052318 CGI Weekly Global Equities Strategy Update
|
Sell in May & Go away
Now for 4 weeks that we have been heeding our clients to reduce global equities exposure and increase exposure towards US 10-Year Treasuries and towards commodities and Oil (WTI, we are keeping our $78 high price target for 2018 for now) in particular, to no surprise that the sell-side herd is following our advice slowly but surely and getting increasingly more negative on equities. Commodities’ prices (input prices) are on the rise, and we are forecasting besides Oil, that other commodities’ prices will continue to rise throughout the summer of 2018, Agri’s & other softs and metals are all gaining price momentum. After last week’s solid rally for WTI and Brent, we believe that given the global macro growth picture in Q2 gathering momentum, plus the geo-political risks rising, be it with Middle East tensions rising, and talks intensifying regarding Iran sanctions and Syrian we are expecting for attention to swing back to simple fundamentals of supply and demand. OPEC tightening, fresh sanctions on Iran and ongoing issues in Venezuela are meaning that supply has been reduced, whilst the strengthening global economy means that demand is now much stronger |
Creative Global Investments LLC (CGI) is a Multi asset Investment Strategy & Investment Research firm. Our focus is on providing a multi asset investment strategy research based on a proprietary dynamic research process.
It identifies major themes with implications for the global financial markets and provides projections of aggregate corporate profits, valuation, profit margin, size and style trends, and long-term targets of the major equity indices. We apply fundamental, empirical, and technical research to complement its thematic and macro-driven approach. Additionally, an analytical and quantitative approach to provide a macro-economic framework, and create forecasts and projections of economic growth, inflation, and short and long-term interest rates.
We identify the sectors and industry groups most impacted by future legislative and regulatory actions, within the context of the dynamic political environment. CGI offers insights on the changing policy landscape and the risks and opportunities, utilizing contacts within the public and private sectors to provide information, to identify investment opportunity.
We have developed and fine-tuned a dynamic 6-step combination investment strategy and research methodology and process, which is integral to all Creative Global Investments LLC client research by order of priority:
- Global Macro Analysis Overlay
- Chart Technical Analysis
- Seasonality Analysis
- Fundamental Analysis
- Investor Behavioral Analytics
- Geo-political risk assessment
We can also provide customized and specific research solutions and special projects, besides capital market and corporate advisory services for private equity firms.
Our research product and regular periodic publications for various asset classes include annual and quarterly Investment Outlook & Strategy reports, weekly Strategy reports per asset class, thematic reports, sentiment indicator, which helps in analyzing the trajectory of market, sector and industry group trends. CGI caters to global institutional fixed income and equity clients.
CGI LLC was founded in 2002, and is based in New York, New York, with additional offices in Luxemburg and Croatia.
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Browse all ResearchPool reportsReport is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.