Basic-Fit 3Q25 trading update: total members already ahead of FY25 CSS
This morning, Basic-Fit published its 3Q25 trading update, showing strong Q3 member growth of +218k vs +110k last year (+95% YoY), despite a -54% YoY decline in club openings. Total members reached 4.73m, already ahead of the FY25 CSS target of 4.64m and our 4.69m (street high). At this pace, 4.8m by year-end looks achievable (+50k in 4Q24). Revenue was in line at €1.034bn vs €1.024bn KBCSe (+16% YoY), but average revenue per member came in soft at €24.60 (-0.5% QoQ). While flattish yield in high-ingrowth quarters (1Q/3Q) is seasonal, the drop may reflect either weaker premium uptake or higher discounts for new joiners (i.e., founding offers). Given the scale of membership growth , we lean toward the latter, but will seek clarity during the 14:00 CET analyst call. FY25 guidance of € 330-370m underlying EBITDA less rent was reiterated. We expect a positive price reaction today. Hold recommendation and € 26.0 TP reiterated.