Our target price declines to $580 from $600 on lower estimates. Investment Thesis: META may be in the penalty box for a few quarters as consensus estimates come in, and catalysts get more likely going into September events (Connect, Conversations). We remain Buy rated and would build positions near-term, then accumulate more aggressively as catalysts approach.
What’s New: In this first take following tonight’s results, we touch on: 1. Broad-based ad growth, and 85% SMB advertiser growth sticks out 2. Engagement metrics hold steady, keeping the biggest risk to the stock at bay 3. Snapchat+ now at 9M subscribers, nicely ahead of our 8.6M estimate for 1Q24 4. My AI and generative AI features lightly highlighted 5. 2024 non-GAAP expense guidance also given for the first time. 6. Timely share repurchases continue as SNAP better manages the share count
What’s New: In this first take following tonight’s results, we touch on: 1. Higher 2024 capex will drive increased investor focus on the R in ROI on generative AI 2. So, what AI initiatives could drive new revenues in 2024? 3. 1Q24 actual revenue and 2Q24 guidance strong, but not enough for the biggest Bulls 4. No updates on the $10B Contribution Club, but Meta Lattice highlighted for ad impact 5. Paid Messaging on WhatsApp is a $1 billion business, slightly above our estimate 6. Expense guidan...
What’s New: Ahead of Thursday PM’s earnings report, we review key controversies for SNAP, including: 1. Traction of SNAP’s direct response ad tech changes, and the trajectory of ad revenue growth. 2. Engagement levels in the North America, where deterioration is the most important risk this quarter. Also: can Global DAU growth hold +10%? 3. Flow through of the 10% headcount reduction in 1Q24, both on adjusted EBITDA margins and stock-based compensation. 4. We check in on SNAP’s non-advertising r...
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) upgraded Meta Platforms, Inc.'s (Meta) senior unsecured notes rating to Aa3, from A1. Moody's Ratings also upgraded the senior unsecured shelf rating to (P)Aa3, from (P)A1 and the long-term issuer rating to Aa3, from A1. The outlook is stable. The ratings upgrade reflects...
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