Azelis group NV A formula for outperformance, a scenario analysis
In this note, we show the importance of incorporating M&A estimates in the Azelis investment case. To underline this, we present 3 different scenario's, the first, without acquisitions, our base case and a net debt target of 2.5. Given the macro environment, we have incorporated 2.5 years of recession and chosen a conservative approach.
Due to Azelis's pricing power, margins which have been improving, market consolidation and structural trends do we see a significant robust upside to our new price target of € 27.1. In addition we believe that the stock has a high likelihood of outperformance even when we enter a recession, we increase our rating to Accumulate.