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Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Microsoft vs. OpenAI: Implications for investors?

Press reports about ongoing negotiations between Microsoft and OpenAI have intensified in recent weeks. How much does that matter for investors in Microsoft? In this note, we lay out our understanding of the current agreement, outline what is publicly reported about ongoing negotiations, and we provide our perspective on the situation.

NVIDIA Corp: 3 directors

Two Directors at NVIDIA Corp sold 323,404 shares at between 152.639USD and 154.628USD. The significance rating of the trade was 68/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the l...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Deep dive into Chinese Semicap: How much of a headwind for Western pla...

Chinese WFE spending quadrupled in five years to $41bn, driven by aggressive local deployments, while domestic vendors rapidly gained traction, capturing 13% of local spending already, mostly in deposition, etch, and CMP. In this deep dive, we assess the competitiveness of key Chinese vendors, including Naura, AMEC, and SiCarrier. We estimate first the pace (and the scope) at (and on) which they could close the gap with their western peers. On that basis we estimate the share they can gain ov...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

The Great Replatforming, part I – the Special Theory

Capex ROI is the trending question these days, but what does it actually mean? In a “replatforming”, capex are enablers of revenue growth and productivity enhancements, as long as they are the foundation for a good “right to make money” (a defensible competitive advantage) and meet good demand. Our “Special Replatforming Theory” looks at how it has been at play for a decade already at hyperscalers, and how we expect the next 10 years to play out, with AI bringing an even more capital-intensive...

Daniel Ives ... (+3)
  • Daniel Ives
  • Sam Brandeis
  • Scott Devitt
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