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Jonathan Koh
  • Jonathan Koh

Singapore Daily - Thursday, May 02, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results CDL Hospitality Trusts (CDREIT SP/BUY/S$0.975/Target: S$1.48): 1Q24: Positive growth with upward momentum. Mapletree Logistics Trust (MLT SP/BUY/S$1.35/Target: S$1.89): 4QFY24: Downside limited by higher yield. TRADERS’ CORNER Singapore Post (SPOST SP): Trading BUY Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP): Trading BUY

Jonathan Koh
  • Jonathan Koh

Mapletree Logistics Trust (MLT SP) - 4QFY24: Downside Limited By Highe...

MLT eked out positive rental reversions of 2.9% in 4QFY24 driven by Singapore (+11.1%), despite the drag from China (-10.0%). Portfolio occupancy was stable at 96.0% as of Mar 24. MLT’s properties in Tier 1 cities, such as Shanghai and Guangzhou, are well located and resilient. Properties in Tier 2 cities suffered negative rental reversion at low teens and the weakness is expected to persist. MLT provides FY25 distribution yield of 6.2% (FLT: 6.7%). Maintain BUY. Target price: S$1.89.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+22)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ceilica Su Rui
  • Jacquelyn Yow Hui Li
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Leow Huey Chuen
  • Paula Ruth
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Wei Xiang Ku
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, May 2, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Macau Gaming Apr 24 GGR down 5% mom; downgrade to MARKET WEIGHT. Results China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$5.10/Target: HK$6.00) 1Q24: Results in line with better NIM performance. LONGi Green Energy Technology (601012 CH/SELL/Rmb18.20/Target: Rmb14.38) 2023/1Q24: Below expectations; inventory write-down wipes out earnings. Downgrade to SELL. PICC Property and Casualty (2328 HK/BUY/HK$9.71/Target: HK$11.70) 1Q24: Earnings miss on higher COR and lower investment income...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+4)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Singapore Research Team

Singapore Daily: Monday, April 15, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy The Impact Of Escalating Middle East Tensions A fluid situation with oil prices the key worry. Small/Mid Cap Highlights BRC Asia (BRC SP/BUY/S$1.94/Target: S$2.42) 1QFY24: Strong results as construction demand recovers. TRADERS’ CORNER Aztech Global (AZTECH SP): Trading BUY Isdn Holdings (ISDN SP): Trading BUY

FR FIRST INDUSTRIAL REALTY TRUST INC.
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
CC3 STARHUB LTD
S63 SINGAPORE TECHNOLOGIES ENGINEERING LTD
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
C09 CITY DEVELOPMENTS LIMITED
S68 SINGAPORE EXCHANGE LTD.
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
F34 WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
1820 ABDULMOHSEN AL HOKAIR GROUP FOR TOURISM AND DEVELOPMENT CO CJSC
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
C6L SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD.
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
Y92 THAI BEVERAGE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
SE SEA ADS
SATS SP SATS LTD.
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
FEHT FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
NETLINK NETLINK NBN TRUST
SIE SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD
BAL BUMITAMA AGRI LTD
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
SPOST SINGAPORE POST LTD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
RFMD RAFFLES MEDICAL GROUP LTD
SASSR SASSEUR REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
MUST MANULIFE US REAL ESTATE INV
BRC BRC ASIA LTD
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
FEH FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
UHU UNITED HAMPSHIRE US REIT
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
FLT FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
KORE KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
DCREIT DIGITAL CORE REIT
ADSE ADS TEC ENERGY PLC
CLI CAPITALAND INVESTMENT LTD
MPACT MAPLETREE PAN ASIA COMMERCIAL TRUST
BCOW 1895 BANCORP OF WISCONSIN INC
CLAS CAPITALAND ASCOTT TRUST
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
PRIME PRIME ROAD POWER PUBLIC CO LTD
STM SEATRIUM LTD
Z29 029 GROUP SE
ACG ACG ACQUISITION COMPANY LIMITED
Jonathan Koh
  • Jonathan Koh

REITs – Singapore: The Uneven Pace Of Monetary Easing

Interest rates have peaked but the pace of monetary easing is uneven. The ECB is likely to cut interest rates ahead of the FED. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Our top picks are hospitality and retail plays, which benefit from a continued recovery in visitor arrivals and resilient consumer spending: BUY CLAS (Target: S$1.45), FEHT (Target: S$0.82), FCT (Target: S$2.73) and LREIT (Target: S$0.93). BUY FLT (Target: S$1.52) and KDCREIT (Target: S$2.10) due to a high proportion of Euro-denominated borrowings.

Jonathan Koh
  • Jonathan Koh

Singapore REITs monthly update (Mar 24).

nterest rates in OECD countries have already peaked. Based on the latest summary of economic projections, FOMC participants expect three rate cuts of 25bp in 2024 and the Fed Funds Rate to ease to 4.5% by end-24. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Our top picks are hospitality and retail plays, which benefit from continued recovery in visitor arrivals and resilient consumer spending. BUY CLAS (Target: S$1.45), FCT (Target: S$2.73), FEHT (Target: S$0.82) and LREIT (Target: S$0.93).

Jonathan Koh
  • Jonathan Koh

Singapore Daily - Thursday, March 15, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Mapletree Logistics Trust (MLT SP/BUY/S$1.47/Target: S$1.87) Weathering headwinds from Mainland China. MONTHLY TECHNICAL - INDICES OUTLOOK FTSE Straits Times Index (STI IND): Consolidation continues

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+11)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Limartha Adhiputra
  • Ming San Soong
  • Stevanus Juanda

Regional Morning Notes - Friday, March 15, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PEV market share hits record of 48% on price slashes. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Top SELL: XPeng. Top BUYs: CATL, Tuopu and Desay SV. Results AIA Group (1299 HK/BUY/ HK$62.25/Target: HK$101.00): 2023: Delivering strong VONB growth. KE Holdings Inc (2423 HK/HOLD/HK$37.95/Target: HK$39.00): 4Q23: Strong top-line beat; expecting lukewarm recovery in 1Q24. Downgrade to HOLD. INDONESIA ASEAN Gems Conference Highlights Ace Hardware Indonesia (ACES IJ/BUY/Rp840/Targ...

Jonathan Koh
  • Jonathan Koh

Mapletree Logistics Trust (MLT SP) - Weathering Headwinds From Mainlan...

In China, growth from e-commerce has slowed. The huge logistics supply of 12m sqm in 2023 has pushed the nationwide vacancy rate to a high of 23%. We are concerned that the weakness from China could persist and last longer than the 6-12 months guided by management. We have toned down our optimism. MLT provides FY25 distribution yield of 5.6% (FLT: 7.0%). Maintain BUY. Target price: S$1.87.

Jonathan Koh
  • Jonathan Koh

Singapore REITs – 4Q23 Round-up: The Quarter Of Hard Knocks

For the 21 S-REITs under our coverage, five were above expectations with eight below expectations. The hospitality sub-sector registered the strongest NPI growth, averaging 13% yoy. We saw positive rental reversions across retail, office and logistics properties. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Focus on blue chip S-REITs with resilient balance sheets. BUY CLAS (Target: S$1.45), FCT (Target: S$2.73), FEHT (Target: S$0.82), FLT (Target: S$1.65) and LREIT (Target: S$0.93).

Jonathan Koh
  • Jonathan Koh

Singapore REITs – S-REITs Monthly Update (Feb 24)

Inflationary pressure continues to ease, albeit at a more gradual pace. Rate cuts are on the horizon, although not as early as March. S¬-REITs have strong defensive qualities and benefit from lower interest rates. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Our top picks are hospitality and retail plays, which benefit from continued recovery in visitor arrivals and resilient domestic consumer spending. BUY CLAS (Target: S$1.45), FCT (Target: S$2.73), FEHT (Target: S$0.82) and LREIT (Target: S$0.93).

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+10)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Ken Lee
  • Limartha Adhiputra
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Nurul Nazira Binti Abdullah

Regional Morning Notes - Friday, January 26, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: EV sales rebounded in the third week of 2024 on price cuts, implying lower margins. Top SELLs: BYD, XPeng and Li Auto. Update JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$90.40/Target: HK$135.00): Resilient user growth and normalised revenue growth fostering solid recovery in 2024. INDONESIA Sector Mining Expecting nickel prices to bottom out in 2024 with potential recovery in 2025. MALAYSIA Results Pavilion REIT (PREIT MK/BUY/RM1.24/Target: RM1.47): 4Q23: Results in line...

Jonathan Koh
  • Jonathan Koh

Mapletree Logistics Trust (MLT SP) - 3QFY24: Weathering Near-term Head...

3QFY24 results was a mixed bag. MLT generated healthy rental reversions of 3.8% driven by Singapore, Australia and South Korea, despite the drag from China. Portfolio occupancy slipped 1.0ppt qoq to 95.9% due to non-¬renewals at older specifications properties in Singapore and Hong Kong. Management cautioned that weakness for China could persist for the next 6-12 months. MLT provides FY25 distribution yield of 5.3% (FLT: 6.5%). Maintain BUY. Target price: S$1.98.

Jonathan Koh
  • Jonathan Koh

REITs – Singapore: 3Q23 Round-up: Gaining A Stronger Footing

Results from the 20 S-REITs under our coverage were mostly in line with forecasts. The hospitality sub-sector registered the strongest NPI growth averaging 26% yoy. We saw resiliency from Singapore with positive rental reversions across retail, office and industrial properties despite external uncertainties. We focus on S-REITs with resilient balance sheets that could weather a protracted period of elevated interest rates. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY FCT, FEHT, KREIT, LREIT and MINT.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+18)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Jun Sian Tan
  • Ken Lee
  • Limartha Adhiputra
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Nurul Nazira Binti Abdullah
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Notes - Monday, October 30, 2023

GREATER CHINA Sector Aviation: Airlines: 3Q23 results broadly in line; bottom line turned around in the seasonal peak quarter. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Results China Longyuan Power (916 HK/BUY/HK$6.79/Target: HK$7.90): 3Q23: In line; 3Q23 wind power utilisation hours down 34 hours yoy. Goldwind Science & Technology (2208 HK/HOLD/HK$3.76/Target: HK$4.00): 3Q23: Below expectations; 3Q23 WTG sales growth slows to +6.0% yoy. Great Wall Motor (2333 HK/BUY/HK$10.82/Target: HK$13.50): 3Q23: Earnings tripl...

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