GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales up 16% yoy last week, beating estimates. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao and Desay. INDONESIA Update Vale Indonesia (INCO IJ/HOLD/Rp3,640/Target: Rp3,800) Unlocking its true potential. MALAYSIA Sector Consumer Sector is trading at -1SD to it...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls Add Desay, Meituan, Mengniu, Tencent, and Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit from CATL. Update CR Mixc Lifestyle (1209 HK/BUY/HK$29.20/Target: HK$32.15) Takeaways from reverse roadshow in Shenzhen. China Resources Land (1109 HK/BUY/HK$23.25/Target:HK$32.40) Takeaways from reverse roadshow in Shenzhen. Small/Mid Cap Highlights Regina Miracle (2199 HK/Not Rated/HK$2....
Given the STI’s robust performance in Nov 24, our Alpha Picks portfolio underperformed the STI slightly by 1.4ppt, but still rose 3.7% mom on a market cap weighted basis and 1.2% on an equal-weighted basis respectively. The solid performance was driven by CSE, OCBC and DFI while GENS, MPM and VMS underperformed. Our Alpha Picks portfolio has now outperformed the STI in 12 out of the past 14 months.
Nigerian Telcos continued to perform very well from a top line perspective despite the absence of price increases and the macro pressures. This suggests as we wrote HERE, that devaluations tend to spur ARPU increases in local currency, and a “catch back” of lost hard $ revenue.
We hosted a small group Zoom call with MTN Group CEO, Ralph Mupita, MTN Group CFO, Tsholofelo Molefe and Head of IR, Thato Motlanthe last week. Tone was overall positive, with a particularly bullish conversation around consolidation across Africa.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Banking 3Q24 round-up: The race to work the balance sheet harder. Results Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp (OCBC SP/BUY/S$16.06/Target: S$21.00) 3Q24: The tide on capital management has turned. SATS (SATS SP/BUY/S$3.85/Target: S$4.30) 1HFY25: Core earnings beat; stay invested for long-term growth potential. United Overseas Bank (UOB SP/NOT RATED/S$35.69) 3Q24: Uplift in CET-1 CAR reinforces urgency for capital management. Venture Corporation...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly Stronger order visibility into 2025, reiterate BUY on Crystal International and raise target price to HK$5.12. INDONESIA Results Indofood Sukses Makmur (INDF IJ/BUY/Rp7,875/Target: Rp12,000) 3Q24: Ahead of consensus expectation – driven by IFAR. Indofood CBP (ICBP IJ/BUY/Rp12,450/Target: Rp15,000) 3Q24: Strong volume growth; core NPAT in line wit...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls Add Hansoh Pharma, Sands China, CSCEC and BYDE to our BUY list. Add Sinopharm to our SELL list. Sector Aviation – China Airlines: 3Q24 earnings a slight miss; expect losses in seasonally weak 4Q24. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Macau Gaming Oct 24 GGR up 7% yoy and...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Alpha Picks: Solid Beat For Oct 24 Our Alpha Picks portfolio beat the STI by 1.1ppt in Oct 24, rising 0.4% mom on an equal-weighted basis. Add MPM and remove SATS, FRKN and CLI for Nov 24. Sector REITs S-REITs monthly update (Oct 24). Results Mapletree Industrial Trust (MINT SP/BUY/S$2.40/Target: S$3.05) 2QFY25: Generating positive reversions and stable occupancies. Wilmar Intern...
The Bulgarian equity market had a mixed showing on Wednesday, though ultimately the main indexes were up in range from 0.39% to 0.74%. SOFIX (841.39, +0.40%) rebounded from its 200-day MA mainly supported by First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 3.66, +5.17%) recovery after the announcement of Q3 financial data, which couldn’t reach the previous year results for the same period on the other hand. BGREIT (211.42) was the exception, following the pull back of the real estate sector and settled 0.41% low...
GREATER CHINA Results Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/BUY/HK$314.80/Target: HK$364.00) 3Q24: Risk-and-reward is more balanced. Upgrade to BUY. Han’s Laser (002008 CH/HOLD/Rmb24.42/Target: Rmb22.70) 3Q24: Net profit misses, but visibility of recovery improving. Downgrade to HOLD. New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU US/BUY/US$62.15/Target: US$85.00) 1QFY25: In line; moderated growth outlook in 2QFY25 on low seasonality. Update Xtep International Holdings (...
GREATER CHINA Sector Property Expect a narrower gap between mortgage rates and rental yields of China’s major cities. Update Li Ning (2331 HK/BUY/HK$16.06/Target: HK$20.40) 3Q24 sell-through declined by mid-single-digit; uncertainties remain and discounts may deepen in 4Q24. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Bank Syariah Indonesia (BRIS IJ/BUY/Rp3,000/Target: Rp3,400) ...
GREATER CHINA Results Ping An Insurance Group (2318 HK/BUY/HK$49.05/Target: HK$69.00) 3Q24: Bountiful harvest after prolonged dry spell. ZTE Corporation (763 HK/HOLD/HK$21.05/Target: HK$19.00) 3Q24: Results miss, expect stringent cost controls before next capex cycle. Downgrade to HOLD. Zijin Mining (2899 HK/BUY/HK$17.40/Target: HK$21.90) 3Q24: In line; mining entities’ gross margin down 1.2ppt qoq on lower copper ASP. Update Jiumaojiu In...
INDONESIA Asian Gems Corporate Highlights Aspirasi Hidup Indonesia (ACES IJ/BUY/Rp720/Target: Rp1,200) Store expansion pace picking up. MALAYSIA Sector Plantation MPOB's Sep 24 data showed slow inventory rebuilding due to a decline in production even as exports improved. Results Top Glove (TOPG MK/BUY/RM1.03/Target: RM1.31) 4QFY24: Losses narrow but below expectation...
GREATER CHINA Sector Property and Property Management Encouraging property sales during Golden Week; watching policy implementation and improvement in fundamentals in 4Q24. INDONESIA Asian Gems Corporate Highlights Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ/BUY/Rp10,450/Target: Rp12,000) Plenty of room to grow. Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ/BUY/Rp5,325/Target: Rp6,560) Aspires to book 20% ROE in 2028. MALAYSIA Asian Gems Corporate Hi...
Revenue and EBITDA trends improved again for China Tower, which alongside stable depreciation supported bottom-line momentum. In Indonesia, MTEL and TOWR continued to perform where the latter benefited from faster growth in its Fibre business thus should act as a buffer should the XL and Smartfren deal were to proceed.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperforming For Sep 24 And 3Q24 Our Alpha Picks portfolio beat the STI, rising 5.4% mom in Sep 24 and 7.9% qoq on an equal-weighted basis. Add CLI, CSSC, DFI and SATS, and remove ST for Oct 24. Update Mapletree Industrial Trust (MINT SP/BUY/S$2.50/Target: S$3.05) Further expansion in Japan with potential for redevelopment. TRADERS' CORNER Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp (OCBC SP): Trading BUY Keppel DC REIT (KD...
When the BoJ raised rates in March, it had been 17 years since it had last done so, though the world was very different then. While the July rate hike was unlikely to move the economic needle, the question now is what else might follow the subsequent financial market maelstrom. Pelham Smithers discusses the outlook for Japan’s macro environment, what new fiscal policies the new PM might introduce, how the BoJ might react and the all-important trend in corporate earnings. This then leads us to...
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