We update our Eutelsat numbers to incorporate the €1.35bn equity raise and the new guidance. The equity raise mechanically lifts our target price, partly offset by the weaker operating trends implied by the near-term guidance. (We remain sceptical that the ambitious mid-term guidance is achievable.) Net, our equity price target increases to €1.2/ share (previously €1.0) and we maintain our Sell recommendation.
Yesterday Eutelsat announced their long-awaited equity raise (€1.35bn, mainly from the French shareholders) and issued new guidance for FY26 (disappointing) and FY29 (dubious). In this Quick Take, we discuss the new shareholder structure, new guidance, and new LEO revenue disclosure.
The French army yesterday announced a framework agreement with Eutelsat, including the procurement of OneWeb capacity. In this Quick Take we discuss how much revenue this contact could generate, and implications for the longer-term viability of Eutelsat’s LEO ambitions.
As part of the Vodafone-Three merger (VOD3UK), the merging companies committed to sell a portfolio of spectrum to VMO2. The details of that spectrum portfolio have now been formally disclosed by Ofcom, which has published a notification listing the frequencies that are due to be transferred (LINK). In this note, we run through the final decisions and implications for potential UK revenue share.
One of the key questions in European Telecoms at the moment is how successful will Digi be in Portugal, Spain and Belgium; and to a lesser extent, how successful can the challengers be in general: Salt, Iliad Italy, and so on. In this report, we take a top-down look at how spectrum drives success in European mobile, and what that means for future outcomes.
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