PSA Broadline Retail: Mercari (4385 JT) – Empowering Ecosystem with New Services Mercari is Japan's largest marketplace app, and is expanding with new services in fintech, payments, and on-demand jobs, etc., trading on attractive valuations.
When the BoJ raised rates in March, it had been 17 years since it had last done so, though the world was very different then. While the July rate hike was unlikely to move the economic needle, the question now is what else might follow the subsequent financial market maelstrom. Pelham Smithers discusses the outlook for Japan’s macro environment, what new fiscal policies the new PM might introduce, how the BoJ might react and the all-important trend in corporate earnings. This then leads us to...
Something significant has shifted in Japan. The telcos, and especially KDDI and SB Corp are now using their strength in financial services to drive customers towards unlimited offers. The result is likely to be an acceleration of ARPU recovery, and suggests we are at an important inflection point. We lift ARPU forecasts and price targets. SoftBank Corp is our new top pick, PT ¥2,500, from ¥2,200.
Mercari's share price has lost nearly 70% since its peak in Nov 2021 and has fallen 16% YTD as it faced headwinds from the reopening of the economy, and as concerns over the US business overwhelmed investors. In this report, analyst Thao Nguyen reviews the current status of each business and reiterates her belief in the company's long-term potential.
Q2 was a stable quarter when compared to Q1 overall. Market GMV grew by c.10% YoY, like in Q1 and market share were broadly stable too. We continue to think that the fundamentals are strong but the short-term is likely to remain challenging.
Despite an earnings beat and enhanced transparency in disclosure, Mercari’s shares have been sold off, pushing its YTD decline to 65%. In this report, analyst Thao Nguyen reviews each of the company’s businesses and evaluate whether the share price reaction has been excessive.
In this report, analyst Thao Nguyen compares Mercari with Rakuten and Z Holdings – all of which are in the process of building their own economic zones surrounding e-commerce and e-finance. However, there is a substantial gap in their market caps, with Mercari being a much younger company at a relatively early stage in establishing its ecosystem but offering significant growth potential. Moreover, with 47% of its market cap in cash, the stock having slumped 64% YTD and attractive valuations (FY2...
Mercari has reported a poor set of Q3 results. The company has cut its GMV growth and profit margins targets for this year and also given revenue, operating profit and net profit guidance for FY22 which implies that trends will continue to deteriorate in Q4.
The Japanese stock market is in an interesting phase where the Bank of Japan is supporting the bond market rather than the stock market. While this phase lasts, the dollar should remain above ¥120/$ and perhaps strengthen further against the yen. This report looks at what this phase might mean for the Japanese stock market as a whole, and for stock selection. The PSA Focus List has also been updated.
The independent financial analyst theScreener just lowered the general evaluation of MERCARI (JP), active in the Broadline Retailers industry. As regards its fundamental valuation, the title still shows 2 out of 4 possible stars. Its market behaviour, however, has slightly deteriorated and will be qualified as risky moving forward. theScreener considers that these new qualifications justify an overall rating downgrade to Slightly Negative. As of the analysis date February 8, 2022, the closing pr...
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.