reports
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: EME indices mostly in the green in...
EME Equity Market – May 2025 EME indices mostly in the green in May, apart from Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.6% mom in EUR and USD terms. The Greek ASE index (+7.8% mom) was the best performer, followed by the Czech PX (+6.6% mom) and Romanian BET indices (+5.0% mom), the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+2.0% mom; all in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 Index was, again, the worst performer, with a more modest decline (-1.4% mom in EUR terms) this time.
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
KRKG KRKA D.D.
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
R22 R22
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV CTP NV
VRC VERCOM SA
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
KLKIM KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
GIG GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
SHO SHOPER SA
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
7203 ELM CO
OPTIMAr OPTIMA BANK S.A.
AQ AQUILA PART PROD COM
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
BOCHGR BANK OF CYPRUS
ZAB ZABKA GROUP
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAG DIAGNOSTYKA SA
OTP Bank Plc: 1 director
A director at OTP Bank Plc sold/bought 9,600 shares at 27,160.000HUF and the significance rating of the trade was 55/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: Middle Eastern Oil Services – ADNOCDRI UH, ARABIAND AB; PL...
HEADLINES: • Middle Eastern oil services: time to switch horses (ADNOC Drilling downgraded to HOLD, Arabian Drilling upgraded to BUY) • Poland macro: Presidential election – final results and implications • 4iG: 1Q25 results review – 11% yoy increase in reported EBITDA, in line with our estimate NEUTRAL • GTC: 1Q25 – some notes, post the results • PCF Group: suspension of development works on Gemini and Bifrost, over 60 people to be laid off NEGATIVE • OMV: to sell stake in Ghasha sour gas proje...
- Jakub Caithaml
WOOD Flash – GTC: 1Q25 – some notes, post the results
Liquidity is paramount. The dividends should have been paused earlier, but better late than never. Management's clearly stated focus on prioritising the addressing of maturities is encouraging. All rides on a successful refinancing and or sizeable disposals, which could remove the immediate tail risk. That said, even then, the equity looks fully valued, unless the post-deal FFO proves to be markedly stronger than the current trajectory suggests.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: OPAP GA; CDR PW; VGO PW; DAT PW; KAP LI; LAMDA GA; AEGN GA...
HEADLINES: • OPAP: 1Q25 – strong, as expected NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: 1Q25 EBIT broadly as expected, guidance on three unannounced projects POSITIVE • VIGO Photonics: adjusted EBITDA up 2x yoy (on a low base), in line with our estimate NEUTRAL • DataWalk: actual 1Q25 numbers fully in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Kazatomprom: 1Q25 results – much weaker than expected NEGATIVE • Lamda Development: 1Q25 results – opex outside the Ellinikon better than expected, but quarterly capex still slow ...
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
HUGE HUUUGE
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
- Marine Leleux
- Maureen Schuller
- Suvi Platerink Kosonen
- Marine Leleux
- Maureen Schuller
- Suvi Platerink Kosonen
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PZU PW; CEZ CP; EUR PW; GPW PW; SFG RO; TLV RO; BVB RO; DI...
HEADLINES: • PZU: solid 1Q25 results, ahead of the market's expectations; some upside risk for2025E EPS forecasts POSITIVE • CEZ: 1Q25 beat on distribution and sales segments, disposal of Polish assets POSITIVE • Eurocash: 1Q25 – weak, as expected NEGATIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: strong 1Q25, with a significant net income beat POSITIVE • Sphera Group: 1Q25 softer than expected; FY25E budget below our forecasts NEGATIVE • Banca Transilvania: bottom-line miss, due mainly to asset quality deterior...
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
GIG KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
4071 GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
- Gabor Bukta
Marginal beat in Q1 driven by higher revenues
OTP’s reported net income came to HUF 189bn in Q1/25, beating the consensus estimate of HUF 184bn by 3% due to better-than-expect total income. 2025 guidance has been left fully unchanged by the management, but the current consensus may not reflect the full potential for 2025. Our 2025 net profit estimate is 9% above the consensus. We roll over to Jun-26 and raise our TP by HUF 30,955, implying a 26% total return upside potential including the dividends after 2024 (c. HUF 1000 adj. for treasury...
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Thomas Zlowodzki
IFX INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
ZURN ZURICH INSURANCE GROUP LTD
LONN LONZA GROUP AG
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
IAG INTERNATIONAL CONSOLIDATED AIRLINES GROUP SA
ENEL ENEL SPA
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
AMS AMADEUS IT GROUP SA CLASS A
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
REC RECORDATI INDUSTRIA CHIMICA E FARMACEUTICA S.P.A.
WLN WORLDLINE SA
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
INGA ING GROEP NV
LDO LEONARDO SPA
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
NLBR NOVA LJUBLJANSKA BANKA DD LJUBLJANA
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Thomas Zlowodzki
IFX INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
ZURN ZURICH INSURANCE GROUP LTD
LONN LONZA GROUP AG
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
IAG INTERNATIONAL CONSOLIDATED AIRLINES GROUP SA
ENEL ENEL SPA
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
AMS AMADEUS IT GROUP SA CLASS A
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
REC RECORDATI INDUSTRIA CHIMICA E FARMACEUTICA S.P.A.
WLN WORLDLINE SA
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
INGA ING GROEP NV
LDO LEONARDO SPA
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
NLBR NOVA LJUBLJANSKA BANKA DD LJUBLJANA
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
- Jovan Sikimic
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BIMAS TI; MOL HB; OTP HB; EAT PW; NLBR SV; ETE GA; EUROB G...
HEADLINES: • BIM: weak results in 1Q25 NEGATIVE • MOL: 1Q25 results – strong EBITDA, big net income beat POSITIVE • OTP Bank: neutral 1Q25 results, but supported strongly by Russian operations NEUTRAL • AmRest: 1Q25 below expectations, due to EUR 5m negative one-off NEUTRAL • NLB Group: small bottom-line miss in 1Q25, but guidance maintained NEUTRAL • National Bank of Greece: 1Q25 highlights POSITIVE • Eurobank Ergasias Services: 1Q25 highlights NEUTRAL • Alpha Services and Holdings: 1Q25 highli...
MOL MOL NYRT
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
7203 ELM CO
- Can Demir
WOOD Flash – TBC Bank: 1Q25 results and conference call
TBC has reported 1Q25 net income of GEL 318m, falling 14% short of our estimate (GEL 372m) and 10% below the consensus forecast of GEL 352m. Total revenues missed our estimate by 5%. There was a small GEL 11m NII miss that was mitigated by a GEL 8m beat in fees. Trading and other income was 25% below expectations; however, this line is typically volatile. The more material and complex deviation was in provisions, which came in at GEL 118m vs. our GEL 83m expectation. The miss was related to a GE...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ING PW; JMT PL; BHW PW; BDX PW; MGROS TI; TBCG LN; CGEO LN...
HEADLINES: • ING BSK: 1Q25 results in line with expectations and our annual 2025E expectations NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: beat in 1Q25; Biedronka margin stabilised, despite adverse calendar effect; FY25E guidance maintained POSITIVE • Bank Handlowy: dull 1Q25 results; dividend recommendation due later in May; uncertainty over impact of sale of retail operations persisting NEUTRAL • Budimex: 1Q25 EBITDA misses forecast slightly, backlog down marginally qoq, but rising amount of pending contracts...
MOL MOL NYRT
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
BELA JUMBO S.A.
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CTPNV CTP NV
KLKIM KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAG DIAGNOSTYKA SA
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: RBI AV; ADNOCDIS UH; ENA PW; TITC GA; RO Macro; BRISA TI; ...
HEADLINES: • Raiffeisen Bank International: 1Q25 results largely in line NEUTRAL • ADNOC Distribution: 1Q25 results NEUTRAL • Enea: preliminary 1Q25 EBITDA 13% above our expectations, driven by strong Supply; only 8% of 2025E capex plan realisation POSITIVE • Titan America: soft 1Q25 results, guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • Romania macro: reflections on the resignation of PM Ciolacu • Brisa: takeaways from the 1Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: earnings call takeaways - targeting 2025E revenu...
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
ENA ENEA S.A.
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
RICHT RICHTER
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
INPST INPOST S.A.
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
SHO SHOPER SA
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
- Bruno Cavalier
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
DBK DEUTSCHE BANK AG
HO THALES SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
- Bruno Cavalier
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
DBK DEUTSCHE BANK AG
HO THALES SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
- Jovan Sikimic
OTP : Headwinds ahead, geopolitical discount warranted
We like how OTP has diversified its presence from Hungary towards the euro area over the last decade. However, 60% of assets are still “contaminated” with heightened geopolitical and state intervention risks limiting further upside potential from the undoubtedly strong fundamentals and above-average ROE following the re-rating since late 2022. While M&A opportunities appear scarce, the impending trade war could distort growth ambitions going forward. We downgrade our rating to Neutral vs Outperf...
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