Dorian LPG (Hold, TP: USD43.00) - Solid outlook, but fair valuation
Solid US fundamentals with inventories c14% above the 5-year average have kept rates above USD50k/day, and with an outlook for a slowdown in VLGC deliveries, we see strong earnings potential for 2024. Hence, we see upside potential to the USD1.0 ‘irregular’ quarterly DPS and calculate a c14% run-rate earnings yield for the next four quarters on today’s FFAs and 1-year TC rates. Despite a solid market outlook, we find the valuation fair at a P/NAV of 1.15x. We reiterate our HOLD but have raised our target price to USD43.0 (41.8).
DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.
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