Following Elbit Systems’ (Elbit) 9M24 results, we have re-evaluated the company’s catalysts outlook over the next 6-12M and revised our earnings estimates, resulting in a 22% higher 12M price target (PT) of USD 252.2/share, offering no upside potential at the current stock price levels. Management’s execution was strong in 9M24, on the back of robust contract wins, elevating Elbit’s orderbook to a record-high USD 22.1bn (+33% yoy and tantamount to 3.3 years of revenue visibility), while the top-...
HEADLINES: • PZU: 3Q24 not as weak as feared – once the special claims end, should deliver a very strong profitability profile POSITIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: 3Q24 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 13% yoy, 2% above our estimate POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 3Q24 results – adjusted EBITDA up 8% yoy, 3% above our forecast and 6% above the consensus POSITIVE • OPAP: 3Q24 earnings beat expectations, as EBITDA jumps 24% yoy POSITIVE • Motor Oil Hellas: 3Q24 results – CCS EBITDA in line NEUTRAL • Elbit Syste...
EME Equity Market – August 2024 A red month for the EME indices, with only the Czech PX index in positive territory. The MSCI EM Europe index declined by 4.7% in EUR terms and 2.6% in USD terms in August. The Czech PX index was the only index to report a positive figure, adding 0.5% mom in EUR terms. The rest of the indices were in the red: the Turkish ISE30 index was down 11.5% mom in EUR terms, followed by Greece (-3.2% mom), Romania (-2.6% mom) and Hungary (-1.2% mom; all in EUR terms). The P...
HEADLINES: • Elbit Systems: 2Q24 results – strong growth, and improved cash flows and margins POSITIVE • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: earnings remain on target for FY24E POSITIVE • Ignitis Group: raises FY24E adjusted EBITDA guidance after the 2Q24 results POSITIVE • DIGI Communications: key takeaways from the 2Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Telecom Egypt: key takeaways from the 2Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Poland macro: flash GDP surprises positively • Romania macro: 2Q GDP flash estimate underperfo...
EME Equity Market – May 2024 Turkish equities lead, in the mostly green month of May. The MSCI EM Europe Index rose by 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 1.8% mom in LCU terms in May. The Turkish ISE30 index reported the strongest performance, adding 3.6% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET and the Czech PX (+2.7% and 2.1% mom in EUR terms, respectively). The Hungarian BUX index and the Polish WIG20 remained broadly flat (+0.4% and +0.2% mom in EUR terms, respectively); although, in LCU terms,...
HEADLINES: • VIGO Photonics: 1Q24 – miss on adjusted EBITDA and bottom line NEGATIVE • CD Projekt: 1Q24 EBITDA 5-7% above our and the market's expectations, no major surprises from the earnings call NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: 1Q24 adjusted EBITDA in line with both our and the market's expectations NEUTRAL • Motor Oil Hellas: 1Q24 results – CCS EBITDA in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Teknosa: higher financing costs weighed on the bottom line in 1Q24 NEGATIVE • Kazatomprom: 1Q24 results – lower E...
EME Equity Market – December 2023 Market performance – Poland outperforms in December. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 0.3% mom in EUR terms and 1.9% mom in USD in December. The WIG20 Index continues to perform well in the post-elections environment and reported the strongest performance in our core region, adding 5.9% mom in EUR terms. There was also a strong performance from the Romanian BET and Hungarian BUX indices, adding 4.4% and 4.1% mom, respectively, in EUR terms; while there was a relat...
HEADLINES: • Colt CZ Group SE: to acquire ammunition producer Sellier & Bellot POSITIVE • Elbit Systems: awarded multiple contracts from Israeli MoD POSITIVE • Electrica/Transelectrica: proposed 2024 tariffs in line with the guidance from the regulator • Magyar Telekom: reaches agreement with trade unions NEUTRAL • Motor Oil Hellas: awarded EU grant for carbon capture project • Mytilineos/Titan Cement: coverage UNDER REVIEW • Short News (FP)
EME Equity Market – November 2023 Market performance – Greeks in the lead, in a month with only green across the region. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 5.6% mom in EUR terms and 8.7% mom in USD in November. The Greek ASE Index was the top performer in our region (+6.9% mom), followed by the Polish WIG20 (+5.5% mom) and the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom). The Czech PX Index saw the most muted performance, advancing 2.8% mom.
HEADLINES: • CD Projekt: slight positive surprise in 3Q23 adjusted EBITDA, solid Phantom Liberty sales to date POSITIVE • Elbit Systems: 3Q23 results and earnings call POSITIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: Turkey - resilient growth in the face of higher rates • EME Macro/Strategy: Greece - so far, so good, a preview of the next leaps forward • Mo-BRUK: El Kajo deal offers strong revenue and EBITDA addition potential POSITIVE • PCF Group: decision to limit scope of Project Dagger NEGATIVE • Polish u...
EME Equity Market – August 2023 Market performance – Turkey the top performer in August, once again. The MSCI EM Europe Index lost 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 2.2% mom in USD in August. Turkey, yet again, outperformed its peers, with the ISE30 gaining 9.4% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX index saw a solid performance in August, adding 6.1% mom in EUR terms, while the Romanian BET had a lacklustre month, barely making any gains (0.1% mom in EUR terms). Elsewhere, the index performances were neg...
HEADLINES: • AROBS Transilvania Software: rolling up IT development in Romania (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Elbit Systems: 2Q23 results - top-down beat, as revenue growth accelerates POSITIVE • Transelectrica: 2Q23 results broadly in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Pegasus Airlines: 2Q23 call takeaways NEUTRAL • Georgia Capital: NAV up 8% qoq, deleveraging continues apace NEUTRAL • Hidroelectrica: jump in volumes to lift profit in 2Q23E (due out today, after the close) • PZU: 2Q23E resu...
EME Equity Market – May 2023 Market performance – in its election month and with talks of a return to investment grade starting to materialise, Greece outperformed, posting a stellar performance. The MSCI EM Europe Index gained 2.3% mom in EUR terms, but lost 1.4% mom in USD in May. The Greek ASE Index saw the biggest gains (+12.3% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Hungarian BUX Index (+6.2% mom in EUR terms) and the Turkish ISE 30 Index (+3.4% mom in EUR terms). The remaining geographies finis...
HEADLINES: • Elbit Systems: 1Q23 results and earnings call POSITIVE • Huuuge Games: 1Q23 slightly above expectations, large share buyback launched NEUTRAL • Tauron: 1Q23 results in line with prelims • Motor Oil Hellas: 1Q23 results - better-than-expected margins • EME macro/strategy: May surveys show cooling activity, falling inflation • Kazakhstan macro: notes from our trip • Inter Cars: earnings call takeaways - high 5Y capex programme to trigger profitability improvement NEUTRAL • Telecom...
HEADLINES: • Coca-Cola Icecek: 1Q23 results - strong beat in operating performance POSITIVE • Vestel Beyaz: strong beat in 1Q23 results POSITIVE • Elbit Systems: management call highlights - improved outlook POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: amendments to the solidarity tax law introduced by the Senate POSITIVE • Fondul Proprietatea: to receive RON 867m dividends from Hidroelectrica • The Rear-View Mirror - EME markets: all geographies in the black, bar Turkey • Banca Transilvania: 1Q23E results preview ...
HEADLINES: • PKO BP: 2025E strategic targets sensible and quite conservative, but too little to inspire the marke • KGHM: signs option on potential acquisition of 50% stake in Kukamas project NEUTRAL • WOOD's Winter Wonderland EME Conference 2022: postcards from Prague • Colt CZ Group SE: postcard from Prague • 4iG: postcard from Prague • Magyar Telekom: postcard from Prague • 11 bit studios: postcard from Prague • AmRest: postcard from Prague • Benefit Systems: postcard from Prague • CC...
HEADLINES: • Elbit Systems: well-positioned global defence play (BUY - initiation of coverage) • EME Macro/Strategy: attention! Cycle signals and mega trends • Mytilineos: stronger than ever (BUY - transfer of coverage) • Allterco: strong results paving the way for expansion in 2023E (stays HOLD) • LiveChat Software: 2Q22-23 (calendar 3Q22) results - EBITDA up 19% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • 4iG: 3Q22 results review - quarterly results distorted by business transformation NEUT...
We initiate coverage of Israel’s largest defence contractor, Elbit Systems (Elbit), with a 12M price target (PT) of USD 206.0/share and a BUY rating. Established in the 1960s and following decades of R&D, M&A and investments, currently, Elbit is a well-established global defence electronics contractor, with c.80% of its revenues generated outside Israel (predominantly from Asia-Pacific, North America and Europe). Elbit’s main activity area is C4ISR (including electronic warfare and command contr...
ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD (IL), a company active in the Aerospace & Defense industry, reduced its market risk and raised its general evaluation. The independent financial analyst theScreener awarded an improved star rating to the company, which now shows 2 out of 4 possible stars; its market behaviour has improved and can be considered as defensive. theScreener believes that this new assessment merits an overall rating upgrade to Slightly Positive. As of the analysis date March 15, 2022, the closing pri...
Full Article at IIR has reaffirmed its Recommended rating for PIA after undertaking a review post the appointment of a new Portfolio Manager, Harding Loevner. The full report can be found on the IIR website. On 26 July 2021, Pengana International Equities Limited (PIA) announced a fully franked dividend of 1.35 cents per share for the June quarter. This represents an 8% increase on the March quarter dividend and takes the total dividends declared for FY21 of 5.1 cents per share, fully franked....
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