>We are forecasting Q1 2024 operating profit of € 3.9bn - Allianz is due to report its Q1 2024 results on 15 May. We are forecasting operating profit of € 3,886m (+4.2%), in line with the consensus (€ 3,897m, +4.4%e). Q1 operating profit should, in our view, confirm the fact that Allianz should report a full-year operating profit at the upper end of the guidance range (€ 14.8bn, +/- € 1bn, bearing in mind that 1/4 of the average point of the target range is equivalent...
>Nous prévoyons un RO de 3.9 Md€ au T1 2024 - Allianz publiera son RN du T1 2024 le 15 mai prochain. Nous prévoyons un RO de 3 886 M€ (+4.2%), en ligne avec le consensus (3 897 M€, +4.4%e). Le T1 devrait ainsi, selon nous, confirmer la capacité d’Allianz de publier un RO en année pleine 2024 dans le haut de la fourchette cible (14.8 Md€, +/- 1 Md€, sachant que 1/4 du point moyen de la fourchette cible équivaudrait à 3.7 Md€ de RO/trimestre en moyenne sur 2024). Pour r...
A director at Lvmh Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE bought 16,134 shares at 785.866EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the...
L’offre de BHP sur Anglo American a confirmé l’intérêt des minières pour le cuivre dans un contexte de tensions croissantes sur la production et de difficultés à faire aboutir les projets. Les perspectives d’Anglo (Neutre) dans le cuivre sont désormais mieux valorisées, c’est aussi le cas de BHP (Neutre vs Sous-performance) mais pas encore assez, selon nous, sur Rio Tinto (Surperformance vs Neutre). En aval, Nexans et Montana Aerospace sont nos valeurs préférées (Surperformance) vs Au...
BHP's bid for Anglo American has confirmed interest from miners in copper in the context of increasingly challenged production and difficulties in fully completing projects. Anglo’s (Neutral) prospects in copper are now better valued and this is also the case for BHP (Neutral vs Underperform) although not so for Rio Tinto (Outperform vs Neutral). Downstream, Nexans and Montana Aerospace are our Top Picks (Outperform) vs Aurubis, Rexel and Prysmian (Neutral). - ...
S&P revises six Spanish banks' outlook to positive due to increased profitability. CaixaBank: strong profitability and an AT1 call, MREL remains the tightest requirement. Unicaja earnings benefit from the substantial increase in NII, we expect new PS issuance for MREL buffering. The ESMA agrees with Irish and Luxemburgish investment restrictions on Liability-Driven Investments
S&P revises six Spanish banks' outlook to positive due to increased profitability. CaixaBank: strong profitability and an AT1 call, MREL remains the tightest requirement. Unicaja earnings benefit from the substantial increase in NII, we expect new PS issuance for MREL buffering. The ESMA agrees with Irish and Luxemburgish investment restrictions on Liability-Driven Investments
>Good results maintain a positive trend, as has been the case over the last few quarters - FCC’s Q1 results were in line with the consensus and with our estimates at the P&L: revenues amounted to € 2,186m (€ 37m or 2% above our estimates and in line with the € 2,178m expected by consensus, just € 7m or 0.3% above) and EBITDA to € 355m (€ 7m or 2% above our estimates). The operating margins in Water and Environmental Services, the most relevant ones for valuation pur...
>Neutral rating maintained – target price raised to € 1.25 (vs € 1.20) - We maintain our Neutral rating, with a higher target price of € 1.25 (vs € 1.20). The Q1 2024 figures broadly confirm the bank’s favourable underlying operating trends (top line, costs, CoR) and solid balance sheet. We have upgraded our net income expectations (+4% on average for 2024-26e) to factor in a lastingly more favourable NII trajectory and a slightly less conservative CoR scenario. Follo...
>Opinion Neutre réitérée – OC porté à 1.25 € (vs 1.20 €) - Nous réitérons notre recommandation Neutre avec un objectif de cours porté à 1.25 € (vs 1.20 €). Les chiffres T1 2024 confirment globalement l’orientation favorable de l’opérationnel underlying (top line, coûts CdR) et la solidité bilancielle du groupe. Nous révisions à la hausse nos anticipations de RN (+4% en moyenne sur 2024-26e) afin d’intégrer la trajectoire in fine plus durablement favorable des NII et u...
Atos : l’Etat souhaite acquérir les activités souveraines du groupe, les besoins de liquidités sont revus à 1,1 md EUR (vs. 0,6 md EUR)Picard : les discussions entre Moez Zouari et Lion Capital auraient reprisDeutsche Bank annonce une provision légale inattendue de 1.3 md EUR pour le T2>...
1Q'24 vs. 1Q'23: NII: € 390 M (+32.2% vs. +29.5% BS(e) and +29.1% consensus); Total Revenues: € 462 M (+23.9% vs. +18.9% BS(e) and +19.1% consensus); Operating Income: € 237 M (+47.7% vs. +37.4% BS(e) and +37.1% consensus); Net Profit: € 111 M (vs. € -34 M in 1Q’23 vs. € 84 M BS(e) and € 87 M consensus). 1Q'24 vs. 4Q'23: NII: € 390 M (+2.6% vs. +0.5% BS(e) and +0.2% consensus); Total Revenues: € 462 M (+4.5% vs. +0.3% BS(e) and +0.4% consensus); Operating Income: € 237 M (+5.4% vs. -2.0% BS(e) a...
Rdos. 1T'24 vs 1T'23: M. Intereses: 390 M euros (+32,2% vs +29,5% BS(e) y +29,1% consenso); M. Bruto: 462 M euros (+23,9% vs +18,9% BS(e) y +19,1% consenso); M. Neto: 237 M euros (+47,7% vs +37,4% BS(e) y +37,1% consenso); BDI: 111 M euros (vs -34 M euros a 1T’23 vs 84 M euros BS(e) y 87 M euros consenso). Rdos. 1T'24 vs 4T'23: M. Intereses: 390 M euros (+2,6% vs +0,5% BS(e) y +0,2% consenso); M. Bruto: 462 M euros (+4,5% vs +0,3% BS(e) y +0,4% consenso); M. Neto: 237 M euros (+5,4% vs -2,0% BS(...
>Topic of the week: the good, the not good and the worrying - From the batch of Q1 results, one outstanding performance stands out, the one of Miu Miu that again grew in excess of 80% this quarter. Astutely combining quiet luxury with fantasy, the sister brand of Prada together with Loewe - part of LVMH F&L - are probably the franchises encapsulating the most the current zeitgeist among young luxury shoppers. It stands for only 22% of the group sales and the reaction ...
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