HEADLINES: • Kruk: solid 3Q25 trading update, but still at a standstill in Spain NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 3Q25 trading statement POSITIVE • OMV: 3Q25 trading statement NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: to book PLN 394m of FX mortgage saga provisions in 3Q25 NEUTRAL • Murapol: 734 apartments sold and 413 units handed over in 3Q25; 66% of our annual sales forecast met after 1-3Q25 NEGATIVE • Poland macro: NBP cuts again, on steady inflation • Romania macro: MPC on a prolonged pause • Theon International: si...
HEADLINES: • Doosan Škoda Power: high steam pressure needs to cool off (downgraded to SELL) • Diagnostyka: testing positive (downgraded to HOLD) • Dom Development: 3Q25 – record sales, strong handovers, optimistic outlook POSITIVE • GTC: prices EUR 455m bond on 3 October POSITIVE • Text: key takeaways from the 2Q25-26 preliminary earnings call NEUTRAL • European Oil and Gas Monthly: September 2025 – droning on about margins • 4iG: signs letter of intent with Axiom Space NEUTRAL • Athens Exchange...
EME Equity Market – August 2025 Corrections in Poland and the broader MSCI EM Europe. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.3% mom in EUR terms and was flat (0.0%) in USD terms in August. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 2.2% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET (+1.9% mom), the Czech PX (+1.7% mom) and the Greek ASE (+1.4% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom in EUR terms). The biggest loser was the Polish WIG ...
HEADLINES: • Warsaw Stock Exchange: bottom-line beat in 2Q25, due mostly to non-operating net revenues POSITIVE • KazMunayGas: 2Q25 results – EBITDA in line with our forecast NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: 2Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA down 2% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: 2Q25 EBITDA up 6% yoy, in line with our and the market's expectations NEUTRAL • Orlen: 2Q25 results – broadly in line NEUTRAL • Lion Finance Group: 2Q25 highlights – in line, but not strong enough to sh...
HEADLINES: • Asseco Poland: unjustifiably expensive (downgraded to SELL) • PKO BP: very solid 2Q25; our ambitious forecasts seem achievable; market valuation appears to be pricing it in NEUTRAL • Elbit Systems: 2Q25 results – strong operating performance and a big contract win in Europe • Migros: 2Q25 results – bottom line misses expectations NEGATIVE • Pegasus Airlines: 2Q25 – weaker margins yoy, as expected • Logo Yazilim: 2Q25 results – in line; FY25E guidance reiterated NEUTRAL • Ignitis Gro...
HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: strong 2Q25 delivery reaffirms our FY25E net profit forecast of c. PLN 7bn, still ahead of the market consensus NEUTRAL • Magyar Telekom: 2Q25 results review – EBITDA up 13% yoy, 3% above the consensus; 2025E guidance upgraded POSITIVE • Akcansa: weak 2Q25 financial results, with signs of recovery NEGATIVE • Teknosa: 2Q25 results – recovery in the operating performance overshadowed by losses on the bottom line NEUTRAL • Brisa: 2Q25 results in line, very much like 1Q25 NE...
HEADLINES: • Alior Bank: solid 2Q25, with a beat vs. the market's expectations on stronger other income and lower LLPs POSITIVE • Richter: 2Q25 results broadly in line NEUTRAL • Aselsan: 2Q25 results – strong beat, driven by operating performance POSITIVE • Turkish Airlines: 2Q25 – EBIT above the consensus on better costs POSITIVE • Isbank: 2Q25 highlights – a mixed bag, but management sounds confident in sharp margin recovery in 2H25E • Cimsa: 2Q25 financial results review – strong revenue grow...
EME Equity Market – July 2025 EME indices all in the green in July. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 6.0% mom in EUR terms and 3.0% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE30 was, once again, the top performer, adding 7.9% mom in EUR terms, followed very closely by the Romanian BET, advancing 7.8% mom in EUR terms. The Greek ASE added 6.8% mom in EUR terms, while the Czech PX added 4.5% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and Polish WIG20 added 3.6% and 3.0% mom, respectively, in EUR terms.
HEADLINES: • mBank: 2Q25 results – strong quality beat • Komercni Banka: beat on bottom line in 2Q25, driven solely by LLPs releases NEUTRAL • ING BSK: 2Q25 results – strong other income and lower provisions charges NEUTRAL • Kety: full 2Q25 results fully in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Ford Otosan: 2Q25 results – as expected NEUTRAL • Garanti Bank: 2Q25 highlights – still ahead of peers and soft 2026E guidance POSITIVE • BRD-GSG: solid 2Q25 results beat expectations POSITIVE • OMV Petr...
HEADLINES: • Bank Millennium: 2Q25 results beat, on lower FX mortgage saga costs; core operating in line, but very solid levels NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 2Q25 results – EBITDAaL up 4% yoy, 3% above the consensus; 2025E guidance reiterated POSITIVE • Tofas: 2Q25 results – in line operationally; 2025E guidance indicates higher profitability outlook POSITIVE • Athens Exchange Group: strong bottom-line delivery in 2Q25, ahead of expectations POSITIVE • Budimex: preliminary 2Q25 broadly in line with o...
HEADLINES: • Medicover: 2Q25 results - a decent beat on operating leverage POSITIVE • Türkiye macro: CBT surprises with a bold cut • Krka: 2Q25 in line with prelims, guidance update in November NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: 1QF26 results - another miss, but focus on a planned shift to slower growth • Athens Exchange Group: 2Q25E preview (due on 28 July) • Artea Bankas: 2Q25E preview (due on 31 July) • BRD-GSG: 2Q25E preview (due on 31 July) • Coca-Cola Içecek – 2Q25E earnings preview (due on 11 August) • ...
HEADLINES: • Aegean Airlines: after a strong 1Q, earnings momentum may slow (downgrade to HOLD) • Halyk Savings Bank: acquires 49% of Uzbekistan’s Click POSITIVE • MONETA: 2Q25 results in line - guidance offers CZK 300-400m of upside risk to the bank's 2025E net profit forecast NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: 1QF26 results - EBITDA 5% below our estimate, 14% below consensus NEGATIVE • Bank Pekao: Polish FinMin is drafting a bill to ban the sale of the State-owned shares of the bank NEUTRAL • GTC: Fitch down...
Athex rerated YTD, but still room to go – Following a sluggish 2024 (-15%), ATHEX shares have rallied c60% in 2025, fuelled by: i) rising trading intensity (ADV >40% y/y at c€200mn ytd), ii) firming conviction in Greece’s DM reclassification (FTSE & Stoxx reviews in sight), and iii) an M&A premium after Euronext confirmed discussions for a potential tender offer. Although the shares have re-rated meaningfully (i.e c20%) following the Euronext news, we believe there is further upside as: (i) EXAE...
Athex rerated YTD, but still room to go – Following a sluggish 2024 (-15%), ATHEX shares have rallied c60% in 2025, fuelled by: i) rising trading intensity (ADV >40% y/y at c€200mn ytd), ii) firming conviction in Greece’s DM reclassification (FTSE & Stoxx reviews in sight), and iii) an M&A premium after Euronext confirmed discussions for a potential tender offer. Although the shares have re-rated meaningfully (i.e c20%) following the Euronext news, we believe there is further upside as: (i) EXAE...
EME Equity Market – June 2025 All EME indices in the green in June, with a rebound in Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 3.2% mom in EUR terms and 6.9% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE 30 Index was the best performer in our region, recouping the losses from the previous month and adding +6.6% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and the Polish WIG indices added 3.1% and 2.8% mom in EUR terms, respectively, followed closely by the Romanian BET and the Greek ASE, with both adding 2.0% mom i...
HEADLINES: • Athens Exchange Group: Euronext bids for 100% all-share takeover POSITIVE • Wizz Air: June pax up by 10% yoy • Mo-BRUK: NSA verdicts on 2015 and 2017 increased fees NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat/Wirtualna Polska: CPS audience share at 22.73%, while WP TV at 0.70% in June 2025 NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 2Q25E preview – flat EBITDAaL yoy expected (due on 28 July)
HEADLINES: • LPP: fire at Romanian warehouse causes temporary disruption in SEE operations; c.PLN 400m in assets destroyed (all insured) NEGATIVE • ADNOC Drilling: oilfield services awarded a five-year contract for hydraulic fracturing POSITIVE • Richter: European Commission approval for denosumab biosimilars NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: June Sensor Tower bookings estimate flat mom NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: June Sensor Tower bookings estimate flat mom NEUTRAL • Warsaw Stock Exchange: PLN 3.15/share...
HEADLINES: • Greek banks: take a bow (Alpha downgraded to HOLD, Eurobank stays HOLD, NBG stays BUY and Piraeus upgraded to BUY) • PGE: new strategy assumes PLN 30bn of EBITDA in 2035E and PLN 235bn in capex in 2025-35E NEUTRAL • Bank Pekao/PZU: call for analysts and investors to discuss potential merger • CCC: final 1Q25 results spot on the prelims NEUTRAL • Romania macro: inflation jumps in May • GEK Terna: clinches EUR 1bn of Romanian railway projects POSITIVE • Athens Exchange Group: AGM appr...
EME Equity Market – May 2025 EME indices mostly in the green in May, apart from Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.6% mom in EUR and USD terms. The Greek ASE index (+7.8% mom) was the best performer, followed by the Czech PX (+6.6% mom) and Romanian BET indices (+5.0% mom), the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+2.0% mom; all in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 Index was, again, the worst performer, with a more modest decline (-1.4% mom in EUR terms) this time.
HEADLINES: • Polish food retail: turning the corner (initiating on Zabka with a BUY, Eurocash and Jeronimo stay BUY, Dino stays SELL) • Benefit Systems: 1Q25 adjusted EBIT up 14% yoy, 10% above our forecast POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 1Q25 results – adjusted EBITDA up 11% yoy, in line with our forecast, 4% above the consensus POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: 1Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 2% yoy, 2% above the consensus NEUTRAL • Athens Exchange Group: 1Q25 results in line with expectations NE...
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