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Arista Networks Inc: 1 director

A director at Arista Networks Inc sold 8,000 shares at 147.486USD and the significance rating of the trade was 68/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years cle...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Arista 2025 CMD: why we see upside to both the 2026 and long-term guid...

We followed Arista’s CMD yesterday. Please click the link for our key takeaways.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 2Q25 – Enterprise IT: Broad-based cloud strength, SaaS stable, ...

Today, we are publishing the Enterprise IT section of our 28th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. Legacy IT spending is moderating after a strong 2H24, while public-cloud growth accelerated slightly on broad-based strength across AI and traditional workloads. SaaS revenue growth remains in the lo...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Oracle RPOs: Beginning of the bubble... or beginning of the AI era?

Dear all, After we spent the day trying to figure out where AI compute would sit over the next 10 years, Oracle blessed us with a powerful datapoint: Half a trillion dollar RPOs. We pulled out a note overnight digging into what we learnt last night and confronting it to our deep understanding of the current AI infrastructure landscape. Very interesting findings emerged, follow the link below for details.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 2Q25 – Hyperscale & Cloud: 2026 capex expectations up 19%, $3-4t...

Today, we are publishing the Hyperscale & Cloud section of our 28th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Enterprise IT and Foundry. Hyperscale capex grew 70% YoY. Most raised 2025 guides, and confirmed sustained spending in 2026, lifting expectations....

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Is AI meant to absorb legacy or drive redesigns? Conversation with the...

Earlier this summer we had a fantastic conversation with Pankaj Patel, CEO of Nile. Nile provides a fully automated, subscription-based network-as-a-service platform that delivers secure, scalable connectivity without the complexity of legacy infrastructure. Follow the below link for our top thoughts on the back of this conversation.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Hot Chips 2025: memory, interconnects, and full-stack optimizations at...

Last week we attended the 2025 edition of the Hot Chips conference, still the place to be for investors who want to understand chip architecture and how it can impact competitive dynamics. ​​We followed presentations on datacenter XPUs, system-scale integration, and full-stack innovation, by Microsoft, Google, Meta, Nvidia, AMD, Intel, Broadcom, Marvell, Huawei, and others. Ping us for slide packs if you want the full primary material.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

The Great Replatforming, Part II – The General Theory. Could Jensen ju...

In a very timely manner, as Jensen just touted a $3-4tn Tech. Infra. market for 2030, we publish the second part of our “Great Replatforming” series, in which we look at how much AI investments the global economy can absorb over time. In the first part of the series, we showed how increasing capex should be analyzed as enablers of revenue growth and productivity improvements, and applied the framework to hyperscalers, showing how pushing capex intensity to new highs is easily financed by contin...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

AMD GPUs, Cyber HW refresh, Arista, Auto cycle and more.

As always, during earnings season, we wrap-up what happened in the previous week. For our main takes summarized on a single slide, and a few words on each of the 34 names we followed last week, follow the link below.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ
Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Meta 2Q25: Replatforming overdrive.

Meta reported 2Q25. Please click the link for our updated perspective on capex and technology infrastructure.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

The Great Replatforming, part I – the Special Theory

Capex ROI is the trending question these days, but what does it actually mean? In a “replatforming”, capex are enablers of revenue growth and productivity enhancements, as long as they are the foundation for a good “right to make money” (a defensible competitive advantage) and meet good demand. Our “Special Replatforming Theory” looks at how it has been at play for a decade already at hyperscalers, and how we expect the next 10 years to play out, with AI bringing an even more capital-intensive...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 1Q25 – Enterprise IT: AI drives Cloud growth, SaaS not reacceler...

Today, we are publishing the Enterprise IT section of our 27th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. Legacy IT spending is moderating after a strong 2H24, but public-cloud growth remains steady as AI demand offsets a slowdown in traditional workloads. SaaS revenue growth remains in the low-teens with...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Growth in Public Cloud: Where from? What’s next?

Growth in Public Cloud reaccelerated, in line with our expectations, and, if anything, even stronger than we thought, and shifting fast, with AI representing an increasing share of public cloud growth, and with the fast-growing crowd of native AI start-ups becoming a meaningful segment. We gathered all the initial datapoints at hand and looked at all angles we could, to provide a first perspective of how public cloud is growing today and where it is headed next.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 1Q25 – Hyperscale & Cloud: Inference inflecting, more hints on 2...

Today, we are publishing the Hyperscale & Cloud section of our 27th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Telecom Infrastructure, Memory, Enterprise IT, and PCs. Hyperscale revenues grew 11% YoY, with cloud services stabilizing in the mid-20%, and acce...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Nvidia gains share in AI Ethernet, but loses share in AI networking, b...

Nvidia announced last night that its Spectrum X Ethernet revenues have reached an $8bn run rate. Please see the one-pager below for our view on the implications for Arista and Nvidia.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ
Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Tariffs. Figuring the right baseline to assess implications

Evaluating the consequences of tariffs is challenging. We chose to help layout a simple and strong analytical baseline to understand the first-order impact of tariffs on our coverage. In a few slides we have summarised the groundwork and look forward to continuing the work and help our readers make sense of implications in weeks to come.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

ARC-AGI-2: Pushing the measure of intelligence beyond test-time comput...

The ARC team has announced ARC-AGI-2 and published initial benchmarking results, after ARC-AGI-1 got saturated by o3. The race to AGI is reset. Fascinating. ​​​​​For what all investors need to understand about the most important benchmark of the industry, summarized on a single slide, see the attached article.

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