Creative Global Investments

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Creative Global Investments LLC (CGI) is a Multi asset Investment Strategy & Investment Research firm. Our focus is on providing a multi asset investment strategy research based on a proprietary dynamic research process.

It identifies major themes with implications for the global financial markets and provides projections of aggregate corporate profits, valuation, profit margin, size and style trends, and long-term targets of the major equity indices. We apply fundamental, empirical, and technical research to complement its thematic and macro-driven approach. Additionally, an analytical and quantitative approach to provide a macro-economic framework, and create forecasts and projections of economic growth, inflation, and short and long-term interest rates.

We identify the sectors and industry groups most impacted by future legislative and regulatory actions, within the context of the dynamic political environment. CGI offers insights on the changing policy landscape and the risks and opportunities, utilizing contacts within the public and private sectors to provide information, to identify investment opportunity.

We have developed and fine-tuned a dynamic 6-step combination investment strategy and research methodology and process, which is integral to all Creative Global Investments LLC client research by order of priority:

  1. Global Macro Analysis Overlay
  2. Chart Technical Analysis
  3. Seasonality Analysis
  4. Fundamental Analysis
  5. Investor Behavioral Analytics
  6. Geo-political risk assessment

We can also provide customized and specific research solutions and special projects, besides capital market and corporate advisory services for private equity firms.

Our research product and regular periodic publications for various asset classes include annual and quarterly Investment Outlook & Strategy reports, weekly Strategy reports per asset class, thematic reports, sentiment indicator, which helps in analyzing the trajectory of market, sector and industry group trends. CGI caters to global institutional fixed income and equity clients.

CGI LLC was founded in 2002, and is based in New York, New York, with additional offices in Luxemburg and Croatia.

Carlo Besenius ... (+2)
  • Carlo Besenius
  • Stjepan Kalinic
EUR 999.00

Q1 2019 Global Macro Outlook

Global GDP to advance at much slower 2.0% to 2.3% in 2019 Global inflation to drop under 3.5%, US under 2.0%, EU under 2% US economy to slow toward 1.7% to +2.2% in Q1, embedded USD-strength to weigh on trade, tourism, FDI US presidency and government policies (Mueller investigation; labor; trade; social) continue negatively impact US assets & cause further outflows EU GDP in Q1 to slow towards 10% to 1.2% growth, expect Q1 and full year 2019 downward revisions Chinese GDP in Q1 will sta...

01/09/19 January 9, 2019 48 EN
Carlo Besenius ... (+2)
  • Carlo Besenius
  • Stjepan Kalinic

110218 CGI Weekly Equities Strategy Update

  With the holiday season around the corner and the period of seasonal strength for global equities taking off, we believe that investors this year have to factor three themes in their modelling for year-end performance results.  US Midterm elections, which have historically fuelled equity market volatility and preceded mostly year-end market rallies. November 7, after months of uncertainty impacting investors’ minds, the political makeup of Congress will be significant for country and secto...

11/02/18 November 2, 2018 19 EN
Carlo Besenius ... (+2)
  • Carlo Besenius
  • Stjepan Kalinic
EUR 1027.07

Q4 2018 Global Investment Outlook & Strategy

The global economy is decelerating further in Q4 due to less stimuli and due to trade penalties and geopolitical distress  Productivity growth to improve slower due to labor,financial and product markets reforms in place, particl.Europe, Investment to slow (modernization of capital stock) Globally, equities still offer decent risk return opportunities for Q4 2018 of all asset classes, particularly from an DDM and total return aspect § A Q4 historical move of +7% is likely, mostly for develope...

10/05/18 October 5, 2018 46 EN
Carlo Besenius ... (+2)
  • Carlo Besenius
  • Stjepan Kalinic
EUR 157.00

090518 CGI Weekly Equities Strategy Update

  Historically, the month of September has been the weakest month for US, EU and EM equity markets. During the month, analysts globally frequently review their estimates following release of Q2 results and lower their estimates for the remainder of the year, US equities, namely regarding US Dollar adjustments, as the past 5 months of USD strength affecting foreign earnings for US companies has not been assessed sufficiently by US equity analysts and strategists yet. We see the complaisance for...

09/05/18 September 5, 2018 23 EN
Carlo Besenius ... (+2)
  • Carlo Besenius
  • Stjepan Kalinic
EUR 177.00

082718 Weekly Currnecies & Fixed Income Strategy Update

  Most markets globally responded favorably to Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s comments on Friday at the Jackson Hole symposium. Equity prices on both sides of the border moved higher, bond prices rallied, the USD moved lower and the price of gold moved higher. A US report on durable goods orders showed a rather weak headline result.  The headline showed that durable goods orders declined by -1.7% in July, missing the analyst consensus estimate calling for a decline of -0.8%. However,...

08/27/18 August 27, 2018 22 EN
Carlo Besenius ... (+2)
  • Carlo Besenius
  • Stjepan Kalinic
EUR 155.78

031918 CGI Weekly Global Equities Strategy Update

In Europe, Olaf Scholz, German Finance Minister is "seriously concerned" abouta trade stand-off with the US, and that free trade is being put at risk, and thatprotectionism is not the answer to the difficulties of our time. The situation isserious, and that Germany would continue talks to dissuade the US from imposingplanned punitive steel and aluminum tariffs.”Economic growth in the UK will remain at the bottom of the G7 group ofadvanced countries until at least the end of the decade, the Briti...

03/19/18 March 19, 2018 21 EN
Carlo Besenius ... (+2)
  • Carlo Besenius
  • Stjepan Kalinic
EUR 155.78

031518 CGI FX & Commodities Outlook

  The US political circus show seems to have many rings, with plenty of action to occupy the spectators in each one. Around lunchtime in New York, it was reported by CNBC that President Donald Trump plans to name Larry Kudlow as his top economic advisor to replace Gary Cohn, who left the White House earlier this month amid disagreements about tariffs on steel and aluminum imports. Separately, it was reported by the New York Times that that Attorney General Jeff Sessions is reviewing a recommend...

03/15/18 March 15, 2018 21 EN
Carlo Besenius ... (+2)
  • Carlo Besenius
  • Stjepan Kalinic
EUR 155.78

031318 CGI Weekly Global Equities Strategy Update

  Global macro & geo-political commentary Financial Markets have been somewhat stalling since mid February. Investors are struggling to connect the political hype with the visible changes in the hard data. As we pointed out in prior reports, leading indicators such as the Baltic Dry Index, and PMI data have shown that Q1 has been softening globally. Is this purely related to seasonal adjustments, or should investors brace themselves for global growth to abate versus expectations? The ...

03/13/18 March 13, 2018 27 EN
Carlo Besenius ... (+2)
  • Carlo Besenius
  • Stjepan Kalinic
EUR 155.78

030518 CGI Weekly Global Equities Strategy Update

In Asia, China aims to expand its economy by around 6.5% this year, the same as in 2017, while pressing ahead with its campaign to reduce risks in the financial system, Premier Li Keqiang said today. The goal was kept unchanged even though the economy grew 6.9% last year and exceeded the government's target. China has cut its budget deficit target for the first time since 2012, suggesting Beijing will be more watchful of fiscal spending while not tapping the brakes so hard that it risks a sharpe...

03/05/18 March 5, 2018 24 EN
Carlo Besenius ... (+2)
  • Carlo Besenius
  • Stjepan Kalinic
EUR 155.78

022618 CGI Weekly Global Equities Strategy Update

In Asia, Chinese economic growth will moderate, mostly due to slightly weaker domestic demand as authorities continue enforcing financial deleveraging via tighter financial regulations, although the deceleration will be only gradual and managed by the government. Latest consensus forecast is that China’s economy will grow 6.5% in 2018, which is unchanged from last month’s forecast, and by 6,3% in 2019. Economic indicators suggest the economy continued to fire on all cylinders at the outset of...

02/26/18 February 26, 2018 24 EN
Carlo Besenius ... (+2)
  • Carlo Besenius
  • Stjepan Kalinic
EUR 145.54

042318 CGI Global Fixed income Strategy Update

  In the Americas, US bond yields rose sharply last week with 10-year Treasuries hitting a closing high of 2.96% on Friday; the highest since January 10th 2014 after reaching an intra-day high of 2.98%. The 2-year yield, meantime, hit 2.461%, its highest level since September 8th 2008. Fresh worries about inflation were the main driver of this move. Although the Fed Beige Book reported that price gains were seen as moderate, the Philadelphia Fed Business survey was much less ben...

04/23/18 April 23, 2018 16 EN
Carlo Besenius ... (+2)
  • Carlo Besenius
  • Stjepan Kalinic
EUR 1298.38

Q2 2018 Global Investment Outlook & Strategy

The global economy is accelerating, however affected by geo-political distress, will decelerate in 2H 2018. The tailwinds for global GDP growth and demand for commodities, from expansionary US fiscal policy and domestic Chinese growth, limit thedownside risk to emerging market equities from potential protectionist trade policies and a continuation of recent US$ strength.Globally, equities are getting expensive, with US equities currently representing the highest valuation risk, in spite of tailw...

04/12/18 April 12, 2018 45 EN
Carlo Besenius ... (+2)
  • Carlo Besenius
  • Stjepan Kalinic
EUR 177.00

072318 CGI Commodities & Currencies Strategy Update

Global macro & geo-political commentary   Short-term political concerns remain elevated. Proposed US tariffs against Chinese goods to be implemented in two months were increased again to products valued at  USD 500 BN. NAFTA negotiations remain on hold and are unlikely to resume until after the US mid-term elections in November. In addition, US mid-term election political rhetoric has started to ramp up and is expected to escalate into October. The US Department of Commerce re...

07/24/18 July 24, 2018 23 EN

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