reports
- Filipe Botelho
- Josseline Jenssen
- Lorena Reich
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Towers First down month, AMX into the Top-10 for T...
After 8 extremely strong months, September bucked the trend. 6 of our Top Picks saw profit taking with only Airtel Africa, Millicom, Telefonica Brasil and LILAC posting positive returns. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space. Having strongly outperformed we switch out Millicom for AMX which we now see as a cheaper, lower risk, way to play Latin American telcos.
- Chris Hoare
- Filipe Botelho
- Josseline Jenssen
- Lorena Reich
- Felix Fischer
PBR.N PETROLEO BRASILEIRO S/A ADS
MELI MERCADOLIBRE INC.
GTE GRAN TIERRA ENERGY
GPRK GEOPARK
ARCO ARCOS DORADOS HOLDINGS INC. CLASS A
ACD ADECOAGRO S.A.
CENCOSUD CENCOSUD S.A.
VCM.B VOLCAN COMPANIA MINERA S.A.A. CLASS B
4FZ ORBIA ADVANCE CORP. SAB DE CV
PAMP PAMPA ENERGIA SA
ALSEA ALSEA S.A.B. DE C.V.
MINSURI1 MINSUR S.A.
FALABELLA FALABELLA S.A.
TGSU2 TRANSPORTADORA DE GAS DEL SUR SA CLASS B
YPFD YPF SA CLASS D
KUOB GRUPO KUO S.A.B.
ECOPETROL ECOPETROL SA
AEROMEX GRUPO AEROMEXICO
PFAVH AVIANCA HOLDINGS SA PFD
INRETC1 INRETAIL PERU
AESGENER AES GENER S.A.
TIGO SDB MILLICOM INTERNATIONAL CELLULAR SA SWEDISH DEPOSITORY RECEIPT
NEMAKA NEMAK S.A.B. DE C.V.
CEXA CEMEX SAB DE CV (ADR)
TUPY3 TUPY S/A ORD
UGPA3 ULTRAPAR PARTICIPACOES S.A.
USIM5 USINAS SIDERURGICAS DE MINAS GERAIS PREF A
NATU3 NATURA & CO HOLDING SA
LTM LATAM AIRLINES GROUP SA
FEC FRONTERA ENERGY CORP
NEXA NEXA RESOURCES S.A.
RAIL3 RUMO SA
KALLPA KALLPA
CSNA3 COMPANHIA SIDERURGICA NACIONAL
VALE3 VALE S.A.
KLBN3 KLABIN SA
SUZANO SUZANO
UNIGEL UNIGEL
AMBP3 BZ AMBIPAR PARTICIPACOES E EMPR
- Felix Fischer
Latam Trade Book - 17 September 2025 - Lucror Analytics
In the latest edition of our LatAm Trade Book, we review most of our current trade recommendations. We also discuss key metrics of the issuers and how the bonds fare relative to peers. Please reach out to our analysts to discuss any of these ideas, or other trade recommendations from our LatAm coverage.
PBR.N PETROLEO BRASILEIRO S/A ADS
MELI MERCADOLIBRE INC.
GTE GRAN TIERRA ENERGY
GPRK GEOPARK
ARCO ARCOS DORADOS HOLDINGS INC. CLASS A
ACD ADECOAGRO S.A.
CENCOSUD CENCOSUD S.A.
VCM.B VOLCAN COMPANIA MINERA S.A.A. CLASS B
4FZ ORBIA ADVANCE CORP. SAB DE CV
PAMP PAMPA ENERGIA SA
MINSURI1 MINSUR S.A.
TGSU2 TRANSPORTADORA DE GAS DEL SUR SA CLASS B
YPFD YPF SA CLASS D
KUOB GRUPO KUO S.A.B.
ECOPETROL ECOPETROL SA
AEROMEX GRUPO AEROMEXICO
PFAVH AVIANCA HOLDINGS SA PFD
INRETC1 INRETAIL PERU
AESGENER AES GENER S.A.
TIGO SDB MILLICOM INTERNATIONAL CELLULAR SA SWEDISH DEPOSITORY RECEIPT
NEMAKA NEMAK S.A.B. DE C.V.
CEXA CEMEX SAB DE CV (ADR)
TUPY3 TUPY S/A ORD
UGPA3 ULTRAPAR PARTICIPACOES S.A.
USIM5 USINAS SIDERURGICAS DE MINAS GERAIS PREF A
NATU3 NATURA & CO HOLDING SA
LTM LATAM AIRLINES GROUP SA
FEC FRONTERA ENERGY CORP
NEXA NEXA RESOURCES S.A.
RAIL3 RUMO SA
CSNA3 COMPANHIA SIDERURGICA NACIONAL
VALE3 VALE S.A.
KLBN3 KLABIN SA
AMBP3 AMBIPAR PARTICIPACOES E EMPREEN
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Towers Continuing strong: NSR GEM Top-10 September...
August was a rather eventful month for two of top picks as LILAC announced the Puerto Rican asset separation and Kyivstar, the Ukraine arm of VEON, successfully listed on the NASDAQ (see our initiation HERE). All of our top picks performed well again. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space. We make our first change to the list, swapping TIM Brasil for Telefonica Brasil.
- Chris Hoare
- Filipe Botelho
- Josseline Jenssen
- Lorena Reich
- Filipe Botelho
- Josseline Jenssen
- Lorena Reich
Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Latam
In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Brava Energia, YPF, Pampa Energia, Canacol, Millicom, YPF Luz, Aegea, C&W Communications, Rumo, Cencosud, Movida, Rede D'Or, Iochpe-Maxion, Minerva, Braskem, BRF
- Chris Hoare
- David Lopes
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Towers Another monster month: NSR GEM Top-10 Augus...
Our top picks performed very strongly again in July, marked by a strong recovery from VEON, Millicom and IHS Towers alongside continued momentum at Singtel and Airtel Africa. Heading into earnings season, we continue to see the EM Telco cycle in an upswing. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space. In our view, our picks remain undervalued, so we make no changes to the list.
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Towers Another decent month: NSR GEM Top-10 July ‘...
Our picks largely had a slightly slower month in June, with VEON seeing sharp profit taking, but a recovery in some of the weaker stocks such as LILAK offset to continue to see overall valuations rise. We continue to see the EM Telco cycle in an upswing. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space. In our view, our picks remain heavily undervalued, so we make no changes to the list.
- Josseline Jenssen
- Lorena Reich
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos M&A Cycle in-bound; buy the targets
With sentiment, leverage and cash flow all improving for EM Telcos we think we are approaching the point of the cycle where M&A is going to become more prevalent, and shift from bearish (in-market consolidation), to bullish (out of footprint). Investors should consider building portfolios based on likely targets. Who are they?
- Felix Fischer
PBR.N PETROLEO BRASILEIRO S/A ADS
MELI MERCADOLIBRE INC.
GTE GRAN TIERRA ENERGY
GPRK GEOPARK
ARCO ARCOS DORADOS HOLDINGS INC. CLASS A
ACD ADECOAGRO S.A.
CENCOSUD CENCOSUD S.A.
VCM.B VOLCAN COMPANIA MINERA S.A.A. CLASS B
4FZ ORBIA ADVANCE CORP. SAB DE CV
PAMP PAMPA ENERGIA SA
ALSEA ALSEA S.A.B. DE C.V.
MINSURI1 MINSUR S.A.
FALABELLA FALABELLA S.A.
TGSU2 TRANSPORTADORA DE GAS DEL SUR SA CLASS B
YPFD YPF SA CLASS D
KUOB GRUPO KUO S.A.B.
ECOPETROL ECOPETROL SA
AEROMEX GRUPO AEROMEXICO
PFAVH AVIANCA HOLDINGS SA PFD
INRETC1 INRETAIL PERU
AESGENER AES GENER S.A.
TIGO SDB MILLICOM INTERNATIONAL CELLULAR SA SWEDISH DEPOSITORY RECEIPT
NEMAKA NEMAK S.A.B. DE C.V.
CEXA CEMEX SAB DE CV (ADR)
TUPY3 TUPY S/A ORD
UGPA3 ULTRAPAR PARTICIPACOES S.A.
USIM5 USINAS SIDERURGICAS DE MINAS GERAIS PREF A
NATU3 NATURA & CO HOLDING SA
LTM LATAM AIRLINES GROUP SA
FEC FRONTERA ENERGY CORP
NEXA NEXA RESOURCES S.A.
RAIL3 RUMO SA
KALLPA KALLPA
CSNA3 COMPANHIA SIDERURGICA NACIONAL
VALE3 VALE S.A.
KLBN3 KLABIN SA
SUZANO SUZANO
UNIGEL UNIGEL
AMBP3 BZ AMBIPAR PARTICIPACOES E EMPR
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Towers Bull market continues – NSR GEM Top-10 June...
It was another very strong month for our picks as the EM Telco bull market continues. As we have been arguing for some time EM Telco is a much better space than it used to be, and the market has now started to understand this. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.
- Chris Hoare
GEM Telcos: Consolidation – THE theme driving improved trends for EM T...
Earlier this month we published on how Global EM Telco Capex is falling rapidly, in large part driven by consolidation. On average EM Telco markets have fallen from a peak of 7 players to under 3. We expect many to end up with 2, or even a single network. How much further far might this cut capex?
- Filipe Botelho
- Josseline Jenssen
- Lorena Reich
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