Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls Chinese equities recovered in January, with the HSI and MSCI China rising 6.9% and 5.0% mom, respectively. Given the supportive macro policy environment, we maintain a constructive view on the markets despite risk of further volatility in February. Accordingly, we are adding Alibaba, Ganfeng Lithium, and Minth to our BUY list, while adding Meituan to our SELL list. Indonesia Company Results | Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ/B...
Singapore equities delivered a strong January performance, with the STI rising 5.6% to fresh record highs amid heightened geopolitical tensions that drove flight-to-safety flows. Manufacturing activity remained in mild expansion, led by electronics and AI-related demand. Market/corporate catalysts during the month include REIT earnings, IPO interest in Catalist and continued strength in gold-linked counters.
Greater China Sector Update | China Property CRIC data show that the top 100 developers’ contracted sales fell 24.7% yoy in Jan 26, while new-home sales in 28 major cities declined 36% yoy. Second-hand transactions in three Tier 1 cities rose 1% yoy. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT but deepening industry downturn leads to rising possibility of policy support, supporting selective exposure. CR Land remains our top pick, with P/B at 1SD below the five-year mean, and PE and yield near the five-year average....
S-REITs would be active in asset recycling in 2026, supported by depressed domestic interest rates. M&A activities could be a positive surprise. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY blue-chip S-REITs: FLT (Target: S$1.22), LREIT (Target: S$0.81), MPACT (Target: S$1.84) and NTTDCR (Target: S$1.42).
We observed weakness for the North America portfolio with occupancy easing 0.3ppt qoq to 87.5% in 3QFY26. The average rental rate also slipped 1.2% yoy to US$2.45psf per month. Existing tenants at 250 Williams Street in Atlanta and 7337 Trade Street in San Diego are unlikely to renew when their leases expire in February and May respectively. They accounted for 3.7% of MINT’s gross rental income. Maintain HOLD and target price of S$2.22.
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile Chinese EVs are gaining share in the global auto market, due to China’s integrated supply chain dominance and favourable trade policies. Established incumbents like BYD are facing increasing competition from fellow Chinese auto OEMs and some western brands like VW. Lower-export OEMs (Geely, XPeng) hold greater upside than high-export leaders (BYD, GWM). China’s EV export hub status benefits suppliers as foreign OEMs leverage local production. Maintain MAR...
Top Stories Company Results | Mapletree Industrial Trust (MINT SP/HOLD/S$2.10/Target: S$2.22) We observed weakness for the North America portfolio with occupancy easing 0.3ppt qoq to 87.5% in 3QFY26. The average rental rate also slipped 1.2% yoy to US$2.45psf per month. Existing tenants at 250 Williams Street in Atlanta and 7337 Trade Street in San Diego are unlikely to renew when their leases expire in February and May respectively. They accounted for 3.7% of MINT’s gross rental income. Maint...
Greater China Economics | PMI December Manufacturing PMI rose to 50.1, back in the expansionary zone for the first time since March. Non-manufacturing PMI also improved at 50.2 (+0.7pt mom), driven by a rebound in construction activity, while services PMI remained slightly contractionary pointing to weak domestic demand. Enterprise PMI showed divergent trends, with large firms leading the improvement. Overall, the December data points to uneven recovery despite the positive headline numbers....
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls Market consolidation slowed in November as expectations of a 25bp Fed cut buoyed sentiment. The HSI and MSCI China fell 0.2% and 2.4% mom respectively amid weak data and limited catalysts. While the upcoming Economic Work Conference may offer a catalyst to end this phase, we remain cautious, preferring defensives and oversold names. We add BeOne Medicines, HKEX, NetEase and Plover Bay to BUY, take profit on AIA, and cut losses on Ja...
Greater China Economics | PMI November PMI undershot expectations; manufacturing PMI was at 49.2 (+0.2pt mom) and non-manufacturing PMI slipped to 49.5 (-0.6pt mom), the first contraction in nearly three years. With the services industry index weakened to 49.5 (-0.7pt mom). PMI data confirms growth momentum is easing, so expect more supportive policies to be rolled out soon, but for economic confidence to return, we need a sustainable bottom in the real estate sector. Sector Update | Heal...
Safe haven liquidity continues flowing into Singapore, pushing down SORA on an overnight basis to a low of 1.27%. Threemonth compounded SORA eased 8bp to 1.25% in Nov 25. The Fed cut the Fed Funds Rate by another 25bp to 3.75% during the FOMC meeting on 29 Oct 25. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY blue-chip S-REITs with specific catalysts: CLAR (Target: S$4.02), CLAS (Target: S$1.56), KDCREIT (Target: S$2.65), KREIT (Target: S$1.20) and LREIT (Target: S$0.81).
Two out of the 16 large-cap S-REITs under our coverage surpassed expectations. FLT’s occupancy for logistics properties in Australia gained 4.3ppt qoq to 100% in 4QFY25. SUN has received a favourable ruling from the ATO, which has a positive impact of 3.7% on 2025 DPU. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY blue-chip S-REITs with specific catalysts: CLAR (Target: S$4.02), CLAS (Target: S$1.56), KDCREIT (Target: S$2.65), KREIT (Target: S$1.20) and LREIT (Target: S$0.79).
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls HSI and MSCI China fell 3.5%/4.0% mom in October, dragged by renewed US-China trade tensions and lack of fresh policy signals from the 4th Plenum. We remain constructive in the medium term but expect further consolidation as uncertainties persist. The best performer among our picks was SELL-rated Li Auto (+21.4% mom). For November, we rotate into oversold names with near-term upside: add AIA, LINK REIT, NAURA, Pinduoduo, PICC P&C an...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls HSI and MSCI China fell 3.5%/4.0% mom in October, dragged by renewed US-China trade tensions and lack of fresh policy signals from the 4th Plenum. We remain constructive in the medium term but expect further consolidation as uncertainties persist. The best performer among our picks was SELL-rated Li Auto (+21.4% mom). For November, we rotate into oversold names with near-term upside: add AIA, LINK REIT, NAURA, Pinduoduo, PICC P&...
The merger of CapitaLand and Mapletree is a matter of time given the emphasis to create global giants within Temasek. MINT (HOLD/Target: S$1.22), MLT (HOLD/Target: S$1.38) and MPACT (BUY/Target: S$1.84) are potential takeover targets. KREIT (BUY/Target: S$1.20) and SUN (HOLD/Target: S$1.42) are potential new entrants to be included as constituents of the STI. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Top Stories Sector Update | REITs Safe haven liquidity continues flowing to Singapore, pushing down SORA on an overnight basis to a low of 1.15%. Three-month compounded SORA eased 13bp to 1.33% in Oct 25. The Fed has cut the Fed Funds Rate by another 25bp to 3.75% during the FOMC meeting on 29 Oct 25. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY blue-chip S-REITs with specific catalysts: CLAR (Target: S$4.02), CLAS (Target: S$1.56), KDCREIT (Target: S$2.65), KREIT (Target: S$1.20) and LREIT (Target: S$0.79). Comp...
NPI dropped 7.8% yoy in 2QFY26, due to the divestment of three Singapore properties and lower contributions from its North American portfolio. MINT is undertaking a strategic divestment of its North American portfolio and could potentially sell DCs worth S$500m-600m over the next two years. Maintain HOLD. Lower target price from S$2.30 to S$2.22.
Greater China Sector Update | Macau Gaming Macau’s Oct 25 GGR was MOP$24.1b, increasing 32% mom and 16% yoy, and recovering to 91% of 2019’s level (vs a recovery of 83% in Sep 25). Oct 25’s GGR number beat market consensus by 4%, and set another post-COVID-19 record. For 10M25, GGR climbed to MOP$205.4b, up 8% yoy, and recovered to 83% of 2019’s level. Maintain OVERWEIGHT; Galaxy remains our top pick. Company Results | China Merchants Bank (3968 HK/HOLD/HK$48.64/Target: HK$51.00) CMB rep...
Greater China Sector Update | Internet The growing robotaxi ecosystem is drawing in an increasing number of new entrants, including autonomous service providers and ride-hailing platforms. We expect technological maturity, policy support, and better fleet economics to drive a major expansion wave for the robotaxi industry into 2H25/2026, with China’s robotaxi fleet size expected to grow ten-fold during this period. We see material development and monetisation progress of Robotaxi, sparking r...
The sudden U-turn in trade negotiations between the US and China has caught the market by surprise. Risk from a protracted US government shutdown also adds to greater uncertainties. The most defensive sectors are suburban retail (CICT and LREIT), healthcare (PREIT) and data centres (KDCREIT and NTTDCR), which are less affected by trade conflicts and reciprocal tariffs. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY CICT (Target: S$2.79), KDCREIT (Target: S$2.69), PREIT (Target: S$5.34), LREIT (Target: S$0.79) and NTT...
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