A director at Shenzhou International Group Holdings bought 159,700 shares at 52.270HKD and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over t...
Despite tariff uncertainties, Shenzhou’s order volumes for 1Q-3Q25 are unaffected, and order momentum for 4Q25 remains good, leading us to maintain our expectation of a 10% volume growth. Gross margin expansion could accelerate in 2H25, as the impact of wage hikes fades away and the additional labour costs can be passed on through pricing in new orders. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of HK$85.60.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PEV sales dip slightly wow. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and XPeng. Results Lenovo Group (992 HK/BUY/HK$9.57/Target: HK$12.10) 4QFY25: Core business is solid, but bottom line impacted by non-core items. Update Shenzhou International Group Holdings (2313 HK/BUY/HK$56.90/Target: HK$85.60) Expect unchanged 10% order volume growth for 2025;...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile China’s PV insurance registrations grew 14% yoy but dipped 1.0% mom and 14% wow in the 20th week of 2025, with PEV market share rising to a ytd high of 56.3%. Geely Galaxy’s sales dipped 4.0% wow, but its sales will be driven by the launch of new models such as the Starshine 8 and the flagship SUV M9. XPeng posted upbeat 1Q25 results and aims to turn profitable by 4Q25, driven by a strong product cycle and tech upgrades. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: BYD, G...
During the Labour Day holiday (1-5 May), Macau's visitor arrivals significantly beat the government's expectation. Retail and catering sales showed a modest improvement in terms of yoy growth compared with the Chinese New Year holiday, while home appliance sales continued to benefit from the trade-in programme, with premium products demonstrating robust growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on the China consumer sector. Our top picks include CR Beer, Mengniu, and Moutai.
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property Market watch around May holiday: New-home sales recovery weakens in Apr 25; the trend of Hong Kong resident travelling north remains strong. Sector Consumer Strong Macau visitations and robust home appliance sales during Labour Day Holiday. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Aneka Tambang (ANTM IJ/BUY/Rp2,540/Target:...
Shenzhou’s 2024 results slightly beat forecasts but 2H24 gross margin was weaker than expected, which can be attributed to: a) lower efficiency of newly-added workers, b) wage increase for frontline workers, and c) higher revenue contribution from casual wear and lingerie wear. Management targets a 10% production output growth and flattish ASP in 2025, with gross margin remaining stable. Maintain BUY; cut target price by 11% to HK$85.60.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results BYD Company (1211 HK/BUY/HK$389.20/Target: HK$510.00) BYD’s 4Q24 net profit came in above estimates at Rmb15,016m (+73% yoy/+29% qoq) on upbeat margins. Net profit per vehicle rose 10% yoy to Rmb8,820. Management targets 5.5m-6.0m units in sales volume and steady net profit per vehicle for 2025. Based on higher sales and margins, we raise our 2025-26 net profit forecasts by 18%/14% to Rmb55,813m/Rmb65,733m respectively, and introduce 2027 net profit forecast of Rmb75,817...
GREATER CHINA Results BYD Company (1211 HK/BUY/HK$389.20/Target: HK$510.00) 4Q24: Earnings up 73% yoy, beating our estimates on margins. Maintain BUY. Raise target price from HK$410.00 to HK$510.00. BYD Electronic (285 HK/BUY/HK$42.45/Target: HK$47.70) 2H24: Earnings miss on margins; future growth will be driven by automotive and AI. Maintain BUY. Kuaishou (1024 HK/BUY/HK$56.80/Target: HK$75.00) 4Q24: Results in line with...
On 16 March, the State Council issued a plan on special initiatives to boost consumption, aiming to increase spending power by increasing income and reducing financial burdens, generate effective demand through high-quality supply, and improve the consumption environment to strengthen consumers’ willingness to spend. In the China consumer sector, we prefer Anta, CR Beer, Galaxy, Haier, Mengniu, Midea, Miniso and Yili. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Consumption during the CNY demonstrated a satisfactory momentum. Daily average sales revenue of consumer-related industries grew 11% yoy, with the home appliances and furnishing category recording the highest growth rate. Domestic tourism per capita spending increased 1% yoy and recovered to 95% of 2019’s level, and Hainan DF per capita spending rose 4% yoy. Macau visitations recovered to 95% of 2019’s level. In the China consumer space, we prefer Anta, Haier, Mengniu, Midea, Miniso and Sands Ch...
We do not expect a strong consumption momentum for the upcoming CNY holiday, but expect home appliance, Macau gaming, movie and retail to be the bright spots. We prefer Anta, Haier, Mengniu, Midea, Miniso and Sands in China’s consumer space.
GREATER CHINA Sector Aviation Airlines: The three major airlines’ 2024 preliminary earnings estimates were below expectations – still loss-making. Healthcare TCM: GPO price pressure continues to cloud 2025’s growth outlook. Consumer CNY preview: Expect home appli...
Shenzhou's revenue growth in 2H24 could be faster than expected, mainly driven by order volume growth, which could reach 15% yoy. ASP may continue to decline yoy in 2H24, but the magnitude may narrow. For 2025, we expect order volume to grow by more than 10% yoy, with a slight increase in ASP. Gross margin expansion should be milder than our previous estimate, given the shift in product mix and domestic workers’ wage hike in 2H24. Maintain BUY, but slightly cut target price by 0.2% to HK$96.30.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy China Property And China Property Management The property market marginally cooled down mom in Jan 25. We had pre-blackout calls with COLI/CR Land/COPH. For developers, we expect CR Land to report relatively resilient earnings in 2024 (-7% yoy) while COLI may see more margin pressure in 2H24. COPH is projected to see weaker-than-expected VAS revenue growth but margin improvement. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on the China property sector and MARKET WEIGHT on the China property ma...
GREATER CHINA Strategy China Property And China Property Management: Property market marginally cools down before CNY; 2024 earnings preview on COLI/CR Land/COPH. Update Shenzhou International Group Holdings (2313 HK/BUY/HK$57.65 /Target: HK$96.30): Faster-than-expected revenue growth in 2H24 with milder margin expansion. Sunny Optical (2382 HK/BUY/HK$69.85/Target: HK$85.00): Smartphone and automobile businesses to support growth in 2025. Maintain BUY. INDONESIA Update XL Axiata (EXCL IJ/BUY/Rp...
There are ongoing diverging consumption trends in China’s sportswear sector. Consumers remain value-conscious, while outdoor functional wear and niche categories have been gaining momentum. Sportswear companies achieved Double 11 sales in line with internal expectations and discounts improved yoy. However, it is still uncertain on achieving retail sales targets. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. The top pick is Anta given its strong execution and high earnings visibility.
China consumer stocks under our coverage have rebounded by 33% on average since end-Sep 24, but current valuations are still undemanding. With direct policy support and a potential wealth effect, we believe China consumers are restoring their confidence. China consumer companies should see better earnings visibility in 2024, which should support further re-rating. We suggest investors refocus on the China theme in the near term. We prefer Anta, Galaxy, Haidilao, Haier, Mengniu and Midea. Maintai...
GREATER CHINA Sector Consumer Golden Week: Tourism and home appliances the bright spots; refocus on China theme. Internet Government policy rollout to boost consumption and drive valuation repair. Update Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/HOLD/HK$340.80/Target: HK$355.00) Further valuation re-rating requires more sustainable AD...
For Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, tourism, duty-free shopping and home appliance consumption were the bright spots. Domestic tourism and duty-free shopping had the strongest recovery among mini breaks this year. For the home appliance sector, trade-in policies are beginning to stimulate consumer demand. We prefer companies that: a) are disciplined in business operation; b) have good prospects in overseas business; and c) maintain healthy inventories. We prefer Anta, Galaxy, Haidilao, Haier, Midea...
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