HEADLINES: • Santander BP: posts solid 4Q25 numbers; rebranding costs guidance in line; DPS of PLN 46 seems very feasible NEUTRAL • Polish media: CPS's audience share at 22.30%, while WP TV is at 0.57% in January 2026 NEUTRAL • Develia: management targets for 2026E close to our forecasts NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 4Q25 results and dividend proposal NEUTRAL • Jumbo: January sales +8% on easy comps; guiding for 5% sales growth and EUR 310-320m net earnings in 2026E NEUTRAL • Turkish automotive: strong ...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls Chinese equities recovered in January, with the HSI and MSCI China rising 6.9% and 5.0% mom respectively. Given the supportive macro policy environment, we maintain a constructive view on the markets despite the risk of further volatility in February. Accordingly, we are adding Alibaba, Ganfeng Lithium, and Minth to our BUY list, and Meituan to our SELL list. Indonesia Strategy | Alpha Picks: From MSCI Shock To Policy-Driven Rebala...
Alpha Picks: Focusing On Laggards And Selective Catalysts Highlights Our Jan 26 Alpha Picks outperformed the FBMKLCI on a price-weighted (+5.2%) and market cap-weighted (+5.9%) basis. IOI Properties Group (IOIPG) (+20.8%) and Lagenda Properties (+20.0%) led the gains while Pekat (-14.6%) and VSI (-13.4%) lagged. For Feb 26, we favour stocks with firmer domestic earnings visibility amid lingering external uncertainties and names with company-specific catalysts amid sector rotation. Feb 26...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls Chinese equities recovered in January, with the HSI and MSCI China rising 6.9% and 5.0% mom, respectively. Given the supportive macro policy environment, we maintain a constructive view on the markets despite risk of further volatility in February. Accordingly, we are adding Alibaba, Ganfeng Lithium, and Minth to our BUY list, while adding Meituan to our SELL list. Indonesia Company Results | Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ/B...
EME Equity Market – January 2026 All regions in the green in January, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 11.1% mom in EUR terms and 13.2% mom in USD terms in January. The Turkish ISE was the top performer (+20.8% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX (+17.5% mom); the Romanian BET (+11.1% mom); the Greek ASE (+9.2% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+5.9% mom); and the Czech PX (+2.4% mom; all in EUR terms).
Company Update | Berli Jucker (BJC TB/BUY/Bt14.50/Target: Bt18.00) BJC’s non-retail businesses delivered strong performances, driven by margin improvement in all segments. Qtd SSSG has improved despite a high base in 1Q25. If the MMVN acquisition is completed, it will be accretive to 2026 earnings by 4%. Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt18.00. We expect fewer earnings downgrades in 2026.
Top Stories Company Results | Siam Cement (SCC TB/BUY/Bt216.00/Target: Bt250.00) SCC reported a net loss of Bt3.69b in 4Q25, with losses increasing both qoq and yoy, mainly due to impairment losses and stock losses. Core earnings in 4Q25 also turned to a loss, driven by larger losses in the petrochemical business. SCC announced a 2H25 dividend of Bt2.50/share. We expect core earnings to recover qoq in 1Q26, supported by the cement and packaging businesses. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt250.00. ...
Greater China Company Results | New Oriental Education (EDU US/BUY/US$58.95/Target: US$68.00) EDU delivered a solid 2QFY26 results beat. Revenue grew 15% yoy to US$1,191m, 3% higher than our and consensus estimates. Non-GAAP net profit came in at US$73m, beating our and consensus estimates by 27-30% due to ongoing prudent cost control, while net margin expanded 2ppt yoy to 6% for 2QFY26. EDU expects 3QFY26 revenue to grow at an intact 11-14% yoy to US$1,313.2m-1,348.7m, in line with consensus fo...
Margins under scrutiny: competition capping upside rather than driving margin debasement – We have received a growing number of questions on whether Jumbo’s gross margin model is structurally at risk as competition intensifies, with Romania in focus following Action’s entry and against a broader backdrop of rising online price transparency. Competitive concerns, however, are not new. Similar fears surfaced in the early 2010s (Amazon threat), yet Jumbo has repeatedly confounded them, delivering g...
Margins under scrutiny: competition capping upside rather than driving margin debasement – We have received a growing number of questions on whether Jumbo’s gross margin model is structurally at risk as competition intensifies, with Romania in focus following Action’s entry and against a broader backdrop of rising online price transparency. Competitive concerns, however, are not new. Similar fears surfaced in the early 2010s (Amazon threat), yet Jumbo has repeatedly confounded them, delivering g...
Company Update | Berli Jucker (BJC TB/BUY/Bt14.50/Target: Bt18.00) We are more positive on the MMVN acquisition. Management expects the transaction to generate synergy value of Bt370m-500m over 2026-28. MMVN provisioning in 4Q25 will not impact BJC’s shareholder equity. Management plans to divest non-performing assets, with the proceeds to be fully used for debt repayment. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of Bt18.00 (previously Bt24.00).
Top Stories Strategy | Quantitative Screening: Searching For Cash Flow Generators We screened the SET100 Index for companies generating free cash flow yields above 10%, while also exhibiting relatively high or comparable FCF-to-enterprise value ratios. We view stocks with strong cash flow generation and inexpensive valuations as compelling, as high FCF yields and low leverage support potential share price re-rating through higher dividends, share buybacks, and funding flexibility for M&A. Our t...
Greater China Sector Update | Hong Kong Property Stronger local discretionary consumption supported positive growth in Hong Kong retail sales in 2H25, while the decline in visitors’ per capita spend moderated. Office rents remained under pressure but showed early signs of stabilisation. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on Hong Kong landlords. Link REIT remains our top pick despite a lower DPU forecast. We fine-tune Wharf REIC’s earnings and maintain BUY, while upgrading Hysan’s earnings and target price b...
Navigating Rising Costs Amid Elevated Orderbook Highlights 4Q25 results will remain robust on the back of elevated orderbook and healthy margins. Beyond that, we expect share price to trade sideways in 2Q26 given rising solar PV prices (11 cents/kwh vs 9 cents/kwh a year ago) and slowerthan- expected residential rooftop take up under the ATAP programme. In the longer run, positive regulatory outlook – under NeTR – will continue to drive sector performance. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. We prefer large ...
HEADLINES: • Dom Development: sells 4.4k apartments in 2025, an all-time high POSITIVE • Bank Millennium: to add PLN 487m of FX mortgage saga costs in 4Q25E NEUTRAL • Polish banks: Puls Biznesu on M&A in the Polish banking sector • Titan: Titan America enters agreement to acquire Keystone Cement Company POSITIVE • OPAP: Allwyn merger passes EGM; focus shifts to 9 February exit-right deadline NEUTRAL • Jumbo: 2025 sales +7%, to EUR 1.23bn, as expected; declares EUR 0.50 special DPS NEUTRAL • Turk...
A director at Tenaga Nasional Berhad sold 19,300 shares at 13.680MYR and the significance rating of the trade was 54/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years ...
1H26 Strategy: Fired Up For A Risk-On Re-Acceleration Highlights We expect Malaysian equities to fire up for outperformance in 2026 after a muted and defensive-driven 2025, fuelled primarily by a confluence of pre- GE domestic liquidity, the ringgit’s appreciation, and corporate earnings growth recovery. Externally, easing geopolitical tensions and accommodative monetary policy backdrop should keep risk-asset sentiment buoyant while domestically, a firmer ringgit, and follow-through buying o...
Greater China Company Update | Baidu (9888 HK/BUY/HK$146.60/Target: HK$166.00) We are optimistic on Baidu as the Kunlunxin spin-off could help unlock financial value for Baidu and strengthen its AI ecosystem. Baidu announced that on 1 Jan 26, Kunlunxin applied for a listing on the HK Stock Exchange. Following the spin-off, Kunlunxin will remain a consolidated subsidiary, with Baidu retaining a controlling 59% stake. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$166.00 (US$185.00). Company ...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls Chinese equities remained in consolidation through December, with the HSI and MSCI China down 0.9% mom and 1.5% mom, respectively, despite last week’s window dressing narrowing losses. Policy signals from the Economic Work Conference broadly met expectations. Looking ahead, we are constructive on 1Q26, supported by a favourable global liquidity cycle and potential macro supportive measures in China. We retain most of our December pic...
EME Equity Market – December 2025 Czech PX the best performer in December; no market in the red. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.4% mom in EUR terms and 4.6% mom in USD terms in December. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 7.6% mom; followed by the Romanian BET (+7.1% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+6.4% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom) and the Hungarian BUX (+0.2% mom; all in EUR terms).
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