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Stijn Demeester
  • Stijn Demeester

AkzoNobel/Model update post 1Q25/HOLD

Following AkzoNobel's 1Q25 results, we modestly trim our estimates and target price to reflect the more uncertain macro outlook. We reiterate our HOLD recommendation.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AkzoNobel: 3% beat on 1Q25 Adj. EBITDA, FY25 guidance maintained at +€1.55bn. BE Semiconductor Industries: 1Q25 results - extending the downcycle. Corbion: Apogee. Just Eat Takeaway.com: 1Q25 Trading Update - no impact on the bid. Kinepolis: 1Q25 preview. KPN: 1Q25 preview. Randstad: Strong 9% high quality beat on 1Q25, 2Q25 outlook looks a touch below. Vår Energi: Fine start of the year, more to come. Vopak: Reasonable start, cashflow developing nicely.

Kristof Samoy ... (+5)
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste

Morning Notes : AKZA NA, BESI NA, CRBN NA, CMBT BB, FLOW NA, RAND NA, ...

: AKZA NA, BESI NA, CRBN NA, CMBT BB, FLOW NA, RAND NA, VPK NA, TKWY NA

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Akzo Nobel FIRST LOOK: 1Q adj EBITDA -2%, FY guidance of € 1.55bn EBIT...

Akzo's 1Q adjusted EBITDA decreased by 2% and came in c. 3% below our forecast and c. 3% above consensus. FY25 adj EBITDA guidance of above €1555m is maintained and calls for at least 5% growth, whilst most of the predicted growth comes from self help measures. Taking into account the volatile track record and low structural growth, we maintain our Hold rating and € 65 TP.

Floridienne S.A.: 4 directors

Four Directors at Floridienne S.A. bought/sold 920 shares at 510.000EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years ...

Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
Aaron Brodjanac ... (+7)
  • Aaron Brodjanac
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Chaima Ferrandon
  • Charlotte Vaisse
  • Marc Lavaud
  • Sven Edelfelt
  • Thomas Zlowodzki
Aaron Brodjanac ... (+7)
  • Aaron Brodjanac
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Chaima Ferrandon
  • Charlotte Vaisse
  • Marc Lavaud
  • Sven Edelfelt
  • Thomas Zlowodzki
Guy Sips ... (+5)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
Guy Sips ... (+7)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Akzo Nobel Transforming Akzo, one brushstroke at a time

After lacklustre earnings growth in the recent past (2% adj EBITDA CAGR between 2019-2024), Akzo is now focusing on a combination of self-help measures and portfolio adjustment. On the back of the targeted (minimum) remaining gross savings of € 405m by 2027, management aims to grow adjusted EBITDA margins by 220bps over the next few years to 16%, whilst KBCS and consensus estimates are more cautious at respectively 15.3% and 15.6% by 2027. The targeted portfolio streamlining, with an overall foc...

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Akzo Nobel Feedback 4Q results conference call

Below are the highlights from the conference call. We remind that Akzo's 4Q adjusted EBITDA increased by 3% and came in c. 2% below our forecast and c. 1% below consensus, with a better than expected result of Performance Coatings offset by a weaker result of Deco Paints. Net debt/EBITDA came in weaker than expected at 3x on the back of incidentals and higher than expected working capital. FY25 adj EBITDA guidance calls for at least 5% growth which is in line with our forecast with consensus at ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AkzoNobel: 4Q24 misses on Adj. EBIT and FCF, 2025F guidance merely in-line. Alfen: Preview: Setting the stage? Arcadis: Work on PFAS. ASML: 4Q24 results – Building credit. Events Calendar

Stefano Toffano
  • Stefano Toffano
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