Spanish banks: Good bye 2017, welcome IFRS 9!
Neutral or Overweight banks?
We maintain our Neutral weighting for the Spanish banks as a warning to those that are anticipating an imminent rise in short–term rates. On the one hand, we believe that the increase of banking stock prices is the key for the rise of the Spanish Ibex 35. On this view, the sector merits an over-weight stance. On the other hand, however, we do not expect ECB to raise rates until mid–2019, with the interbank market anticipating it by, may be, year–end 2018? Thus, the impact on banks’ earn-ings would not be visible until 2020… Don’t forget the milkmaid and her pail tail!
Banco Santander is a holding company, providing a range of financial products. Co.'s products and services include: retail banking business that covers all customer banking businesses; wholesale banking business; as well as asset management and insurance business. Co.'s principal operations are in Spain, the U.K., Portugal, Germany, Italy and Latin America. As of Dec 31 2014, Co.'s total assets amounted to Euro1,266,296,000,000 and total customer deposits amounted to Euro647,627,000,000.
Bankia is a financial institution based in Spain. Co. is primarily engaged in operations in the banking sector. Co.'s business operations are structured into seven areas: Retail Banking, Business Banking, Private Banking, Asset Management and Bancassurance, Capital Markets and Holdings. Co. offers financial products and services to various customer segments, such as individuals, small and medium enterprises, large corporations, as well as public and private institutions. As of Dec 31 2014, Co. had total assets and total customer deposits of Euro233,648,603,000 and Euro106,806,698,000 respectively.
Caixabank is an investment company based in Spain. Co. is involved in investment portfolio management activities across two areas: Services and Financial Business and Insurance. In the services area, Co. provides investment solutions for companies involved in the infrastructure, energy, services and entertainment sectors. In the financial business and insurance area, Co. is engaged in the investments for international banks, insurance and specialist financial services. Co. focuses most of its banking investments in India, China, the U.S., and Central and Eastern Europe with a particular interest in retail banking. Co. is also involved in the disinvestments activities.
Liberbank SA is a Spain-based company engaged in the commercial banking activities. It specializes in providing consumer loans. Furthermore, the Bank offers a range of services for entrepreneurs: savings accounts, loans, factoring, payments management, investment funds, import and export financing, guarantees, as well as commercial insurance, among others. The Bank operates through a chain of retail offices in Asturias, Cantabria, Castile La Mancha and Extremadura. It also manages such brands as Cajastur, Caja Extramadura, Caja Cantabria and CCM.
Unicaja Banco SA is a Spain-based financial institution (the Bank) engaged in the banking sector. The Bank offers services to individual and business customers. Its products and services range includes current and savings accounts, debit and credit cards, consumer and commercial loans, real estate credit, securities brokerage, funds management, leasing, factoring, pension plans, life and non-life insurance, international trade financing, money transfer, as well as treasury, among others. The Bank operates a number of branches in Spain and Morocco. The Bank is controlled by Fundacion Bancaria Unicaja.
Bankinter S.A. is a Spanish brokerage firm established in 1989. The company's line of business includes the provision of market research and trading services for Equity and Fixed Income products.
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