Tariffs, Tech, NATL: Reciprocal tariffs in Jeopardy?View: The Supereme Court justices appeared skeptical of the Trump administration's arguments that the Executive Branch has the power to levy broad reciprocal tariffs. While we would see a return to a pre-reciprocal tariff regimen as broadly positi
What’s New: In this first take following tonight’s results, we focus on: 1. Stock pops on improved results and surprise Perplexity deal 2. DR recovers & continued enthusiasm for SMBs, but large advertisers down 3. North America DAUs steady but we remain cautious as age verification rolls out 4. Perplexity boosts the AI narrative 5. Very good cost control and margins
Our target declines to $800 from $900 on lower estimates. With that said, 4Q25 revenue guidance appears low, with both implied impression and pricing growth decelerating against easier comps. In the report, we also discuss the AI = Metaverse narrative that has taken hold, the addition of $30B of new debt and why we are ending share buybacks in our model.
It has been a busy week with Nvidia’s comments in Washington and three hyperscalers reporting last night. Building on these updates, we have already formed a very insightful perspective on how AI infrastructure deployments are shaping up for next year. Please follow the link for our insight summarized on a single slide.
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) assigned Aa3 ratings to Meta Platforms, Inc.'s (Meta) proposed senior unsecured notes, which will be comprised of various maturities. Meta will use the proceeds from the proposed offering for general corporate purposes. The outlook remains unchanged at stable. RATINGS RAT...
Shipments in Q4 are expected to dip 10% Q/Q given reduced inventories to pull from and Samsung's ongoing conversion of older lines (which is weighing on output).Capex: The company is considering a significant increase in capex in 2026. DRAM - Management noted spend should skew towards DRAM. For DRA
Figure 1. 3Q25 ResultsSource: Company reports, Wedbush estimates, FactSet consensusNote: 3Q revenue guide in the range of $42.5-$45.5B.Meta delivered strong 3Q results. Revenue in the quarter reached $51.2B (+26.2% Y/Y), ahead of consensus of $49.5B (+21.9% Y/Y) by ~4%. Revenue was well above the h
What’s New: In this first take following tonight’s results, we focus on: 1. Weakness driven by inline revenue outlook and ominous AI investment language 2. No big surprises in ad revenue, but short of the most bullish buyside expectations 3. Capex fears confirmed, but the door was also opened to a potential neo cloud business 4. First comments on 2026 expense growth spook
DRAM demand growth: Forecast to rise from high-teens % in 2025 to 20%+ in 2026. Hynix is emphasizing its transition to 1C to support conventional DRAM demand (expected to represent >50% of Korean capacity by end of 2026) and its ramp of M15X to increase HBM output in 2026.NAND demand/supply grow
We are downgrading SNAP to Neutral from Buy and our target declines to $8 from $11. Direct Response Ad Business Evolving: Our prior Buy thesis was anchored by SNAP’s improved direct response ad offering and was helped by growth of its small advertiser base over the past year-plus. However, DR ad growth faded to +5% in 2Q25 from mid-teens, and our channel checks remain mixed.
Lux will use MI350 silicon, a result that should create a modest boost for AMD's server compute/GPU revenues in the early 2026 time frame. Discovery will be built around the MI430, a variant of AMD's MI400 processors tuned for HPC. The biggest surprise here (in our view) is Discovery's delivery isn
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