HEADLINES: • Dino Polska: 4Q24 results spot on prelims NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (7-13 April) • Bank of Cyprus: to acquire Ethniki Insurance Cyprus POSITIVE • Banca Transilvania: to acquire Microinvest in Moldova NEUTRAL
EME Equity Market – March 2025 Türkiye hammered, once again. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 0.5% in EUR terms and 4.5% mom in USD terms in March. The Czech PX Index was the best performer (+7.0% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Greek ASE (+4.8% mom), Polish WIG (+3.7% mom) and Hungarian BUX(+1.3% mom) indices (all in EUR terms). There was a muted performance from the Romanian BET Index (-0.1% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 finished in the red again, declining 9.5% mom in EUR terms.
HEADLINES: • Polish banks: Financial Stability Committee mentions sanction of free credit risk for consumer loans portfolio NEGATIVE • DataWalk: preliminary 4Q24 results – sales up 19% yoy, to PLN 9.09m POSITIVE • Türkiye macro: putting the CBRT’s emergency rate hike into context • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (17-23 March) • GTC: solvency of controlling investor in question, after State Audit Office of Hungary's report • Banca Transilvania: dividend proposal from the 2024 profits NEUTRA...
HEADLINES: • Baltic Classifieds Group: good opportunity to act (upgraded to BUY) • Kalekim: strong results in 4Q24 POSITIVE • Migros: a good set of operating results for 4Q24 POSITIVE • PGE: preliminary 4Q24 EBITDA 11% above our forecast and 27% above the consensus POSITIVE • Pepco Group: strategy update ahead of Capital Markets Day – focus on Pepco banner and CEE region; EUR 200m buyback in 2025-27E; Poundland dragging on FY25E EBITDA guidance POSITIVE • Banca Transilvania: 2025E guidance analy...
Banca Transilvania (TLV) held its 4Q24 results conference call yesterday afternoon (5 March), and provided its guidance for 2025E on a stand-alone basis. We have run the numbers, and tried to estimate the consolidated numbers and stack them against our 2025E forecasts. On our initial analysis, the guidance implies material upside for our 2025E forecasts, which is aligned with the Bloomberg consensus. Banca Transilvania is trading at 7.3x P/E and 1.4x P/BV on our 2025E figures, while the implied ...
EME Equity Market – February 2025 Poland outperforms, again; Türkiye declines. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 3.1% in EUR terms and 2.9% mom in USD terms in February. The Polish WIG20 was, once again, the best performer, adding 7.3% mom in February; followed by the Czech PX Index (+6.1% mom); while Greece (+3.8% mom), Hungary (+3.5% mom) and Romania (+3.0% mom) all reported rather similar performances. The Turkish ISE30 was the worst performer, declining 4.5% mom.
HEADLINES: • Kruk: detailed 4Q24 results, revealing headwinds in Spain NEGATIVE • Erste Bank: small miss on 4Q24 results, but promises strong ROTE outlook for 2025E and adds another round of share buyback potential NEUTRAL • Richter: soft 4Q24 operating results NEGATIVE • Sphera Group: 4Q24 soft, as expected NEGATIVE • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: earnings a small beat, bottom line boosted by negative goodwill and low tax rate POSITIVE • Romgaz: 4Q24 results NEUTRAL • DIGI Communications: 4Q24 pre...
HEADLINES: • Medicover: 4Q results a small beat; appoints new CEO POSITIVE • Hungary macro: January inflation surprises on the upside • EME Strategy: MSCI – February review results • ADNOC Drilling: 4Q24E results (due out tomorrow) NEUTRAL • OTE: 4Q24E results preview – 1% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth expected (due on 26 February) • Banca Transilvania: 4Q24E preview (due on 28 February)
The EM primary market has had an active start to 2025, with issuance so far being well absorbed by the market. We see the potential for some spread widening as more noise around Trump's policy measures comes out and more issuers look to take advantage of the early-year window for supply.
EME Equity Market – November 2024 Rebound in Türkiye, Romania hammered. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 3.8% in EUR terms and 1.0% in USD terms in November. The Turkish ISE30 recouped the losses of the previous month, adding 10.4% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX added 4.3% mom in EUR terms, followed by the PX (+2.9% mom), the ASE (+0.8% mom) and the WIG (+0.8% mom) (all in EUR terms). Following the first round of presidential elections, and the polemic and uncertainty that ensued, the BET ...
EM sovereigns have coped well with the volatility and higher rates environment seen from the US but spread levels could be shaken up from near all-time tights by January issuance and more clarity on the impact from Trump's economic policies. For now, generally improving fundamentals are supportive, but political risks as always remain key.
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has today affirmed the Baa2/P-2 long- and short-term deposit ratings and the Baa3/P-3 long- and short-term issuer ratings of Banca Transilvania S.A. (BT). The outlook on the long-term deposit and issuer ratings was changed to positive from stable. We also affirmed BT's ba...
HEADLINES: • Banca Transilvania: stellar 3Q24 print sponsored by OTP RO integration POSITIVE • Logo Yazilim: 3Q24 results – small beat; FY24E guidance reiterated; buyback programme expires POSITIVE • Sok Marketler: highly weak set of results in 3Q24 NEGATIVE • ONE United Properties: 3Q24 broadly in line with recent trends NEUTRAL • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: weak 3Q24 financial results NEGATIVE • Alpha Services and Holdings: 3Q24 results highlights – improved outlook NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: Oc...
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.