28, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK/BUY/HK$48.75/Target: HK$70.00): 1Q25: Results in line; poised for encouraging contribution from Kling AI in 2025. Link REIT (823 HK/BUY/HK$40.90/Target: HK$44.90): FY25: Earnings beat expectations; cautious outlook for FY26. PDD Holdings (PDD US/SELL/US$119.24/Target: US$90.00): 1Q25: Earnings miss expectations; increased platform investment to weigh on profitability. Downgrade to SELL. Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$51.55/Target: HK$69.90): 1...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

PDD Holdings (PDD US) - 1Q25: Earnings Miss Expectations; Increased Pl...

PDD’s 1Q25 results missed expectations. Revenue increased 10% yoy to Rmb95.7b, missing consensus estimate by 6%, dampened by sluggish commission revenue growth. Non-GAAP net profit slumped 45% yoy to Rmb16.9b, 39% below consensus estimate. Non-GAAP net margin shrank 18ppt to 17.7%. Looking ahead, PDD expects its top-line growth and profitability to continue being hampered by its merchant support strategy. Downgrade to SELL with a lower target price of US$90.00.

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

PDD: 1Q25 Flash - Meaningful Deceleration in Revs; Margins Below Expec...

Total revenues were RMB95.7bn (-13.5% QoQ and +10.2% YoY), below consensus estimates of RMB101.6bn and our expectations of RMB107.9bn. Online marketing services revenue came in at RMB48.7bn (-14.5% QoQ and +14.8% YoY), below our estimates of RMB49.3bn. Transaction services revenues were RMB47.0bn (-12.4% QoQ and +5.8% YoY), below our estimates of RMB58.5bn. Analysts: Jin Yoon

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