A director at Anta Sports Products bought 2,006,400 shares at 75.469HKD and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two yea...
Anta’s 2025 revenue and earnings both beat market consensus by 2%. For 2026, management targets low single-digit / mid single-digit / over 20% retail sales growth for the Anta brand / Fila / all other brands (excluding Jack Wolfskin), with operating margins of around 20% / around 25% / above 25%. On shareholders return, management does not plan to launch new share buybacks and aims to maintain the dividend payout ratio of around 50%. Maintain BUY; cut target price to HK$99.70.
Top Stories Company Results | Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK/BUY/HK$21.74/Target: HK$26.10) Conch reported 2025 net profit of Rmb8,464.5m (+5.1% yoy), below expectations due to weaker cement prices, with revenue down 9.3% yoy. Cement sales volumes remained resilient at 265m tonnes (-1.1% yoy), outperforming industry declines of 6.9% yoy. Cement unit production cost fell 11.1% yoy to Rmb166.42/tonne, vs a 6.4% yoy drop in blended cement ASP, lifting group gross margin to 23.0% (+2.3ppt yoy). Oversea...
Greater China Company Results | Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK/BUY/HK$21.74/Target: HK$26.10) Conch reported 2025 net profit of Rmb8,464.5m (+5.1% yoy), below expectations due to weaker cement prices, with revenue down 9.3% yoy. Cement sales volumes remained resilient at 265m tonnes (-1.1% yoy), outperforming industry declines of 6.9% yoy. Cement unit production cost fell 11.1% yoy to Rmb166.42/tonne, vs a 6.4% yoy drop in blended cement ASP, lifting group gross margin to 23.0% (+2.3ppt yoy). Overse...
Chinese equities consolidated further in February, with the HSI and MSCI China Index declining 2.8% mom and 5.6% mom, respectively. March is expected to be volatile, as there are signs that the Middle East conflict could last for a while. We focus on names which have greater domestic exposure, adding Anta, China Duty Free, FII, Futu, Kuaishou and Tencent to our BUY list.
Greater China Economics | China Investors expect the NPC to set a 2026 real GDP growth target of 4.5-5.0% yoy, with policy support led primarily by fiscal measures while monetary easing remains complementary. The official deficit is likely capped at 4%, though augmented fiscal expansion via special bond issuance will provide additional support. The 15th Five-Year Plan is expected to prioritise hard-tech self-reliance, advanced manufacturing and curbing industrial involution, with only target...
The CNY consumption data exhibited accelerated growth momentum compared with the two Golden Weeks last year, which we view as early signs of a broader consumption recovery. We favour companies benefitting from: a) segments showing initial signals of recovery, such as restaurants; b) exposure to China’s structural consumption growth drivers, particularly in services and experiential consumption; c) potential policy tailwinds; and d) overseas growth. Our preferred stocks include Anta, CR Beer, CTG...
Highlights Anta announced that it will acquire approximately 29.06% of PUMA SE’s issued share capital at a purchase price of EUR35 per share. Despite a 62% premium over PUMA’s last closing price, management believes the valuation is reasonable based on an EV/sales ratio of 0.8x. The total consideration will be funded by the company’s own cash. Following the acquisition, Anta will become the largest shareholder of PUMA, and has no plans to privatise PUMA at the current stage. It intends to ...
In 4Q25, the Anta brand’s retail sales missed expectations, recording a low single-digit decline. In contrast, Fila achieved mid-single-digit growth, accelerating from low single-digit growth in 3Q25, and all other brands continued to demonstrate robust growth at 35-40%.For 2026, management expects group-level operating margin to face pressure due to the need for sustained investment in both the Anta brand and Fila, as well as the drag from Jack Wolfskin. Maintain BUY; cut target price by 3% to ...
Greater China Company Update | Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$82.55/Target: HK$103.40) In 4Q25, the Anta brand’s retail sales missed expectations, recording a low single-digit decline. In contrast, Fila achieved mid-single-digit growth, accelerating from low single-digit growth in 3Q25, and all other brands continued to demonstrate robust growth at 35-40%. For 2026, management expects group-level operating margin to face pressure due to the need for sustained investment in both the Anta brand and F...
Top Stories Company Update | Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$82.55/Target: HK$103.40) In 4Q25, the Anta brand’s retail sales missed expectations, recording a low single-digit decline. In contrast, Fila achieved mid-single-digit growth, accelerating from low single-digit growth in 3Q25, and all other brands continued to demonstrate robust growth at 35-40%. For 2026, management expects group-level operating margin to face pressure due to the need for sustained investment in both the Anta brand and Fi...
We met investors in Thailand and Malaysia during our marketing trip from 24-28 Nov 25. Overall investor interest in the China consumer sector is improving. The most frequently discussed names and segments include Miniso, Shenzhou, Anta, consumer staples (including dairy, beer and baijiu), as well as some new consumption names such as Pop Mart (non-rated) and Laopu Gold (non-rated). Our preferred stocks include Galaxy, Midea, Miniso, Shenzhou and Sands China. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Greater China Sector Update | Consumer We met investors in Thailand and Malaysia during our marketing trip from 24-28 Nov 25. Overall investor interest in the China consumer sector is improving. The most frequently discussed segments and names include Miniso, Shenzhou, Anta, consumer staples (including dairy, beer and baijiu), as well as some new consumption names such as Pop Mart (non-rated) and Laopu Gold (non-rated). Our preferred stocks include: Galaxy, Midea, Miniso, Shenzhou and Sands ...
In 3Q25, Anta brand’s retail sales missed expectations, recording a low single-digit growth. Fila/all other brands recorded low single-digit/45-50% retail sales growth respectively. According to management, sales in early-October were weak, mainly due to the adverse weather, and sales during the 11.11 pre-sale period were slightly below expectation. Therefore, management has a cautious outlook for 4Q25, and has lowered its full-year retail sales target for the Anta brand from a mid-single digit ...
Greater China Company Results | China Resources Building Materials Technology (1313 HK/BUY/HK$1.75 /Target: HK$2.06) CR Building Mat Tech’s 9M25 results were below expectations, with earnings up 7.3% yoy to Rmb331m on lower coal costs. Weather disruptions weighed on 3Q25 cement sales volume, while Guangdong prices stayed soft. Aggregates turned loss-making, prompting capex cuts. Management guided 2025 sales of 55m tonnes (-10.9% yoy) and highlighted a planned capacity-exit fund as a medium-term ...
Top Stories Company Results | CMOC (3993 HK/BUY/HK$17.04/Target: HK$20.30) CMOC’s 9M25 net profit rose 72.6% yoy to Rmb14,279.7m, driven by higher copper prices and a record output of 543,000 tonnes (+14.1% yoy). Gross margin expanded to 22.0% (+4.3ppt yoy) on stronger copper and cobalt prices, while the DRC export quota continued to constrain cobalt sales. KFM Phase 2 will add around 100,000 tonnes to copper capacity by 2027. We maintain BUY on CMOC with a higher target price of HK$20.30. Com...
We observed the following trends in holiday consumption: a) jewellery performed well on rising gold prices; b) retail and catering consumption was modest, with growth decelerating from that during the 2025 Spring Festival and Labour Day; c) specialty retail (duty-free) saw per capita spending improve; and d) consumers continued to show enthusiasm for tourism and leisure spending, with domestic long-haul travel and outbound travel gaining popularity. The lower-than-expected Macau visitor arrivals...
On 16 Sep 25, the Ministry of Commerce and eight other government departments jointly issued a plan to expand service consumption. This plan introduces 19 measures focusing on five areas. We highlight IP-related consumption and tourism as the two primary themes positioned to benefit the most. In addition, the government plans to optimise student vacation schedules by exploring the possibility of shortening winter and summer vacations while introducing spring and autumn vacations to increase the ...
In 2Q25/1H25, among 22 companies under our coverage, 9 beat / 7 inline or mixed / 6 missed. We observed: a) Deflation persists. b) Companies with more diversified product portfolios, along with product offerings ridding on the emerging consumption trends, stay constructive. c) Companies are expanding into new consumption channels. d) Sectors supported by monetised policy stimulus continue to demonstrate robust domestic sales in 3Q25. e) Companies are committed to enhancing shareholder returns. W...
Greater China Sector Updates | Consumer In 2Q25/1H25, among 22 companies under our coverage, 9 beat / 7 inline or mixed / 6 missed. We observed: a) Deflation persists. b) Companies with more diversified product portfolios, along with product offerings ridding on the emerging consumption trends, stay constructive. c) Companies are expanding into new consumption channels. d) Sectors supported by monetised policy stimulus continue to demonstrate robust domestic sales in 3Q25. e) Companies are c...
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