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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ageas: Upgrading net op. result FY26 target to >€1.5bn from €1.35bn in FY25 as M&A starts contributing / CFE: Strong 2H, flips to net cash and outlook better / Deceuninck: FY25 results in line with expectations, Türkiye a tad better / GBL: Exits Umicore fully / Vopak: Five-year SBB programme announced / Wolters Kluwer: 2025 roughly in line, good 2026 outlook

Kristof Samoy
  • Kristof Samoy

CFE FY25: In line results, solid debt reduction, margin strength in Co...

Over FY25, revenues equalled €1042m (-12% YoY) but EBIT up sharply at €44.9m (+40.3% YoY). The net result stood at €33.5m (LY: €24m). As such, the posted net result exceeds guidance calling for 2025 net profit close to the 2024 level. The company proposed a gross dividend of €0.50ps (€0.4PS LY). The consolidated order book stood at €1633m (vs. €1646m LY and €1650m per 9m25). Thanks to strong OCF of €64m, net debt turned into a net cash position of €43.8M (€41.7m net debt LY) . For 2026, CFE expe...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

CFE: Preview: underlying 2026 margin to improve / DEME: Preview: strong 2025, eyes on 2026 outlook / JDE Peet's: Acquisition by KDP expected to close in 2Q26 / Solvay: 2025 ends with strong FCF; 2026F und. EBITDA guidance slightly below, supported by one-off / UCB: Peer Moonlake investor day / Vastned: Beat on bottom line with operational metrics accelerating, but outlook remains weak

Julian Dobrovolschi
  • Julian Dobrovolschi
Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Lewi
Kristof Samoy
  • Kristof Samoy

Arcadis Risk/Reward Not Yet Compelling in a Derating Sector

Arcadis surprised the market last week with weak FY results and disappointing 2026 guidance. We have overhauled our model and revisited our investment case. The repositioning of GBA Places announced after the IBI & DPS acquisitions in 2022 is not (yet) delivering the intended benefits, while the strategic shift toward large, higher margin projects is coinciding with slower and less predictable backlog conversion. With organic growth absent, the previously compelling deep discount valuation versu...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: Peer Walmart 4Q25/26 results. Arcadis: Main topics 4Q25/FY25 conference call. ASM: 4Q25 preview, FY26 should be strong. Brunel: 4Q25 result beats and trends stabilise; DACH back to growth in 1Q26; additional cost savings announced and special dividend. Cofinimmo: Beat on bottom line, strong investment outlook for 2026. IMCD: Another step in EMEA. Magnum Ice Cream Company: Peer Danone 4Q25 results. Recticel: Peer Kingspan FY25 results. Software sector: Cheaper code...

Kristof Samoy
  • Kristof Samoy

Arcadis Key take-aways analyst call

This morning Arcadis reported numbers (as written in a separate FRN) that were disappointing. Only the Resilience GBA and the cash collection process delivered in 4Q25. The sharp revenue revision for 2026 came as a cold surprise but the new CFO delivered on his cash collection commitment made late 2025. Together with the CEO nominee he outlaid a hands-on, pragmatic approach for a return to meaningful topline and margin growth. However this will be (again) back-end loaded in 2026 and mainly reali...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AEGON: Uneventful results, US weaker, underlying OCG in line / Air France-KLM: Productivity gains starting to filter through / Arcadis: Weak revenues and EBITA, but strong NWC / Ascencio: Results in line, no concerns on Carrefour Belgium exposure / Azelis: Persisting softness in 4Q25, continued focus on costs and cash / BAM Group: Solid 2H25 results, 2026 outlook in line / Belgian telecoms: Telenet improved net adds, to relist as part of Ziggo in 2027, Liberty to sell half of its 66% Wyre stake ...

Kristof Samoy
  • Kristof Samoy

Arcadis First look: Only Resilience & cash collection delivered in 4Q2...

Arcadis released a disappointing set. Only Resilience posted an inline performance. Growth in Places in 4Q was -13% while our scenario was counting on a stabilisation (o% y/y). 4Q Traction in Mobility did not materialise as expected. Company guides for a transitional 2026 with flat growth well below our and css est. . Thanks to strong cash collection FCF was a clear positive surprise. Analyst call at 2pm CET. We will adjust our 2026 numbers downwards to the issued guidance. Hold.

Guy Sips ... (+9)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ABI BB, AGN NA, ARCAD NA, BESI NA, ENX FP, GIMB BB, HY...

: ABI BB, AGN NA, ARCAD NA, BESI NA, ENX FP, GIMB BB, HYL BB, IBAB BB, KIN BB, MTLS US, VGP BB, AZE BB, ZEAL DC

Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver
Julian Dobrovolschi
  • Julian Dobrovolschi
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