Moore's law meets Schrodinger's cat Update on the semiconductor market
In this note we look back at developments within the Semi Industry, such as the shift to accelerated compute, the memory wall and memory developments. Single-thread performance slows due to physical limits marking the end of Moore's Law. But multi-thread performance and parallelism keep Moore's Law alive, shifting innovation toward bandwidth, accelerators, and advanced packaging. Furthermore, we provide an update on the Semi Market. Our analysis shows that End markets weakened not only in EUR but also in USD. Hyperscalers CapEx is normalizing, growth is decreasing and Capital intensity of Hyperscalers is expected to peak in 2025. For Semi manufacturers we see mixed dynamics in the revenue expectations while Inventories and Capital intensity remain elevated. More important CapEx dynamics didn't change much. As expected WFE revenue estimates decreased with +5% since early April and we expect WFE revenue estimates to further decrease with 6-7%.ASM International is an equipment supplier mainly to the semiconductor manufacturing industry. Co. designs, manufactures and sells equipment and services to its customers for the production of semiconductor devices, or integrated circuits. Co.'s front-end segment manufactures and sells equipment used in wafer processing, encompassing the fabrication steps in which silicon wafers are layered with semiconductor devices. Co.'s back-end segment manufactures and sells equipment and materials used in assembly and packaging, encompassing the processes in which silicon wafers are separated into individual circuits and subsequently assembled, packaged and tested.
ASML Holding provides lithography systems for the semiconductor industry, manufacturing machines that are used in the production of integrated circuits or chips. Co. develops, produces, markets, sells and services advanced semiconductor equipment systems exclusively consisting of lithography systems. Co. sells its products to micro-processor manufacturers and Foundries, NAND-Flash memory and DRAM memory chipmakers. Co.'s products line includes the following: PAS 5000 lithography systems, which Co. no longer manufactures but continues to refurbish; PAS 5500 products; TWINSCAN DUV systems and TWINSCAN EUV systems based on a new platform utilizing the concepts of the TWINSCAN platform.
BE Semiconductor Industries N.V. (Besi) is a holding company. The Company is engaged in the development, manufacturing, marketing, sales and service of semiconductor assembly equipment for the global semiconductor and electronics industries. It operates through three segments: Die Attach, Packaging and Plating. It develops assembly processes and equipment for leadframe, substrate and wafer level packaging applications in a range of end user markets, including electronics, computer, automotive, industrial and solar energy. The Company offers products, such as Die attach equipment, which include single chip, multi-chip, multi module, flip chip, thermo-compression bonding (TCB) and enhanced wafer level ball grid array (eWLB) die bonding systems, and die sorting systems; Packaging equipment, which include wafer level molding and singulation systems, and Plating equipment, which include metal plating systems and related process chemicals.
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