AZN - Overdone – U/G to BUY (TP £120, 10pgs)
We upgrade AZN after we factor in what we believe is the worst-case China outcome and upgrade our 2025 sales following a strong Q3, leaving us just 2% below 2025 cons EBIT. Moreover, a strong Q3 shows the potential for robust revenue growth (ex-China) in 2025 & based on our conversations with investors, we now believe they are ready to start to look through the China issues, but we acknowledge the very likely risk that AZN will ultimately be drawn into the fraud investigations in China. Furthermore, buybacks in 2025 may help to boost EPS growth to double-digits. BUY.For access to the full note, please contact Naresh Chouhan ( )
AstraZeneca is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. operates as a biopharmaceutical company engaged in discovering, developing, manufacturing and commercializing its pipeline of small molecule and biologic prescription medicines, including targeted business development through collaboration, in-licensing and acquisitions. Co. is focused on three main therapy areas: Oncology, Cardiovascular and Metabolic Diseases, and Respiratory. Co. is also selectively active in autoimmunity, infection and neuroscience. In addition, Co. works across small molecules, oligonucleotides and other drug platforms, as well as biologic medicines.
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