Swisscom (Neutral, TP: CHF 595, -13%) Post Q4 25 model update – Macro vs Micro, which will prevail?
In this note, we update our model and thoughts following the Q4 results (HERE) incorporating conference call feedback and compare our new estimates to guidance and consensus. Swisscom trades at a significant premium to the sector thanks to favourable macro factors (rates, yield, Italy M&A, CHF strength) but the telco issues (Swiss SR, Salt share gains, ARPU weakness), do not warrant such an elevated multiple in our view.Swisscom is engaged in providing telecommunication services and is active in Switzerland and Italy. Co. has three operating divisions: Swisscom Switzerland, Fastweb; and Other Operating Segments. Co.'s Swisscom Switzerland divisions comprised of: Residential Customers; Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises; Enterprise Customers; Wholesale; and IT, Network & Innovation. Co.'s Fastweb segment supplies its fixed-network both directly via its own fiber-optic network and also via the unbundled fixed-access lines and wholesale products. Co.'s other operating segments provides ICT solutions for physicians, hospitals and insurers, develops and operates intelligent solutions for energy management.
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New Street Research is an independent, partner-owned, research firm specialising in equity and debt research. Our equity research embraces the following sectors:
- Pan European Telecom Services and Cable
- US Telecoms, Cable, Satellite and Towers
- Global Emerging Market Telecoms
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- Pan European Healthcare
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- Pan European Telecom Services and Cable
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