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James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Liberty Global (Neutral, $11.5, +5%) CFO call feedback – new M&A optio...

We attended a call yesterday with Charlie Bracken, Liberty Global CFO. This gave some new insights into some of their next potential M&A moves and how the spin (or really a private market sale) might play out.

Haidje Rustau
  • Haidje Rustau

Liberty Global - Earnings Flash - Q3 FY 2025 Results - Lucror Analytic...

Liberty Global has reported weak Q3/25 results, with revenues for consolidated entities up 1.0% in reported terms to USD 1.21 bn, and adjusted EBITDA declining 5.7% in rebased terms to USD 337 mn. We are particularly concerned about the continued reduction in the subscriber base. In our opinion, market conditions remain very difficult in many of the group's markets, and we expect little improvement in the conditions until the altnet consolidation starts in earnest.

Felix Fischer ... (+6)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Intrum, Liberty Global, Iliad, International Personal Finance, Nissan Motor, Borr Drilling, Seche Environnement, Adler Pelzer, Ontex, Nomad Foods (Iglo), Paragon, Boparan, Ineos Quattro

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Liberty Global (Neutral, $11.5, +2%) Was $10.5 There are better op...

Liberty Global’s Q3 results contained no new strategic announcements – and this suggests none might be forthcoming next Tuesday at Telefonica’s CMD either with regard to VMO2, which we think is concerning for the credit outlook at that business.

Felix Fischer ... (+3)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Peter Low

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Aston Martin, Ahlstrom, International Personal Finance, Liberty Global, Constellium, Selecta, Victoria, Assemblin

Felix Fischer ... (+7)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Liberty Global, Banijay, evoke, CEMEX, Ardagh, Nomad Foods (Iglo), Versuni, Boparan, Ontex, Intrum, International Personal Finance, Ineos, Nissan Motor

Felix Fischer
  • Felix Fischer

Europe HY Trade Book - Media & Communications - Lucror Analytics

The Europe HY Trade Book - Media & Communications includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY media & communications coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and a peer table. 

Felix Fischer ... (+6)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: MasOrange, Victoria, Ardagh Metal Beverage Packaging, Verisure, Playtech, Liberty Global, Crown Holdings, Softbank Group, evoke, Nomad Foods (Iglo)

Haidje Rustau ... (+3)
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Altice France (SFR), Liberty Global, Virgin Media O2, Tata Motors, Sammontana Italia

Haidje Rustau
  • Haidje Rustau

Liberty Global - Earnings Flash - Q2 FY 2025 Results - Lucror Analytic...

Liberty Global (LG) has released its Q2/25 numbers. Revenues for consolidated entities amounted to USD 1.17 bn, with a 20.0% y-o-y rebased increase. Adjusted EBITDA rose 5.8% in rebased terms to USD 335 mn, supported by improvements at LG and Telenet. Subscriber trends remained weak overall. Reported total debt grew to USD 9.9 bn, and the cash balance dropped to USD 1.8 bn. Reported net senior leverage stood at 3.8x, and total net leverage at 4.2x.

Felix Fischer ... (+7)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: SIG plc, Playtech, Flos B&B Italia, Liberty Global, Almaviva, Engineering Group, Trivium, Tata Motors, Nissan Motor, Froneri, Modulaire, Clarios, Itelyum Group, Italmatch Chemicals, Synthomer

Felix Fischer ... (+7)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Trivium, Applus, Altice France (SFR), Casino Guichard-Perrachon, International Personal Finance, TeamSystem, Aston Martin, Virgin Media O2, Liberty Global, TalkTalk, Recordati, Tata Motors, Nexans, Italmatch Chemicals, Itelyum Group, Teva

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

VirginMedia-O2 (Underweight) Q2 25 – Customer losses and ARPU growth ...

VMO2’s Q2 results show that customer losses and ARPU trends have slipped further in Q2. Although all guidance has been reiterated supported by hopes of a B2B turnaround and near-term cost measures, we think these KPI trends will make it more difficult to sustain organic EBITDA growth into FY26.

Felix Fischer ... (+5)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Victoria, Nokia, Telecom Italia, Intrum, CEMEX, Liberty Global, Ineos, Cirsa, Ardagh Metal Beverage Packaging, OPmobility, Rexel, TUI

Felix Fischer
  • Felix Fischer

Europe HY Trade Book - May 2025 - Lucror Analytics

The Europe HY Trade Book for May 2025 includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry. We also discuss the US tariff situation and key related impacts.

Felix Fischer ... (+6)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Vallourec, Aggreko, TK Elevator, Aston Martin, Techem, Bite, Virgin Media O2, NewDay, Sunrise, Digi Communications, Telecom Italia, Banijay, Liberty Global, Solenis, Air France-KLM, Flos B&B Italia (formerly International Design Group), Forvia (formerly Faurecia), Flora Food Group (formerly Upfield), Premier Foods, The Very Group, Lecta, Air Baltic, Teva, Standard Profil

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

VMO2 merging with Daisy

VMO2 has announced it is merging its B2B activities with Daisy in the UK, with Daisy taking a 30% stake in the NewCo.

Haidje Rustau
  • Haidje Rustau

Liberty Global - Earnings Flash - Q1 FY 2025 Results - Lucror Analytic...

Liberty Global (LG) has released disappointing Q1/25 numbers, owing to weak subscriber dynamics. Revenues and adjusted EBITDA grew y-o-y. Cash-flow performance was mixed, with OCF rising while taxes paid and capex increased. Total debt was up, while the cash balance improved slightly. Management aims to reduce leverage, with asset sales ongoing at VodafoneZiggo. However, LG still plans to pay material dividends. Market conditions are set to remain very difficult, and the near-term outlook is...

Haidje Rustau ... (+6)
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Playtech, Scan Global Logistics, Liberty Global, Clarios, TalkTalk, Modulaire, Klockner Pentaplast, EnQuest Plc, Tata Motors, Cirsa, Ineos, Motel One, Ineos Quattro

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Liberty Global (Neutral) VMO2, VodafoneZiggo, Telenet (Underweight) Q...

The weaker broadband adds at VMO2 reported this morning were only half the story. With the full Liberty Global results, there has also been a material guidance reduction for VodafoneZiggo. We addressed the VMO2 numbers in more detailed in our earlier note here – and now in this note we do a more detailed dive into VodafoneZiggo and how leverage trends could develop over the next few years based on the new guidance and the potential tower sale.

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