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Stijn Demeester
  • Stijn Demeester

Solvay/Expectations reset, yield remains attractive/BUY

We update our model and lower our Und. EBITDA estimates by c.12% to reflect Solvay's 2Q25 results and lowered guidance. We reduce our target price to €30 per share from €33.50 yet keep our BUY on the back of Solvay's attractive dividend yield.

Stijn Demeester
  • Stijn Demeester

Tessenderlo/Model update ahead of 1H25/BUY

We update our model to reflect recent macro and FX trends as well as Tessenderlo's 2025F guidance. We lower our target price to €30 per share from €32 previously, mainly as a result of our lower estimates. We stick to our BUY on valuation grounds.

Solvay SA: 1 director

A director at Solvay SA bought 1,083 shares at 27.740EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 53/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly show...

Julian Dobrovolschi ... (+2)
  • Julian Dobrovolschi
  • Steven Boumans
BRE MBANK SA
V1S ARKEMA
LHN HOLCIM AG
LR LEGRAND
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
AC ACCOR SA
ENX EURONEXT NV
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
DG VINCI SA
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
RNO RENAULT SA
ADS ADIDAS AG
APAML APERAM SA
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
GLE SOCIETE GENERALE S.A. CLASS A
INEA FONCIERE INEA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
IAG INTERNATIONAL CONSOLIDATED AIRLINES GROUP SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
ITRK INTERTEK GROUP PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
ACX ACERINOX SA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
SAF SAFRAN S.A.
BCP BANCO COMERCIAL PORTUGUES S.A.
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
ENEL ENEL SPA
ICAD ICADE SA
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
FCC FOMENTO DE CONSTRUCCIONES Y CONTRATAS S.A.
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
AMS AMADEUS IT GROUP SA CLASS A
CARM CARMILA SAS
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ANDR ANDRITZ AG
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
WLN WORLDLINE SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
RACE FERRARI NV
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
PIRC PIRELLI & C. S.P.A.
REY REPLY S.P.A.
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
UMG UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
DTG DAIMLER TRUCK
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
TEN TENARIS S.A.
Jerôme Bodin ... (+2)
  • Jerôme Bodin
  • Steven Boumans
CEC CECONOMY AG
APAML APERAM SA
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
F3C SFC ENERGY AG
MERY MERCIALYS SA
DEC JCDECAUX SA
INEA FONCIERE INEA
VIV VIVENDI SE
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
SRP SRP GROUPE SA
PSM PROSIEBENSAT.1 MEDIA SE
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
MRN MERSEN SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
ACX ACERINOX SA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
COK CANCOM SE
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
DLG DE'LONGHI S.P.A.
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
BRNL BRUNEL INTERNATIONAL N.V.
GCO GRUPO CATALANA OCCIDENTE S.A.
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
WLN WORLDLINE SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
UMI UMICORE
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
CLA CLARANOVA SE
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
AERO MONTANA AEROSPACE AG
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
FUR FUGRO NV
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
FLE PEGASUS ENTREPRENEURIAL ACQUISITION CO EURO BV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
PLNW PLANISWARE
VIRI VIRIDIEN
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver
Emmanuel Matot
  • Emmanuel Matot
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Alfen: Preview - muddling through? Belgian telcos: Competition Authority investigation on Proximus/Orange Belgium MoU. Brunel International: 2Q25 below, 3Q25 outlook cut, cost savings protect FY25 estimates. Euronext: Another record set of results. Fugro: Sharper V-shape? GBL: Weak NAV performance, as expected. KBC Ancora: Cooperative CERA increasing its stake to 51.24%, using excess cash. UCB: Renewed US threats to cut drug prices. Umicore: 1H25 and guide broadly in-line, new S...

IMCD NV: 1 director

A director at IMCD NV bought 1,000 shares at 99.100EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showin...

Guy Sips ... (+8)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ARCAD NA, ENX FP, FUR NA, GBLB BB, QFG BB, SEQUA BB, U...

: ARCAD NA, ENX FP, FUR NA, GBLB BB, QFG BB, SEQUA BB, UMI BB, XFAB FP

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Umicore FIRST LOOK: 1H adj EBITDA +10%, recently upped guidance reiter...

1H25 adj. EBITDA increased by 10% to 433m and Umicore reiterated the (recently upgraded) FY25 adj EBITDA guidance of 790-840m (+7% y/y at midpoint), reflecting oa the progress with efficiency improvement measures and advantageous metal prices. Umicore is a combination of different tales, with the foundation businesses (Catalysis, Recycling, Specialty Materials) mainly run for their cash generation potential whilst Battery Materials remains a potential growth driver, although Umicore does not int...

Emmanuel Matot
  • Emmanuel Matot
Louis Boujard ... (+4)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian
  • Thomas Zlowodzki
Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian
Emmanuel Matot
  • Emmanuel Matot
Emmanuel Matot
  • Emmanuel Matot
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Solvay Feedback conference call

Below are the key highlights from the conference call. Solvay's 1Q25 uEBITDA dropped 15% to € 230m, in line with the recent profit warning. Solvay reiterated the (recently cut) FY25 underlying EBITDA guidance of € 880-930m (c. -12% at midpoint vs the previous € 1.0-1.05bn range), citing continued soft demand in a context of tariff and geopolitical uncertainty. Solvay had already stated to maintain FCF guidance of c. € 300m (on the back of more prudent capex spending) which however still means th...

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