Company Update | Thaifoods Group (TFG TB/BUY/Bt4.76/Target: Bt5.70) We expect TFG to report a core profit of Bt1,422m for 4Q25, up 25% yoy but down 13.6% qoq. 4Q25 gross margin is projected to come in at 18.0%, up yoy but down qoq. We are positive on TFG’s 1Q26 earnings growth qoq, supported by higher domestic livestock prices and rising Vietnam swine prices in Jan 26, along with continued retail store ramp-up. Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt5.70 (previously Bt6.80).
Top Stories Company Update | GFPT (GFPT TB/BUY/Bt9.80/Target: Bt13.50) We expect GFPT to post a 4Q25 core profit of Bt460m, up 48% yoy but down 35% qoq. Gross margin is projected to normalise, coming in at 14.8% in 4Q25, up yoy but down qoq. Looking ahead, we expect 1Q26 earnings to recover qoq, driven by higher livestock ASPs during the Chinese New Year and the low raw material costs of stock inventories. Maintain BUY on GFPT with a lower target price of Bt13.50 (previously Bt15.00). Company...
Greater China Sector Update | China Property In 2025, CR Land and COLI saw 15-20% yoy profit declines and Longfor’s core profit may turn from positive to negative due to weak DP margins. For 2026, the outlook remains constrained, though as it is the first year of the 15th Five-Year Plan, SOEs are expected to have clearer growth targets. In Jan 26, new-home sales in 28 major cities fell 40% yoy, while second-hand transactions in three Tier 1 cities declined 4% yoy. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT, but we se...
Company Update | Thaifoods Group (TFG TB/BUY/Bt4.64/Target: Bt6.80) TFG expects its revenue to grow by 10-15% in 2026, supported primarily by the retail business through store expansion and a greater mix of non-TFG products. The company expect the retail segment’s revenue to grow 30% yoy in 2026, with its retail network expected to expand to 615 stores in 2025 and 850 stores in 2026. In 2026, despite lower swine ASPs, retail expansion and added non-TFG products are expected to stabilise margin...
Top Stories Company Update | Thaifoods Group (TFG TB/BUY/Bt4.64/Target: Bt6.80) TFG expects its revenue to grow by 10-15% in 2026, supported primarily by the retail business through store expansion and a greater mix of non-TFG products. The company expect the retail segment’s revenue to grow 30% yoy in 2026, with its retail network expected to expand to 615 stores in 2025 and 850 stores in 2026. In 2026, despite lower swine ASPs, retail expansion and added non-TFG products are expected to stabi...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls Market consolidation slowed in November as expectations of a 25bp Fed cut improved sentiment. The HSI and MSCI China fell 0.2% and 2.4% mom amid weak data and limited catalysts. While the upcoming Economic Work Conference may offer a catalyst to end this phase, we remain cautious, preferring defensives and oversold names. We add BeOne Medicines, HKEX, NetEase and Plover Bay to BUY, take profit on AIA, and cut losses on Jacobson,...
Company Results | Thaifoods Group (TFG TB/BUY/Bt4.50/Target: Bt6.80) TFG’s 3Q25 core profit came in at Bt1,647m (+39.6% yoy, -36.3% qoq). This is in line with our and the market’s forecasts. We reiterate our positive view on TFG on the back of its retail business' long-term growth potential, as its continued growth helps stabilise earnings during periods of low ASPs. Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt6.80.
Top Stories Company Results | CP All (CPALL TB/BUY/Bt48.50/Target: Bt65.00) We believe the market has been overly pessimistic. CPALL delivered the strongest performance among retail peers in 3Q25. We also see a 3% upside to our 2025 forecast. It reported an 18% yoy rise in 3Q25 net profit, driven by margin expansion and continued strength in the convenience store segment and other businesses. Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt65.00. Company Results | PTT (PTT TB/BUY/Bt30.25/Target: Bt38.0...
Greater China Company Results | Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH/BUY/Rmb80.80/Target: Rmb89.50) FII registered a stellar quarter, with net profit beating our and consensus estimates on stronger-than-expected margins. Top-line lagged our expectations, likely due to differences in product mix, and also the reason behind margins remaining elevated despite the product ramp-up of the lower-margin GB200 NVL72 racks. With the recent checks continuing to point towards a much stronger-than-expected...
Company Update | Thaifoods Group (TFG TB/BUY/Bt4.62/Target: Bt6.80) We expect TFG to report 3Q25 core profit of Bt1,672m, up 41.7% yoy but down 35.3% qoq. The drop in swine prices in 3Q25 pressured earnings qoq. However, we believe its stronger fresh food retail business managed to partly offset this. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of Bt6.80.
Top Stories Company Results | Siam Cement (SCC TB/BUY/Bt207.00/Target: Bt290.00) SCC reported a net loss of Bt669m in 3Q25, larger than both our and the consensus forecasts, mainly due to substantial inventory losses. The weak 3Q25 performance reflected seasonal factors and continued softness in olefins spreads. However, we expect earnings to return to a profit in 4Q25, supported by stronger performance from the cement and packaging businesses. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt290.00. Company U...
Asian Gems Corporate Highlights | Thai Foods Group (TFG TB/BUY/Bt4.62/Target: Bt7.20) TFG participated in the Asian Gems Conference, where the overall sentiment and feedback from investors were overwhelmingly positive. Investors showed particular interest in the company’s retail growth and strategic direction. We maintain a positive view on TFG’s long-term growth prospects. However, in the short term, earnings may be pressured by lower livestock prices, while the company continues to expand its ...
Top Stories Company Results | Home Product Center (HMPRO TB/HOLD/Bt6.70/Target: Bt6.30) HMPRO’s results are in line. 3Q25 earnings declined both yoy and qoq, pressured by negative SSS, lower gross margin, and higher SG&A. 4Q25 SSS are expected to remain weak due to a high base. However, we expect SSSG to normalise in 2026 due to the low base in 2025. Maintain HOLD with a higher target price of Bt6.30. Company Results | Siam Global House (GLOBAL TB/BUY/Bt7.55/Target: Bt9.50) 3Q25 earnings rose...
Indonesia Company Results | Aneka Tambang (ANTM IJ/BUY/Rp3,100/Target: Rp3,500) ANTM’s 3Q25 net profit fell 50.2% qoq to Rp1.28t on weaker gold and nickel sales, but 9M25 profit rose 167.9% yoy to Rp5.97t, beating expectations. We adjust 2025-26 forecasts on revised gold and nickel assumptions, and expect a volume recovery after the Grasberg suspension in 2H26. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of Rp3,500. Malaysia Company Results | Alpha IVF (ALPHA MK/BUY/RM0.34/Target: RM0.43) Earnings c...
Highlights • We maintain our positive outlook on TFG’s long-term growth, driven by retail expansion to mitigate commodity volatility. • The decline in livestock prices in 3Q25 affected earnings in the food industry qoq. However, we expect TFG to ease part of this impact through the growth of its fresh food retail business. Maintain BUY, target price of Bt7.20.
Top Stories Company Update | TFG TB (TFG TB/BUY/Bt5.00/Target: Bt7.20) We maintain a positive view on TFG’s long-term growth, supported by its retail expansion, which helps mitigate commodity price volatility. Although the decline in livestock prices in 3Q25 will impact the food industry earnings qoq, we believe TFG can cushion part of the impact through its expanding fresh food retail segment. Higher consumer sales should also enable the company to deliver more stable sales and profitability...
Greater China Company Update | Miniso (MNSO US/BUY/US$23.53/Target: US$26.80) Miniso’s qtd business performance was in line with management’s expectations. Domestically, it has 12 Miniso Land stores, with a payback period of 3-4 months. Overseas, adjustments were implemented in the US market following the appointment of the new CEO, who has over 15 years of experience in local retailing. On proprietary IP strategy, Yoyo’s sales are expected to exceed Rmb100m in 2026. Management expects propr...
A director at Thai Foods Group Public Company Limited sold 3,800,000 shares at 5.600THB and the significance rating of the trade was 95/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over ...
TFG reported record-high earnings of Bt2,552.1m, surging 198.6% yoy and 25.3% qoq, in line with our and consensus estimates. TFG’s 2H25 earnings are also expected to maintain a positive momentum, underpinned by its retail business. We have raised our 2025-26 forecasts to reflect better-than-expected livestock prices and raw material costs. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of Bt7.20.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Asset World Corporation (AWC TB/BUY/Bt2.34/Target: Bt3.30) 2Q25: Weaker core earnings as expected. Quality Houses (QH TB/HOLD/Bt1.45/Target: Bt1.30) 2Q25: Results below expectation, down yoy and qoq. Thai Foods Group (TFG TB/BUY/Bt5.25/Target: Bt7.20) 2Q25: All-time high earnings. Thanachart Capital (TCAP TB/HOLD/Bt49.25/Target: Bt50.00) 2Q25: Earnings beat; dividend income boo...
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