reports
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Ageas: AG Real Estate looking to reduce exposure to Interparking, lower capital charges. Air France-KLM: 3Q25 a bit light? ASML: Preview 3Q25, riding the AI wave. Barco: Preview 3Q25, self-help offsets macro headwind. D'Ieteren: Belron starts to roll out static mobile recalibration. Euronext: September's seasonal recovery. Tessenderlo More focus on capital allocation and returns. TomTom: Preview 3Q25, Cost cutting offsets slow markets. Umicore: Gold inventory sale-and-lease-back
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Belgian telcos: Digi launches new mobile offer at €7 per month with 30GB D'Ieteren: Belgium Sept car registration, Febiac cuts 2025 outlook to 405-410k new cars Dutch insurance: Achmea Sixth Steet JV done, new entrant for buyouts for ASR and NN Heijmans: I'm a steamroller baby Prosus: Just Eat Takeaway offer unconditional WDP: €22m investment in Romania
- Guy Sips
- Kristof Samoy
- Livio Luyten
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
Dynamic Top Pick List Update October: Removing VGP – Adding Shurgard a...
In this October update of our Dynamic Top Pick List we are removing VGP while adding Shurgard and Wolters Kluwer. Since its recent inclusion in our Dynamic Top Pick List in July-25, VGPs share rose by 10.6%. While we still believe there is significant upside to the share price, we don't see short term catalysts. In fact, the macro picture remains cloudy with the jury still out on the impact of tariffs and the erratic US policy shifts. Also, we are a bit concerned that competition in Western Eur...
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
EVS EVS BROADCAST EQUIPMENT SA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SOF SOFINA SA
ROYAL VOPAK NV
VGP VGP NV
KIN KINEPOLIS GROUP NV
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
EXO EXOR N.V.
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
DEME DEME GROUP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Michiel Declercq
D'Ieteren All eyes on Belron in 2H25
Following the publication of D'Ieteren's 1H25 results, we have slightly adjusted our estimates to the downside and currently bank on an FY25 adj. PBT (gs) of € 935m (prev. € 946m). Adjusting for constant exchange rates, our estimates imply a 2.8% growth on a comparable basis, or in line with the group's guidance (slight increase). While our new estimates reflect lower margin assumptions for Belron and TVH Parts, this effect is partially offset by lower financing costs at Belron on the back of fa...
- ING Helpdesk
D`ieteren Group: 2 directors
Two Directors at D`ieteren Group bought 4,500 shares at between 162.611EUR and 165.970EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over ...
- Michiel Declercq
D'Ieteren No room for error in 2H25, with Belron in focus
1H25 results disappointed with the adj. PBT (gs) down 22.7% to € 452.4m (kbcse: € 493m, css: € 475m). Note that on a comparable basis, the adj. PBT (gs) only decreased by 8.7%, but remained below the full year guidance (slight improvement). The miss was driven by a weak performance at TVH Parts, and only modest margin improvement at Belron. While the reiteration of the FY25 outlook implies a big step up in Belron's margins in 2H25, we give the group the benefit of the doubt. This because manage...
- ING Helpdesk
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Kristof Samoy
- Livio Luyten
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
Dynamic Top Pick List Update September: Adding AB InBev and Exor
In this September update we added 2 stocks to the KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List : We added AB InBev after the share price weakened post-2Q results. ABI's 2Q volumes fell 1.9% organically, below expectations, mainly due to a 9% drop in Brazil where a price hike led to temporary market share loss. However, strong revenue per hl growth (+4.9%) drove a 6.5% organic EBITDA increase, with 1H growth at +7.2%, near the top of FY guidance (+4–8%). AB InBev, the world's largest brewer, generates ...
- Michiel Declercq
D'Ieteren 1H25: Soft results, but reiterated outlook implies large ste...
1H25 results disappointed, with the adj. PBT (gs) down 22.7% to € 452.4m (kbcse: € 493m, css: € 475m). On a comparable basis, the adj. PBT (gs) only decreased by 8.4%, falling short of the “slight improvement” guided for FY25. The miss was driven by soft results at TVH Parts and only modest margin improvement at Belron. While the reiteration of the FY25 outlook implies a big step up in Belron's margins in 2H25, we give the group the benefit of the doubt. This because management highlighted durin...
- ING Helpdesk
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- Michiel Declercq
D'Ieteren 1H25 Preview
On September 3rd, D'Ieteren's will report its 1H25 results after market close. In our estimates, we expect the adj. PBT (gs) to decline 15.8% on a reported basis to € 493m (css: € 475m). Note however that we expect this decline to be fully driven by refinancing as our estimates still assume a 1.1% increase in adj. EBIT (gs). As usual, the highlight of the results will be the performance at Belron. Contrary to the traditional seasonality, we expect margin improvement at Belron to be weighed towar...
- ING Helpdesk
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Ascencio: Stable update CFE: Preview; margin over volume CVC Capital Partners: Moments of Realisation D'Ieteren: Belron North American peer Boyd points to positive 3Q25 inflection point in like for like growth Fastned: 1H25 results; disappointing charging volumes, cost pressure continues Greenyard: Results of second acceptance period concerning takeover bid and launching squeeze-out
- Livio Luyten
Holdings Report - July 2025 KBCS Holdings Universe Returns -0.5% Durin...
1M Performance - Absolute Total Return: During Jul'25 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a total return of -0.5% which was mainly driven by the performance of the multi-asset holdings (-0.9%), while the single-asset holdings posted a return of +0.4%. The 3 top performers during the period were Financière de Tubize (+11.7%), KBC Ancora (+9.4%) and Quest For Growth (+5.5%) while the 3 worst performers were Brederode (-6.4%), Heineken Holding (-5.0%) and D'Ieteren Group (-4.7%). YTD Pe...
GBLB GROUPE BRUXELLES LAMBERT SA
HAL HAL TRUST
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SOF SOFINA SA
GIMB GIMV NV
QFG QUEST FOR GROWTH
ACKB ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN NV
TUB FINANCIERE DE TUBIZE S.A.
HEIO HEINEKEN HOLDING N.V.
KBCA KBC ANCORA SCA
TEXF TEXAF
BREB BREDERODE S.A.
TINC TINC COMM. VA
EXO EXOR N.V.
- David Vagman
- CFA
D'Ieteren/Compounding business services portfolio
We think the May CMD cemented D'Ieteren's profile as an EPS and FCF compounder, +14% EPS CAGR 2025F-28F, +14% FCFev CAGR, a specialised listed Private Equity (PE) fund building a portfolio of growth platforms in adjacent, resilient business services companies, with a potential to rerate and D'Ieteren to invest in new high ROCE, FCF businesses with scalable franchise. We estimate a new participation could add c.15% of EBITDA by 2026/2027. We think the IPO of Belron, 70% of our SOTP, is possible b...
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
ASM: 2Q25 Preview, AI winner BE Semiconductor Industries: 2Q25 Preview, focus on advanced order intake CM.com: Preview 1H25 D'Ieteren: Belron $4.655bn TBL repriced 25bp lower PostNL: Preview 2Q25F; consensus released Wolters Kluwer: To divest Finance, Risk and Regulatory Reporting unit
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