EME Equity Market – June 2025 All EME indices in the green in June, with a rebound in Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 3.2% mom in EUR terms and 6.9% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE 30 Index was the best performer in our region, recouping the losses from the previous month and adding +6.6% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and the Polish WIG indices added 3.1% and 2.8% mom in EUR terms, respectively, followed closely by the Romanian BET and the Greek ASE, with both adding 2.0% mom i...
HEADLINES: • Athens Exchange Group: Euronext bids for 100% all-share takeover POSITIVE • Wizz Air: June pax up by 10% yoy • Mo-BRUK: NSA verdicts on 2015 and 2017 increased fees NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat/Wirtualna Polska: CPS audience share at 22.73%, while WP TV at 0.70% in June 2025 NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 2Q25E preview – flat EBITDAaL yoy expected (due on 28 July)
Feedback of the companies present at the ODDO BHF Nextcap Forum Company Country Market cap. (m) Company Country Market cap. (m) Accsys Technologies € 124 Hoffmann Green € 62 Afyren € 72 Hornbach € 1 451 Altri € 1 058 IDI € 537 AMG € 550 Implenia CHF 973 AmRest PLN 3 544 Jacquet Metals € 494 Arcure € 29 Kloeckner & Co € 653 Arverne 194 Knaustabbert € 144 Austriacard Holdings € 188 Lna Santé € 270 Bastide € 218 Medincell € 398 Befesa € 1 116 Nacon € 63 CAF € 1 649 N...
Our 14th edition of the ODDO BHF Nextcap Forum took place on 11 June in Paris, and on 12 June virtually. 96 companies and 170 investors were present for more than 700 meetings organized. Overall, we noted a still cautious tone from companies, with limited visibility on a solid rebound in a persistently uncertain market environment (geopolitical situation, US politics, etc.), even if there are some signs of recovery and certain sectors remain very well positioned (leisure, energy, defence). At th...
HEADLINES: • LPP: beat vs. 1Q25 consensus expectations, slow start to 2Q, FY25E rollout plans cut to 1,200 stores POSITIVE • DO & CO: strong 4Q FY25 numbers beat the consensus and our expectations POSITIVE • Poland macro: PM Tusk wins vote of confidence, as expected POSITIVE • InPost: English High Court dismisses motion against Yodel POSITIVE • Polish retail: possible retail sales tax extension to e-commerce NEGATIVE • Orange Polska: key takeaways from Parkiet interview with the CEO NEUTRAL • Hu...
EME Equity Market – May 2025 EME indices mostly in the green in May, apart from Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.6% mom in EUR and USD terms. The Greek ASE index (+7.8% mom) was the best performer, followed by the Czech PX (+6.6% mom) and Romanian BET indices (+5.0% mom), the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+2.0% mom; all in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 Index was, again, the worst performer, with a more modest decline (-1.4% mom in EUR terms) this time.
Roadmap laid out; focus now lies on implementation… – Following a successful transformation over the past few years, PPC has been expanding its RES footprint and emerging as a leading utility in SE Europe. Mgt aims to continue the Group’s evolution, with a strategy focused on accelerating RES development, modernising its thermal fleet, investing in distribution, and retaining its stronghold in supply, targeting EBITDA of €2.7bn by 2027e (+14% CAGR). Despite these ambitious targets outpacing mos...
Roadmap laid out; focus now lies on implementation… – Following a successful transformation over the past few years, PPC has been expanding its RES footprint and emerging as a leading utility in SE Europe. Mgt aims to continue the Group’s evolution, with a strategy focused on accelerating RES development, modernising its thermal fleet, investing in distribution, and retaining its stronghold in supply, targeting EBITDA of €2.7bn by 2027e (+14% CAGR). Despite these ambitious targets outpacing mos...
HEADLINES: • OPAP: 1Q25 – strong, as expected NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: 1Q25 EBIT broadly as expected, guidance on three unannounced projects POSITIVE • VIGO Photonics: adjusted EBITDA up 2x yoy (on a low base), in line with our estimate NEUTRAL • DataWalk: actual 1Q25 numbers fully in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Kazatomprom: 1Q25 results – much weaker than expected NEGATIVE • Lamda Development: 1Q25 results – opex outside the Ellinikon better than expected, but quarterly capex still slow ...
HEADLINES: • Bank Handlowy: sells retail operations, sets 2027E ROE target of 19% • Asseco Poland: 1Q25 review – net profit up 9% yoy, in line with the consensus; 2025 backlog up 10% yoy POSITIVE • PGE: full 1Q25 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: 1Q25 adjusted EBITDA in line with our expectations NEUTRAL • Diagnostyka: 1Q25 results in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: 1Q25 earnings call takeaways – very optimistic on MAC Group POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj:...
HEADLINES: • Polish food retail: turning the corner (initiating on Zabka with a BUY, Eurocash and Jeronimo stay BUY, Dino stays SELL) • Benefit Systems: 1Q25 adjusted EBIT up 14% yoy, 10% above our forecast POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 1Q25 results – adjusted EBITDA up 11% yoy, in line with our forecast, 4% above the consensus POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: 1Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 2% yoy, 2% above the consensus NEUTRAL • Athens Exchange Group: 1Q25 results in line with expectations NE...
We believe that, after the price war-impacted 2024 and the seasonally-challenged 1Q25, Polish grocers should enjoy Easter-supported demand and a leap in the VAT hike in 2Q25E. In our view, the Polish consumer has matured, following the tough experience of the pandemic, and the inflation bubble that followed. With a propensity to consume no longer close to 100%, we see the rollout-led growth as more tangible than pure lfl expansion. Within the high-growth names, we prefer Żabka (initiation with a...
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