After today's changes (ASMi out, UCB in), we maintain a balanced approach in our Dynamic Top Pick List, with a particular emphasis on value stocks that have been overlooked. Our defensive holdings are overweight, including real estate, which stands to benefit from lower interest rates. We remove ASMi from our Dynamic Top Pick List as the recent share price performance has driven the valuation meaningfully ahead of fundamentals. Since early December, FY27 diluted EPS expectations have risen by a...
Akzo's 4Q25 results were roughly in line with previous quarters, with weak volumes and negative FX leading to a slight decline in adjusted EBITDA, despite sizeable efficiency improvement initiatives. 2026 is expected to bring more of the same, with Akzo forecasting flat volumes and an FY26 adjusted EBITDA that is guided to be up at least 2% (or at least 7% excluding negative FX and scope effects). With current efficiency improvement initiatives expected to have mostly run their course in 2027, t...
Yesterday, the German government (via KfW) secured a 25.1% "blocking minority" in TenneT's German operations. The €3.3bn deal ends years of negotiations between Germany and the Netherlands. The deal is struck at the same equity value following the capital contribution (46%) from ABP, GIC and Norges Bank in 09/25 at a total equity value of 13.3bn. TenneT NL will hold the remaining 28.9%. We understand from the Handelsblatt that KfW will invest an additional €1.7bn before 2035. TenneT GE will no...
Aalberts: Preview: Another quarter in no man's land? / Ahold Delhaize: Confirms the acquisition of Delfood / AGEAS: China – state to inject capital into insurers / AkzoNobel: Tepid 4Q25 results and FY26 outlook / D'Ieteren: Belgian car registrations down 19%, 65% of 2019 level, VW down only 5% / Xior Student Housing: Sound organic trends continue, two-year guidance revealed
4Q adjusted EBITDA dropped by 4% y/y and was in line with our forecast while being 2% below consensus. Akzo guides for a FY26 adj EBITDA at or above € 1.47bn, which is at the low end 2% below our forecast and 4% below consensus. The merger with Axalta is expected to close in late 2026 or early 2027. Taking into account the volatile track record and low structural growth, we maintain our Hold rating and € 65 target price.
We upgrade our recommendation to Accumulate and raise our price target to €135.0 from €110.0 on multiple expansion over the next 6 to 12 months. We leave our EPS estimates for FY26-27 unchanged, but increase our price target to 22x FY27 EPS. Our previous target was based on 20x FY26 EPS, but we roll forward on a 10% higher multiple as the sentiment towards grid operators benefits from the “wall of money” into datacenters, while grid connection is the bottleneck. It can take years before the ROE ...
La stabilisation des taux d’intérêt et de l’inflation devrait créer un climat plus favorable à l’investissement et permettre aux sociétés immobilières de poursuivre la mise en œuvre de leur feuille de route tout en faisant preuve de prudence. Dans ce contexte, le commerce et la logistique nous semblent les mieux positionnés et nous privilégions CTP, Merlin Properties, Shurgard, URW, VGP comme les plus à même d’exécuter leur stratégie de croissance. Nous relevons notre opinion à Surperformance su...
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.