Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls Chinese equities recovered in January, with the HSI and MSCI China rising 6.9% and 5.0% mom, respectively. Given the supportive macro policy environment, we maintain a constructive view on the markets despite risk of further volatility in February. Accordingly, we are adding Alibaba, Ganfeng Lithium, and Minth to our BUY list, while adding Meituan to our SELL list. Indonesia Company Results | Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ/B...
Singapore equities delivered a strong January performance, with the STI rising 5.6% to fresh record highs amid heightened geopolitical tensions that drove flight-to-safety flows. Manufacturing activity remained in mild expansion, led by electronics and AI-related demand. Market/corporate catalysts during the month include REIT earnings, IPO interest in Catalist and continued strength in gold-linked counters.
Greater China Sector Update | China Property CRIC data show that the top 100 developers’ contracted sales fell 24.7% yoy in Jan 26, while new-home sales in 28 major cities declined 36% yoy. Second-hand transactions in three Tier 1 cities rose 1% yoy. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT but deepening industry downturn leads to rising possibility of policy support, supporting selective exposure. CR Land remains our top pick, with P/B at 1SD below the five-year mean, and PE and yield near the five-year average....
S-REITs would be active in asset recycling in 2026, supported by depressed domestic interest rates. M&A activities could be a positive surprise. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY blue-chip S-REITs: FLT (Target: S$1.22), LREIT (Target: S$0.81), MPACT (Target: S$1.84) and NTTDCR (Target: S$1.42).
Greater China Company Update | NAURA Technology Group (002371 CH/BUY/Rmb497.68/Target: Rmb571.70) We see multiple upside risks to our assumption about NAURA for 2026-27. Domestic foundries and memory IDMs are likely to further raise their capex plans for advanced nodes given robust downstream demand and capacity shortage, while the mature node capex may end up better than feared thanks to overflow demand from global Tier 1 foundries. On the other hand, localisation efforts are accelerating signi...
Positive rental reversion has eased to 1.7% in 3QFY26, excluding China. Negative rental reversion from the Chinese market has moderated to 2.2%. MLT could explore divesting its logistics properties in China to sponsor Mapletree Investments’ renminbi-denominated private fund. Maintain HOLD. Target price: S$1.38.
Top Stories Company Results | Mapletree Logistics Trust (MLT SP/HOLD/S$1.36/Target: S$1.38) Positive rental reversion has eased to 1.7% in 3QFY26, excluding China. Negative rental reversion from the Chinese market has moderated to 2.2%. MLT could explore divesting its logistics properties in China to sponsor Mapletree Investments’ renminbi-denominated private fund. Maintain HOLD. Target price: S$1.38. Market Spotlight US stocks were mixed on Tuesday, with the Dow Jones sliding while S&P 500 ...
Greater China Economics | PMI December Manufacturing PMI rose to 50.1, back in the expansionary zone for the first time since March. Non-manufacturing PMI also improved at 50.2 (+0.7pt mom), driven by a rebound in construction activity, while services PMI remained slightly contractionary pointing to weak domestic demand. Enterprise PMI showed divergent trends, with large firms leading the improvement. Overall, the December data points to uneven recovery despite the positive headline numbers....
Greater China Economics | PMI November PMI undershot expectations; manufacturing PMI was at 49.2 (+0.2pt mom) and non-manufacturing PMI slipped to 49.5 (-0.6pt mom), the first contraction in nearly three years. With the services industry index weakened to 49.5 (-0.7pt mom). PMI data confirms growth momentum is easing, so expect more supportive policies to be rolled out soon, but for economic confidence to return, we need a sustainable bottom in the real estate sector. Sector Update | Heal...
Safe haven liquidity continues flowing into Singapore, pushing down SORA on an overnight basis to a low of 1.27%. Threemonth compounded SORA eased 8bp to 1.25% in Nov 25. The Fed cut the Fed Funds Rate by another 25bp to 3.75% during the FOMC meeting on 29 Oct 25. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY blue-chip S-REITs with specific catalysts: CLAR (Target: S$4.02), CLAS (Target: S$1.56), KDCREIT (Target: S$2.65), KREIT (Target: S$1.20) and LREIT (Target: S$0.81).
Two out of the 16 large-cap S-REITs under our coverage surpassed expectations. FLT’s occupancy for logistics properties in Australia gained 4.3ppt qoq to 100% in 4QFY25. SUN has received a favourable ruling from the ATO, which has a positive impact of 3.7% on 2025 DPU. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY blue-chip S-REITs with specific catalysts: CLAR (Target: S$4.02), CLAS (Target: S$1.56), KDCREIT (Target: S$2.65), KREIT (Target: S$1.20) and LREIT (Target: S$0.79).
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls HSI and MSCI China fell 3.5%/4.0% mom in October, dragged by renewed US-China trade tensions and lack of fresh policy signals from the 4th Plenum. We remain constructive in the medium term but expect further consolidation as uncertainties persist. The best performer among our picks was SELL-rated Li Auto (+21.4% mom). For November, we rotate into oversold names with near-term upside: add AIA, LINK REIT, NAURA, Pinduoduo, PICC P&...
The merger of CapitaLand and Mapletree is a matter of time given the emphasis to create global giants within Temasek. MINT (HOLD/Target: S$1.22), MLT (HOLD/Target: S$1.38) and MPACT (BUY/Target: S$1.84) are potential takeover targets. KREIT (BUY/Target: S$1.20) and SUN (HOLD/Target: S$1.42) are potential new entrants to be included as constituents of the STI. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Greater China Sector Update | Macau Gaming Macau’s Oct 25 GGR was MOP$24.1b, increasing 32% mom and 16% yoy, and recovering to 91% of 2019’s level (vs a recovery of 83% in Sep 25). Oct 25’s GGR number beat market consensus by 4%, and set another post-COVID-19 record. For 10M25, GGR climbed to MOP$205.4b, up 8% yoy, and recovered to 83% of 2019’s level. Maintain OVERWEIGHT; Galaxy remains our top pick. Company Results | China Merchants Bank (3968 HK/HOLD/HK$48.64/Target: HK$51.00) CMB rep...
Greater China Company Results | ASMPT (522 HK/BUY/HK$83.85/Target: HK$104.00) ASMPT’s 3Q25 print missed expectations on a weaker product mix and one-off restructuring costs. Revenue was largely in line with the mid-point of its guidance, but gross margin was below expectations at 35.7% due to changes in product mix and inventory write-off from the restructuring. Nevertheless, ASMPT reported solid progress with TCB in both HBM4 and advanced logic C2W/C2S, while its mainstream tools continued to r...
Negative rental reversion for China has moderated from -7.5% in the previous quarter to -3.0% in 2QFY26. Unfortunately, positive rental reversions from Singapore and Japan have also moderated to 3.9% and 0.0% respectively. Maintain HOLD. Target price: S$1.38.
Top Stories Company Results | Keppel REIT (KREIT SP/BUY/S$1.06/Target: S$1.20) KREIT targets double-digit positive rental reversion in both 2025 and 2026. It intends to remain Singapore-centric and office-focused. It will cap the exposure to retail assets at 20% of portfolio valuation. Maintain BUY. Target price: S$1.20. Company Results | Mapletree Logistics Trust (MLT SP/HOLD/S$1.35/Target: S$1.38) Negative rental reversion for China has moderated from -7.5% in the previous quarter to -3.0%...
Greater China Sector Update | Internet The growing robotaxi ecosystem is drawing in an increasing number of new entrants, including autonomous service providers and ride-hailing platforms. We expect technological maturity, policy support, and better fleet economics to drive a major expansion wave for the robotaxi industry into 2H25/2026, with China’s robotaxi fleet size expected to grow ten-fold during this period. We see material development and monetisation progress of Robotaxi, sparking r...
The sudden U-turn in trade negotiations between the US and China has caught the market by surprise. Risk from a protracted US government shutdown also adds to greater uncertainties. The most defensive sectors are suburban retail (CICT and LREIT), healthcare (PREIT) and data centres (KDCREIT and NTTDCR), which are less affected by trade conflicts and reciprocal tariffs. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY CICT (Target: S$2.79), KDCREIT (Target: S$2.69), PREIT (Target: S$5.34), LREIT (Target: S$0.79) and NTT...
Top Stories Sector Update | REITs US monetary policy is at an inflexion point and has switched towards easing to support the job market, which has slowed considerably in recent months. S-REITs benefit from lower cost of debt and expanded yield spread. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY blue chip S-REITs with specific catalysts: CLAR (Target: S$4.02), CLAS (Target: S$1.56), KDCREIT (Target: S$2.69), KREIT (Target: S$1.18) and LREIT (Target: S$0.79). Market Spotlight US stocks ended higher on Tuesday, ...
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