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Meta Platforms (META, Buy, $685 target) 2025 Capex guidance pre-announced -- Our Take

This morning CEO Zuckerberg pre-announced 2025 capex spending guidance of $60-$65B and revealed that META will have 1.3M GPUs in place by year-end 2025.
Yesterday, we published our detailed analysis of both META’s 2025 capex and total expense guidance which is found HERE, and in which we noted:
“[W]e think a range of $55-60B could be reasonable, and we wouldn’t put a high-end of $65B or even $70B out of range."
In this note, we briefly touch on the implications of the pre-announced guidance, and what we think investors will now be focused on going into next Wednesday’s print.
Underlying
Facebook Inc. Class A

Facebook is building and engaging products that enable people to connect and share with friends and family through mobile devices, personal computers, virtual reality headsets, and in-home devices. The company's products include: Facebook, which enables people to connect, share, discover, and communicate with each other on mobile devices and personal computers; Instagram, which is a place where people can express themselves through photos, videos, and private messaging, and explore their interests in businesses, creators and communities; Messenger and WhatsApp, which are messaging applications; and Oculus, which connects people through its Oculus virtual reality products.

Provider
New Street Research
New Street Research

Provided by our team of experienced analysts, our work is idea driven, based on independence of thought, sector expertise, and firmly focussed on fundamentals and valuation.

New Street Research is an independent, partner-owned, research firm specialising in equity and debt research. Our equity research embraces the following sectors:

  • Pan European Telecom Services and Cable
  • US Telecoms, Cable, Satellite and Towers
  • Global Emerging Market Telecoms
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  • Asian Internet
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  • Pan European Telecom Services and Cable


Analysts
Dan Salmon

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